Calm-Flavor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

323

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Politics

47% 99% +$73

Other

36% 94% -$1

Sports

15% 96% +$17

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+23	$20	58¢	$13	-$7	07-22 07:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$417	439	0	+439	Yes	+$22	03-08 12:04
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-16 10:17
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	3	$161	82	82	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 12:03
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$100	112	0	+112	Yes	+$12	01-13 21:40
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	+$10	01-13 21:44
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	03-19 10:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	04-19 21:11
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$68	34	37	-3	No	+$1	01-19 14:21
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	6	$67	68	0	+68	No	+$1	01-21 10:43
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	3	$62	63	0	+63	No	+$1	01-24 15:12
will partido popular pp win the 2026 aragon regional election 724	2	$60	63	0	+63	Yes	+$3	01-22 18:27
will l hoi trung be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$1	01-20 21:02
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$58	64	0	+64	Yes	+$6	01-31 20:18
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-17 18:26
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	3	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	04-16 15:00
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	03-06 13:07
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	3	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	05-20 22:48
will danish peoples party win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-23 23:59
will social democratic party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-24 00:00
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-17 11:17
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	05-08 06:10
will brur steig nielsen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-24 20:13
will ryan coogler be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	6	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	01-19 21:42
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	3	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$1	04-05 21:27
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$49	53	0	+53	Yes	+$4	01-28 21:50
spx up or down on january 22 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	Up	+$0	01-22 20:42
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	07-16 07:56
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$41	43	0	+43	Yes	+$2	04-05 21:31
spx up or down on january 7 2026	7	$41	49	6	+43	Down	-$35	01-07 18:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	03-30 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 07:25:57	Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9bc9ae…
07-22 07:57:37	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x32a0ee…
07-21 22:45:25	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xec3c94…
07-21 22:41:09	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4992f9…
07-21 11:43:49	Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f7017…
07-21 11:43:28	Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae78ac…
07-21 11:43:03	Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa32fae…
07-21 11:42:40	Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5216ee…
07-21 11:38:51	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5ad0c7…
07-21 09:35:31	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8bf591…
07-21 09:34:48	Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c24a8…
07-21 09:34:07	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87fdfc…
07-21 09:33:34	Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xea86b0…
07-21 07:18:40	will different be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012862	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xad8ccd…
07-21 07:18:19	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfa223c…
07-21 07:17:39	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa6c509…
07-21 07:17:06	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x206a90…
07-21 07:16:18	Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc4c02…
07-21 07:15:40	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda3ee8…
07-21 07:15:15	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e6375…
07-20 07:28:36	Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xddb31a…
07-19 15:46:25	Will Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6dd5de…
07-19 10:36:15	Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xedc9f8…
07-19 10:35:52	Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7b250e…
07-19 10:35:36	Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf3edf1…
07-19 10:34:49	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1116cf…
07-19 10:34:34	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcae844…
07-19 10:32:25	Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x47f6c3…
07-19 10:29:40	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x610106…
07-19 10:28:40	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb99c3d…
07-18 22:46:40	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6825b2…
07-18 22:39:51	Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda181d…
07-18 22:38:25	Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc60a07…
07-18 22:35:21	Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc52a4…
07-18 22:33:09	will king felipe vi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357115	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd58dc0…
07-18 22:31:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbaa529…
07-16 07:57:44	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x104c53…
07-16 07:56:05	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x505089…
07-16 07:48:56	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd15744…
07-16 07:48:44	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf0a3d1…
07-16 07:48:29	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8e00e…
07-16 07:48:02	Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd1948…
07-16 07:47:28	Will Yanis Varoufakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b3b19…
07-15 17:07:22	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x895131…
07-09 15:01:40	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa606a4…
07-05 09:47:13	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5320b9…
07-05 09:43:49	Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb16ec6…
07-03 18:19:13	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x71b7a6…
07-01 17:35:05	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3012df…
06-30 17:48:07	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xcafe5b…
06-29 21:47:04	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3972a1…
06-29 20:25:25	Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x59794e…
06-28 15:53:05	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7e258a…
06-28 15:51:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x554b5b…
06-04 17:20:30	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbf8ae1…
06-04 13:43:42	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7aff19…
06-01 13:27:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf19a3c…
05-26 17:32:37	Roland Garros WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys	Madison Keys	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5c5065…
05-26 17:30:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x923413…
05-25 21:39:26	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3cb32b…
05-25 17:19:51	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe5dcdf…
05-25 17:06:45	Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d381d…
05-25 16:53:46	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdb94f1…
05-25 16:52:56	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc91c1d…
05-25 16:50:34	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6aa9b3…
05-25 14:54:24	Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x18138d…
05-25 14:53:52	Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9a26ff…
05-25 14:53:10	Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaaed0b…
05-25 12:50:05	Roland Garros ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1b3883…
05-25 12:49:41	Roland Garros ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd46407…
05-25 10:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa94a24…
05-25 10:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25ebf0…
05-25 10:13:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd89ff…
05-25 10:11:34	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin	Casper Ruud	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe43afd…
05-25 10:11:06	Roland Garros ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x200b9b…
05-25 10:10:43	Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x205f27…
05-25 10:10:01	Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Toby Samuel	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2663e9…
05-24 23:09:15	Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbcdb4e…
05-24 23:07:56	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdbac6f…
05-24 23:06:51	Will "The Crash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x172655…
05-24 21:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8a5825…
05-24 20:59:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x707864…
05-24 20:57:21	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x140dac…
05-24 16:33:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0182ab…
05-23 21:31:58	Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc408ad…
05-23 21:29:53	Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45ea82…
05-23 08:20:14	Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x912254…
05-23 08:18:57	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x994f08…
05-22 17:11:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x87606c…
05-22 11:14:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc29196…
05-22 11:12:16	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd57ec3…
05-22 11:08:09	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb92f56…
05-22 11:07:22	Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa77f05…
05-22 11:06:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2eafb3…
05-22 11:05:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbba383…
05-22 11:02:37	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc9dc99…
05-22 11:02:28	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcbaa59…
05-22 11:01:27	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78c51f…
05-21 07:30:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2af0fa…
05-20 22:48:46	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x07f484…