Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$1,350
Trades
29
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$561
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-16 05:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $468 | $553 | $85 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | $183 | $179 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $11 | $50 | $39 |
| Median | 2 | — | $71 | $71 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $553 | $553 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| unranked | 5 | $462 | $63 | +$399 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | +1,127 | $457 | $457 | 8 | 07-16 02:07 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 88.5 | +921 | $553 | $553 | 2 | 07-16 02:07 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 88.5 | +118 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 06-26 15:37 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 88.5 | +42 | $22 | $78 | 2 | 07-16 05:11 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 88.5 | +42 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-16 05:11 |
| Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | O 88.5 | +26 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-04 07:00 |
| Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | U 88.5 | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 88.5 | +6 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 07-09 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | O 88.5 | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:40 |
| Vain-Schnitzel 0x6e36…5374 | U 88.5 | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 19:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 05:11:37 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 88.5 | BUY | 42 | 66¢ | $28 | 0x526bb9… |
| 07-16 05:11:37 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 88.5 | SELL | 42 | 66¢ | $28 | 0x526bb9… |
| 07-16 02:07:44 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 500 | 39¢ | $195 | 0x6e61a3… |
| 07-16 02:07:44 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 88.5 | BUY | 500 | 61¢ | $305 | 0x6e61a3… |
| 07-12 16:23:50 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…b6aa | U 88.5 | SELL | 108 | 59¢ | $63 | 0xa76534… |
| 07-12 16:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 314 | 41¢ | $129 | 0xa76534… |
| 07-12 16:23:50 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 88.5 | BUY | 421 | 59¢ | $248 | 0xa76534… |
| 07-09 13:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 88.5 | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xffae4b… |
| 07-09 13:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | O 88.5 | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xffae4b… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 88.5 | BUY | 85 | 59¢ | $50 | 0x6163c0… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 85 | 41¢ | $35 | 0x6163c0… |
| 06-26 15:37:44 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 100 | 41¢ | $41 | 0xcadee2… |
| 06-26 15:37:44 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 88.5 | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xcadee2… |
| 06-23 19:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xd1c9d5… |
| 06-23 19:27:32 | Vain-Schnitzel 0x6e36…5374 | U 88.5 | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xd1c9d5… |
| 06-23 19:27:28 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…b6aa | U 88.5 | BUY | 100 | 55¢ | $55 | 0x20e05a… |
| 06-23 19:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x20e05a… |
| 06-23 19:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…b6aa | U 88.5 | BUY | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x9182e5… |
| 06-23 19:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 88.5 | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x9182e5… |
| 06-11 06:41:24 | Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | U 88.5 | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x3973f9… |
| 06-11 06:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | U 88.5 | SELL | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x3973f9… |
| 06-11 06:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 88.5 | BUY | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x3973f9… |
| 06-11 06:24:12 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 88.5 | SELL | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x4ad05f… |
| 06-11 06:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x4ad05f… |
| 06-11 06:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | U 88.5 | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x8c411a… |
| 06-11 06:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x06a2…0acb | O 88.5 | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x8c411a… |
| 06-04 07:00:36 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | O 88.5 | BUY | 26 | 42¢ | $11 | 0x21326a… |
| 06-04 07:00:36 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | O 88.5 | SELL | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x21326a… |
| 06-04 07:00:36 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 88.5 | BUY | 18 | 58¢ | $11 | 0x21326a… |