Well-Off-Anise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

515

Trades

2,860

lifetime

Volume

$38.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-04 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Politics

53% 35% +$1,203

Other

26% 29% -$89

Crypto

10% 25% +$376

Sports

7% 37% +$372

Tech

4% 31% +$103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	39	$3.2K	3,750	2,010	+1,740	Yes	+$96	06-16 17:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.7K	3,259	1,565	+1,694	No	+$408	06-03 19:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	18	$989	910	910	+0	No	+$65	05-29 19:39
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	10	$929	605	605	+0	No	+$192	07-31 19:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	16	$772	800	800	+0	Yes	+$34	06-12 21:27
will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	17	$625	639	639	+0	Yes	+$477	06-30 05:26
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	16	$604	624	624	+0	No	-$51	07-20 01:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	19	$572	4,514	4,514	+0	No	-$35	06-26 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$524	1,699	1,699	+0	No	-$82	05-31 23:19
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	23	$498	1,367	1,367	+0	No	+$255	10-26 17:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	5	$429	437	437	+0	No	+$9	05-30 13:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	25	$405	2,600	1,512	+1,088	No	-$69	06-13 16:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$403	300	300	+0	Yes	+$95	06-14 22:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$368	608	608	+0	Yes	+$14	07-07 03:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	19	$368	523	523	+0	No	+$18	06-19 20:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	13	$359	800	800	+0	Yes	+$44	06-19 16:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	6	$344	355	355	+0	No	+$255	05-25 22:59
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	11	$307	430	230	+200	Yes	+$106	06-18 19:24
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	5	$306	200	200	+0	Yes	-$12	07-17 11:15
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	9	$305	2,800	0	+2,800	No	-$305	08-31 00:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	8	$301	233	233	+0	No	+$19	05-30 12:58
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$297	1,201	1,201	+0	No	+$185	05-15 19:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	15	$295	977	977	+0	No	+$30	06-13 21:50
iran closes its airspace by june 8	20	$274	673	673	+0	Yes	-$15	06-07 21:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	19	$263	346	346	+0	No	+$98	06-18 18:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	15	$251	931	931	+0	No	+$26	05-09 04:03
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$247	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 23:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$244	200	200	+0	Yes	+$152	06-14 21:36
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	13	$234	222	222	+0	No	+$49	06-08 12:20
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$233	258	258	+0	No	+$77	07-31 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:31:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x513a5e…
11-04 14:03:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x1856dd…
11-03 15:23:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x2d3f6c…
11-03 04:45:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5ca57e…
11-03 04:10:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0x3aa169…
11-03 02:54:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x69719b…
11-03 02:53:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2be67d…
11-02 20:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd02585…
11-02 18:06:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x86f432…
11-02 16:48:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x3aa150…
10-30 17:11:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x6ad607…
10-26 22:55:53	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x9fdb91…
10-26 22:54:11	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfbe49a…
10-26 22:54:11	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xd27246…
10-26 22:54:11	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa02a03…
10-26 22:53:39	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9659af…
10-26 22:53:15	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x2817df…
10-26 22:53:14	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1576c9…
10-26 22:51:29	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x84e3e5…
10-26 22:51:29	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x27864d…
10-26 22:51:17	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6de2e7…
10-26 22:51:17	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x238821…
10-26 22:40:56	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x372f9d…
10-26 22:40:54	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xf8937a…
10-26 22:40:54	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x7a2a25…
10-26 22:11:59	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x245469…
10-26 21:54:56	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3bd5c7…
10-26 21:40:47	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	154	0¢	$0	0x699210…
10-26 21:34:08	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd8a3ba…
10-26 21:34:08	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcbbb4e…
10-26 21:30:54	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xccbdd6…
10-26 21:30:53	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0x538f3c…
10-26 21:29:15	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xae13fc…
10-26 21:24:18	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xeb418c…
10-26 21:10:27	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x15e667…
10-26 21:10:27	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x0fddb8…
10-26 21:10:27	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0eec6a…
10-26 20:20:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2720f7…
10-26 20:07:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	125	11¢	$14	0xad3d2a…
10-26 20:05:50	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0xdc75b3…
10-26 20:05:50	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x67065b…
10-26 20:05:50	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x348a50…
10-26 19:43:05	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x514142…
10-26 19:25:17	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x1c89b9…
10-26 18:14:48	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x085975…
10-26 18:08:41	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7e82f7…
10-26 18:06:56	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xac5aab…
10-26 18:05:27	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x30d271…
10-26 17:58:29	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x0fa306…
10-26 17:56:44	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xb042fa…
10-26 17:47:06	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x198538…
10-26 17:46:29	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1eba27…
10-26 17:43:32	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0xff5e18…
10-26 17:43:32	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x8bffe9…
10-26 17:43:32	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x47ac16…
10-26 17:43:09	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xc95135…
10-26 17:40:20	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x604336…
10-26 17:40:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x98ec0f…
10-26 17:40:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x1859dc…
10-26 17:39:51	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe63580…
10-26 17:37:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0b78ed…
10-26 17:37:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	225	19¢	$42	0x7f4074…
10-26 17:33:41	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$6	0xd70c75…
10-26 17:22:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	205	5¢	$10	0x273ada…
10-26 17:22:24	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x14a323…
10-26 17:21:44	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0xd424cf…
10-26 17:21:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	75	24¢	$18	0x383b86…
10-26 17:17:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	140	26¢	$37	0x92dda3…
10-26 17:17:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x14472a…
10-26 17:15:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2bb74e…
10-26 17:13:56	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0xf4d40d…
10-26 17:09:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ed75c…
10-26 17:06:21	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb299ed…
10-26 17:05:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xea856a…
10-26 17:03:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	27¢	$134	0xdfdf92…
10-26 16:49:30	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd19e2d…
10-26 16:46:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x308d4c…
10-26 16:44:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0xab7345…
10-26 16:34:42	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0eafa3…
10-26 16:34:33	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xfece77…
10-26 16:34:21	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xbd78de…
10-26 16:33:35	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6af415…
10-26 16:33:20	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x06b8c7…
10-26 16:31:20	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xd52157…
10-26 16:31:20	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xd154fa…
10-26 16:31:14	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xf8d984…
10-26 16:31:14	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x0bbdf4…
10-26 16:30:48	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe677ed…
10-26 16:30:48	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0x29e608…
10-26 16:25:57	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0xa1219c…
10-26 16:25:57	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x7dd797…
10-26 16:25:56	Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x506b2f…
10-26 16:25:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	155	38¢	$59	0xcaf097…
10-26 16:24:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x97f26c…
10-26 16:21:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	452	33¢	$149	0xf1910e…
10-26 16:21:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x7961f6…
10-26 16:21:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x3a31d6…
10-26 16:13:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	96	6¢	$5	0xfe8fd7…
10-26 16:13:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x8f4560…
10-26 15:21:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xf31e6b…