Realized P&L
+$124
Unrealized P&L
-$124
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,770
lifetime
Volume
$350.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$24.9K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-27 15:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 83% +$124
Other
46%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -3,520 $-3,323 93¢ $-3282 +$40 06-01 17:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2,960 $-2,886 100¢ $-2957 $-71 06-02 20:16
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -2,930 $-2,754 94¢ $-2769 $-15 06-27 15:22
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -2,495 $-2,400 100¢ $-2489 $-89 06-02 17:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,873 $-1,836 100¢ $-1871 $-36 06-02 22:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,111 $-1,943 86¢ $-1805 +$137 06-19 14:24
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1,907 $-1,717 92¢ $-1764 $-48 06-17 07:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,532 $-1,452 96¢ $-1469 $-17 06-10 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,277 $-1,213 96¢ $-1219 $-6 06-14 22:37
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -781 $-734 93¢ $-727 +$7 06-25 21:51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -768 $-714 94¢ $-718 $-4 06-13 08:11
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No -760 $-709 94¢ $-711 $-2 06-26 16:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -721 $-606 86¢ $-616 $-11 06-16 06:58
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -612 $-607 100¢ $-611 $-4 06-16 06:57
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -533 $-506 98¢ $-523 $-17 06-16 06:57
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +506 $500 100¢ $506 +$6 05-21 02:30
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -497 $-476 96¢ $-477 $-1 06-15 05:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -315 $-310 100¢ $-314 $-4 06-16 06:57
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -182 $-56 28¢ $-50 +$6 06-02 13:47
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -22 $-21 88¢ $-19 +$2 06-02 21:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:56