Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$4,239
Trades
163
Unique wallets
70
Liquidity
$176
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-23 14:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $35 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $22 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $20 | $288 | $268 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $112 | $638 | $526 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $3 | $589 | $585 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $8 | $136 | $127 |
| Median | 12 | $18 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 9 | $9 | $34 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $13 | $197 | $185 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $14 | $521 | $508 |
| unranked | 27 | $118 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | No | +1,206 | $1,205 | $1,205 | 1 | 07-23 14:20 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 14:20 |
| Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | +510 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-22 00:27 |
| Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | No | +508 | $496 | $496 | 1 | 07-16 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 07-22 00:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +469 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 07-22 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e8e…5b53 | Yes | +432 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 07-12 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | +376 | $312 | $312 | 2 | 07-12 02:52 |
| Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | +362 | $17 | $17 | 8 | 07-13 16:11 |
| Hollow-Bed 0xc0ee…ec14 | Yes | +302 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-16 01:34 |
| Simple-Violation 0x88b6…3cff | No | +215 | $207 | $207 | 1 | 07-15 01:26 |
| Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | No | +200 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 07-02 03:47 |
| Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | +200 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 07-19 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9897…1269 | No | +152 | $149 | $202 | 3 | 07-19 12:18 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:20 |
| Old-Fashioned-Clove 0x5937…2100 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-13 16:09 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 07-22 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +77 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-13 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa108…abd3 | No | +67 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-12 05:05 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +66 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-02 03:47 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +66 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 07-13 15:31 |
| Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 3 | 07-23 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8de5…84d7 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-13 15:45 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:20 |
| Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-15 17:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +44 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-22 22:38 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-23 14:40 |
| Alive-Durian 0x02b2…814c | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-15 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x58cc…7398 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 17:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $8 | 4 | 07-22 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-14 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-16 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-22 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 07-15 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +7 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:20 |
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0af4…3d53 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 21:17 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 18:11 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 07-04 03:36 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-02 03:47 |
| Calm-Flavor 0x4ac7…d6bc | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 00:04 |
| Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 01:13 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 14:06 |
| Legitimate-Cause 0xef71…4d7b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 07-12 02:55 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | +1 | $0 | $9 | 2 | 07-13 10:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 14:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4da7c2… |
| 07-23 14:40:36 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x4da7c2… |
| 07-23 14:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4da7c2… |
| 07-23 14:20:00 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x493fb3… |
| 07-23 14:20:00 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | No | BUY | 1,206 | 100¢ | $1,205 | 0x493fb3… |
| 07-23 14:20:00 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x493fb3… |
| 07-23 14:20:00 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x493fb3… |
| 07-23 14:20:00 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x493fb3… |
| 07-23 14:06:45 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbea15b… |
| 07-23 14:06:45 | Legitimate-Cause 0xef71…4d7b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbea15b… |
| 07-23 13:57:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7db…81c1 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xc4cfa0… |
| 07-23 13:57:01 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4cfa0… |
| 07-23 13:57:00 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0xd514b3… |
| 07-23 13:57:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd514b3… |
| 07-23 13:51:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabf55f… |
| 07-23 13:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabf55f… |
| 07-23 00:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xebea24… |
| 07-23 00:04:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebea24… |
| 07-22 22:38:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa5013… |
| 07-22 22:38:06 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa5013… |
| 07-22 22:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa5013… |
| 07-22 22:38:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa5013… |
| 07-22 01:06:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf43fa… |
| 07-22 01:06:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf43fa… |
| 07-22 01:06:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf43fa… |
| 07-22 00:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xec7a2e… |
| 07-22 00:29:36 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xec7a2e… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | BUY | 510 | 98¢ | $500 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-22 00:27:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78a722… |
| 07-21 14:59:12 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bd5bf… |
| 07-21 14:59:12 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3bd5bf… |
| 07-21 14:59:12 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x3bd5bf… |
| 07-21 07:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfa223c… |
| 07-21 07:18:19 | Calm-Flavor 0x4ac7…d6bc | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfa223c… |
| 07-19 12:18:49 | (anonymous) 0x9897…1269 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc02b68… |
| 07-19 12:18:49 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc02b68… |
| 07-19 11:51:55 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x322bb2… |
| 07-19 11:51:55 | (anonymous) 0x9897…1269 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x322bb2… |
| 07-19 07:17:45 | Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x78283a… |
| 07-19 07:17:45 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x78283a… |
| 07-18 23:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8f26a… |
| 07-18 23:40:16 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8f26a… |
| 07-18 17:27:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe406e9… |
| 07-18 17:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe406e9… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | No | BUY | 508 | 98¢ | $496 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-16 01:34:16 | Hollow-Bed 0xc0ee…ec14 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xccd14a… |
| 07-15 17:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x24e296… |
| 07-15 17:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x24e296… |
| 07-15 17:27:59 | Alive-Durian 0x02b2…814c | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x24e296… |
| 07-15 17:27:59 | Hollow-Bed 0xc0ee…ec14 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x24e296… |
| 07-15 17:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x24e296… |
| 07-15 09:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4309a9… |
| 07-15 09:57:55 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4309a9… |
| 07-15 01:26:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x796d52… |
| 07-15 01:26:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x796d52… |
| 07-15 01:26:43 | Simple-Violation 0x88b6…3cff | No | BUY | 215 | 96¢ | $207 | 0x796d52… |
| 07-15 01:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x796d52… |
| 07-14 08:26:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x761c1f… |
| 07-14 08:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x761c1f… |
| 07-14 08:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x761c1f… |
| 07-14 08:26:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x761c1f… |
| 07-14 08:15:13 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7cd687… |
| 07-14 08:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3da…1dd8 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7cd687… |
| 07-14 08:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7cd687… |
| 07-14 00:19:37 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x990cd1… |
| 07-14 00:19:37 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x990cd1… |
| 07-14 00:16:52 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16e223… |
| 07-14 00:16:52 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x16e223… |
| 07-13 18:11:19 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd09e07… |
| 07-13 18:11:19 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd09e07… |
| 07-13 17:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x58cc…7398 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc441ca… |
| 07-13 17:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc441ca… |
| 07-13 17:42:19 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc441ca… |
| 07-13 16:13:14 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdbb060… |
| 07-13 16:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xdbb060… |
| 07-13 16:11:22 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x90d540… |
| 07-13 16:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x812b…bbcf | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x90d540… |
| 07-13 16:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x9897…1269 | No | BUY | 179 | 98¢ | $175 | 0x90d540… |
| 07-13 16:09:47 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa44b6e… |
| 07-13 16:09:47 | Old-Fashioned-Clove 0x5937…2100 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa44b6e… |
| 07-13 15:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x8de5…84d7 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xd99277… |
| 07-13 15:45:23 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd99277… |
| 07-13 15:45:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xd99277… |
| 07-13 15:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 77 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x869b4f… |
| 07-13 15:31:55 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 47 | 92¢ | $43 | 0x869b4f… |
| 07-13 15:31:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x869b4f… |
| 07-13 15:27:31 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 19 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x23a5dc… |
| 07-13 15:27:31 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 19 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x23a5dc… |
| 07-13 10:17:16 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0e5184… |
| 07-13 10:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0e5184… |