Plush-Loft — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

16.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

13 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$65

$65 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-10 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 17% $-18

Tech

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	+18	$10	59¢	$11	+$1	05-10 01:46
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	+27	$10	22¢	$6	$-4	05-10 01:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	+18	$5	24¢	$4	$-1	05-10 01:40
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	+42	$5	6¢	$3	$-2	05-10 01:35
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	+167	$5	0¢	$1	$-4	05-10 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	279	2¢	$5	0x09407e…
05-10 15:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$5	0x018f1f…
05-10 01:46:56	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc0f307…
05-10 01:46:51	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x882df3…
05-10 01:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7330ee…
05-10 01:46:11	Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xafdd02…
05-10 01:46:05	Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x979627…
05-10 01:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x6afb00…
05-10 01:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0a7790…
05-10 01:40:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6c1e46…
05-10 01:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x16f585…
05-10 01:38:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc48771…
05-10 01:35:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x13f4b6…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$10	27	+27	open	—	05-10 01:46
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-10 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 11?	1	$5	506	+506	No	$-5	05-10 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$5	50	+50	No	$-5	05-10 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 11?	1	$5	279	+279	No	$-5	05-10 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	1	$5	86	+86	No	$-5	05-10 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 10?	1	$5	17	+17	Yes	$-5	05-10 01:40
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$5	167	+167	open	—	05-10 01:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$5	12	+12	No	+$7	05-10 01:46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$5	42	+42	open	—	05-10 01:35
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	18	+18	open	—	05-10 01:40