Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$459
$1,666 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$3,356
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $324 | $324 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $3 | $127 | $124 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $300 | $300 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $54 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 05-10 03:48 |
| Woozy-Location 0x57b1…5d74 | Yes | +84 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:17 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fd7…5113 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:52 |
| Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-10 04:23 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 13:43 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf15977… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfcc2ca… |
| 05-10 07:28:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e7dd5… |
| 05-10 07:28:53 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x9ca9ea… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7315e3… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f5533… |
| 05-10 07:24:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfc8213… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6b9834… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeaa12a… |
| 05-10 05:56:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xa55ca4… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c3929… |
| 05-10 05:53:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a1628… |
| 05-10 05:52:05 | (anonymous) 0x4fd7…5113 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2e5edd… |
| 05-10 05:32:57 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x348c20… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa0bcd… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27b0da… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x00424a… |
| 05-10 04:23:55 | Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0xed313b… |
| 05-10 04:17:03 | Woozy-Location 0x57b1…5d74 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x92fdcf… |
| 05-10 03:48:42 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 203 | 98¢ | $199 | 0xe39e2d… |
| 05-10 03:36:45 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 97 | 98¢ | $95 | 0xedd21d… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x97b76f… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x756873… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3910b2… |
| 05-09 15:14:47 | Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x90bdff… |
| 05-09 14:18:48 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x57df7b… |
| 05-09 13:43:20 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf8eb75… |