Realized P&L
+$17.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.80K
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
1,342
Trades
4,145
lifetime
Volume
$3.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$908
Open exposure
$125.9K
22 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-28 06:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
84% 90% +$15,194
Sports
7% 81% +$3,263
Tech
5% 90% +$1,524
Crypto
2% 95% +$824
Politics
2% 92% -$3,056
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +25,603 $22,900 97¢ $24.8K +$1,909 10-01 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +12,766 $12,000 100¢ $12.7K +$728 09-17 19:06
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +11,400 $11,000 100¢ $11.4K +$383 10-01 19:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +11,458 $10,000 94¢ $10.8K +$828 10-26 12:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,770 $10,000 92¢ $10.0K -$38 09-19 12:42
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +8,163 $6,700 94¢ $7.7K +$1,014 09-02 19:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +7,512 $6,700 96¢ $7.2K +$474 09-02 19:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5,208 $5,000 99¢ $5.2K +$169 10-14 13:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,495 $5,000 92¢ $5.0K +$27 09-19 12:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +5,263 $5,000 94¢ $4.9K -$53 10-25 17:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +5,326 $5,000 92¢ $4.9K -$74 10-28 06:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,380 $5,000 88¢ $4.7K -$265 10-28 06:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4,378 $3,500 96¢ $4.2K +$711 07-29 18:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3,158 $3,000 97¢ $3.1K +$58 09-17 14:29
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +2,649 $2,000 97¢ $2.6K +$561 06-27 18:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,299 $2,000 94¢ $2.1K +$149 06-24 03:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,764 $2,000 57¢ $2.1K +$147 10-19 11:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,335 $1,000 88¢ $1.2K +$182 09-05 04:47
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev +1,332 $999 64¢ $859 -$140 10-28 06:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +158 $150 97¢ $153 +$3 09-17 08:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +123 $100 97¢ $120 +$20 07-22 19:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +62 $15 34¢ $21 +$6 09-17 14:45