Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?
open
Total volume
$581
$877 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$800
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-17 01:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $30 | $504 | $474 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $33 | $26 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 13 | $3 | $444 | $441 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolute-Parachute 0xa74b…31b1 | No | +283 | $252 | $252 | 1 | 05-15 15:42 |
| Utilized-Emission 0x6b6d…5453 | Yes | +176 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 15:42 |
| Lopsided-Aside 0xea8a…b51e | No | +111 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-17 01:37 |
| Muddy-Booster 0x37e6…f35c | Yes | +49 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 15:42 |
| Tiny-Doing 0x2db2…6559 | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-16 23:20 |
| Pointless-Skiing 0x16ef…937c | No | +41 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-14 04:46 |
| Defiant-Purpose 0xac02…b942 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 15:42 |
| Frank-Suede 0x016a…1e22 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 07:33 |
| Likely-Independent 0x7c37…5b82 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 12:14 |
| Some-Preservation 0x904e…6f10 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 05:04 |
| Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 14:19 |
| Pungent-Sub 0x59dc…a2c5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:47 |
| Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | No | +7 | $7 | $42 | 2 | 05-15 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bd6…0471 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:17 |
| Well-Informed-Chopstick 0xb7e0…ab2f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 21:37 |
| Ordinary-Wiseguy 0xe040…5f45 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 15:41 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:04 |
| Terrible-Beef 0x4e11…734c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 01:37:38 | Lopsided-Aside 0xea8a…b51e | No | BUY | 111 | 92¢ | $102 | 0xe5faf0… |
| 05-16 23:20:08 | Tiny-Doing 0x2db2…6559 | No | BUY | 43 | 92¢ | $40 | 0xf703b7… |
| 05-16 22:52:33 | Snoopy-Cheer 0xe901…3656 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x1ff494… |
| 05-16 21:37:21 | Well-Informed-Chopstick 0xb7e0…ab2f | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2e021f… |
| 05-16 04:46:07 | Aware-Nonconformist 0x160d…e298 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x6547f8… |
| 05-15 22:14:04 | Each-Vanadyl 0x4072…541d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa4fbb0… |
| 05-15 16:02:04 | Lasting-Postage 0x38a8…865a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc8a183… |
| 05-15 15:42:07 | Utilized-Emission 0x6b6d…5453 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 11¢ | $20 | 0x845741… |
| 05-15 15:42:04 | Defiant-Purpose 0xac02…b942 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7c76a9… |
| 05-15 15:42:04 | Muddy-Booster 0x37e6…f35c | Yes | BUY | 49 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xb92785… |
| 05-15 15:42:02 | Absolute-Parachute 0xa74b…31b1 | No | BUY | 283 | 89¢ | $252 | 0x4bfc00… |
| 05-15 15:41:25 | Ordinary-Wiseguy 0xe040…5f45 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa6db20… |
| 05-15 14:19:42 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xaac172… |
| 05-15 12:14:39 | Likely-Independent 0x7c37…5b82 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa76eb9… |
| 05-15 11:47:14 | Pungent-Sub 0x59dc…a2c5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x69911c… |
| 05-15 11:36:08 | Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | No | BUY | 27 | 90¢ | $24 | 0x0dd9a3… |
| 05-15 11:10:22 | Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc240ef… |
| 05-15 11:10:12 | Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x00f3d2… |
| 05-15 09:56:44 | Lined-Trinket 0xc9ba…cf54 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x885aab… |
| 05-15 09:44:29 | Firm-Personnel 0xb187…3abf | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xb5eb3e… |
| 05-15 09:41:02 | Terrible-Beef 0x4e11…734c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xcf6d53… |
| 05-15 09:19:53 | Ordinary-Wiseguy 0xe040…5f45 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc8c3b8… |
| 05-15 09:04:19 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x21b52e… |
| 05-15 08:34:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xca1ae0… |
| 05-15 07:54:35 | Hilarious-World 0xd300…285c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x226270… |
| 05-15 05:04:08 | Some-Preservation 0x904e…6f10 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x975435… |
| 05-14 23:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x5bd6…0471 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x4f659c… |
| 05-14 10:49:21 | Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x65c723… |
| 05-14 07:33:53 | Frank-Suede 0x016a…1e22 | No | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0xce6f05… |
| 05-14 04:46:24 | Pointless-Skiing 0x16ef…937c | No | BUY | 41 | 77¢ | $32 | 0x3600e5… |
| 05-13 18:38:08 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | Yes | SELL | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xfb7264… |