Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1.05K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
876
lifetime
Volume
$863.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$986
Open exposure
$23.3K
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-24 12:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75%
Tech
12%
Crypto
8%
Politics
2%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +9,783 $8,100 88¢ $8.7K +$558 07-24 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,186 $5,100 99¢ $5.2K +$52 07-21 08:09
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,801 $2,700 70¢ $2.7K $-20 07-23 13:58
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +2,649 $2,000 92¢ $2.4K +$450 06-27 18:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,549 $2,000 82¢ $2.1K +$103 06-27 18:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,299 $2,000 88¢ $2.0K +$11 06-24 03:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +144 $168 78¢ $112 $-56 07-22 09:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +123 $100 80¢ $99 $-1 07-22 19:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +114 $100 46¢ $53 $-47 07-07 06:29