Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$775

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.5%

Resolved

535

Trades

2,722

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 10-20 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

67% 11% -$557

Politics

17% 1% -$98

Sports

7% 4% -$54

Tech

5% 3% -$46

Crypto

2% 20% -$20

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10	$130	155	155	+0	open	—	08-22 20:28
will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	18	$130	124	123	+0	Yes	-$3	08-20 13:01
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	8	$128	156	156	+0	No	-$5	08-23 08:46
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	13	$127	114	114	+0	Yes	-$8	08-04 03:18
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	19	$125	180	180	+0	Yes	-$1	08-22 23:40
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	12	$122	106	106	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 21:46
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	6	$119	150	150	+0	No	-$2	08-21 23:04
will abnb reach 164 in august 2026	16	$116	137	137	+0	Yes	-$7	08-06 23:26
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?	8	$114	78	78	+0	No	-$1	08-06 23:03
will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	12	$111	90	90	+0	No	-$4	08-05 15:55
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	4	$103	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-23 03:52
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	6	$92	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 14:47
Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	13	$88	113	113	+0	Yes	-$4	08-06 07:17
will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	12	$84	120	120	+0	No	-$3	08-17 05:42
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	11	$84	74	74	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:33
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	12	$83	90	82	+8	Yes	-$3	08-11 01:44
Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	7	$82	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-16 01:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?	8	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	08-25 15:20
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	10	$79	68	68	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 07:29
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	6	$76	98	98	+0	open	—	08-06 06:29
will spy reach 790 in august 2026	15	$76	93	89	+4	No	$0	08-17 20:02
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	5	$74	77	77	+0	open	—	08-22 07:37
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	10	$73	82	82	+0	No	-$2	08-13 08:43
will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	6	$71	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	08-04 12:45
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	9	$69	73	73	+0	No	-$4	08-08 22:09
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	7	$67	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 06:03
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	08-17 11:43
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	4	$67	38	38	+0	No	$0	08-15 10:47
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	7	$67	47	47	+0	No	-$5	08-07 06:14
will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	6	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	08-20 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 04:51:08	Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x792c4c…
09-01 06:07:52	Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x7cccc6…
09-01 06:07:46	Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcd5720…
09-01 06:07:46	Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x195e60…
09-01 04:56:54	Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc3e891…
09-01 04:56:48	Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb6d294…
09-01 03:43:39	Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x931080…
09-01 01:41:24	Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf2d682…
08-31 15:17:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x71196a…
08-31 14:22:13	Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0x8eceb9…
08-31 14:22:10	Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb132a7…
08-31 13:25:48	Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xbe0151…
08-31 13:14:19	Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x32c0f0…
08-31 13:14:18	Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x5706b7…
08-31 12:49:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xaea314…
08-31 12:48:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xab59f4…
08-31 06:23:58	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb3f429…
08-31 06:13:19	Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL Attackman of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa367fb…
08-31 06:00:28	Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb69826…
08-31 05:42:46	Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x536848…
08-31 02:15:04	Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xef98eb…
08-31 01:55:10	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x600228…
08-31 01:55:01	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf4aed3…
08-31 00:27:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x771ce8…
08-30 23:47:27	Will another team finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xccd0eb…
08-30 22:46:37	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x637d8d…
08-30 22:46:04	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x81ad0e…
08-30 22:10:48	Will another team finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa63110…
08-30 21:46:22	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0776dd…
08-30 21:43:34	Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xcbb6a3…
08-30 20:54:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0ca129…
08-30 20:35:55	Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe03244…
08-30 20:34:51	Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x560b0a…
08-30 20:19:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x97f558…
08-30 20:18:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x554276…
08-30 17:52:46	Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x747924…
08-30 16:45:15	Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0b33f7…
08-30 16:07:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x01aafc…
08-30 16:07:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa1eb0e…
08-30 15:20:57	Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL Attackman of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8ab0da…
08-30 14:26:01	Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa28f58…
08-30 09:23:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xa11753…
08-30 09:22:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xac11a7…
08-30 08:48:19	Will TCU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x64a351…
08-30 07:03:16	Will TCU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x750039…
08-30 06:20:54	Will Micah Parsons finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfaa5fa…
08-30 06:20:48	Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf43ea4…
08-30 05:47:43	Will Micah Parsons finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xac2857…
08-30 04:53:25	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xdbb5da…
08-30 04:52:24	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9bbe82…
08-30 03:54:51	Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x16bce1…
08-29 21:15:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc30d68…
08-29 21:15:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdb59b5…
08-29 19:42:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3527c1…
08-29 19:42:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x3bff8e…
08-29 10:28:57	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x432619…
08-29 10:28:54	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xaf78ec…
08-29 09:40:06	Will Neverway win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc1cf2d…
08-29 09:39:04	Will Neverway win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xdbf2b2…
08-29 08:11:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x4a2ac8…
08-29 08:11:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x6ff355…
08-29 07:34:06	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xeecdb8…
08-29 07:32:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x9bad4a…
08-29 07:32:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa85557…
08-29 06:08:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x0c67fe…
08-29 06:03:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x108de1…
08-29 06:02:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xa7655e…
08-29 04:51:00	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xf0e286…
08-29 04:50:55	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x152da9…
08-29 04:49:52	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x2263ae…
08-29 01:59:48	Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x4886fa…
08-29 01:57:18	Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9d6004…
08-28 19:10:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xeffc1a…
08-28 19:10:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xed41dd…
08-28 15:38:07	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xece77f…
08-28 15:38:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x8d75ba…
08-28 15:37:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x7a72e5…
08-28 14:27:52	Will PVQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1d3a77…
08-28 12:27:33	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1fa9ba…
08-28 11:56:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3a4316…
08-28 09:22:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x04d0e6…
08-28 06:10:06	Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3T in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8ac42d…
08-28 04:59:25	Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3T in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x1b39ad…
08-28 04:35:48	Will PVQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x997ebf…
08-28 03:59:15	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xbf0468…
08-28 03:59:04	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x717948…
08-28 02:42:15	Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x755c19…
08-28 02:41:13	Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa80c92…
08-27 17:29:27	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa1fe61…
08-27 14:53:16	Will PVQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x27fa05…
08-27 14:02:40	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe8cf4f…
08-27 13:15:49	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf41585…
08-27 13:15:45	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x625253…
08-27 13:15:45	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4c6a36…
08-27 10:23:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x0c50df…
08-27 02:44:19	Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x289b8f…
08-27 02:43:16	Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x30ffc7…
08-27 00:50:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x569ed5…
08-27 00:50:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x6d4125…
08-26 23:39:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5dca65…