Animated-Souvenir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,820

lifetime

Volume

$365.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-08 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 83% +$124

Other

48% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	4	$19.1K	9,118	10,128	-1,010	open	—	02-17 19:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	19	$13.6K	6,864	6,864	+0	open	—	04-29 02:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	28	$12.6K	6,458	6,458	+0	open	—	04-30 16:34
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	22	$10.6K	5,346	5,346	+0	open	—	04-22 06:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	47	$8.9K	7,239	5,955	+1,284	open	—	05-23 16:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	8	$8.0K	4,036	4,036	+0	open	—	05-19 02:18
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$8.0K	8,063	0	+8,063	open	—	02-15 11:43
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	7	$8.0K	8,044	0	+8,044	open	—	02-14 19:45
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	4	$7.7K	7,774	0	+7,774	open	—	02-14 10:31
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	5	$6.9K	0	7,629	-7,629	open	—	07-09 23:41
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	20	$6.4K	6,540	0	+6,540	open	—	04-29 02:42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	17	$6.0K	3,068	3,068	+0	open	—	04-26 22:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	19	$5.9K	3,893	2,433	+1,460	open	—	05-21 17:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	32	$5.8K	2,938	2,938	+0	open	—	05-28 11:57
trump out as president by march 31	8	$4.8K	2,455	2,455	+0	open	—	02-24 18:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	15	$4.8K	4,909	0	+4,909	open	—	05-13 10:43
Trump out as President by April 30?	11	$4.6K	2,322	2,322	+0	open	—	04-24 20:27
will hezbollah disarm by april 30 343	21	$4.6K	3,927	813	+3,114	open	—	04-25 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	18	$4.5K	2,271	2,271	+0	open	—	05-17 11:50
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	15	$4.4K	3,664	800	+2,864	open	—	04-30 16:37
Netanyahu out by April 30?	18	$4.2K	2,122	2,122	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$4.1K	4,421	0	+4,421	open	—	05-21 02:29
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$4.0K	2,031	2,031	+0	open	—	02-17 19:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	24	$3.9K	2,127	2,127	+0	open	—	05-13 11:25
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	5	$3.6K	1,834	1,834	+0	open	—	04-24 02:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	5	$3.6K	3,655	0	+3,655	open	—	04-24 17:18
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	11	$3.6K	3,650	0	+3,650	open	—	04-27 03:34
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	4	$3.6K	3,589	0	+3,589	open	—	02-10 21:13
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	1	$3.3K	0	3,520	-3,520	open	—	06-01 17:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	7	$3.2K	1,647	1,647	+0	open	—	04-26 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 05:00:28	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x7824c6…
08-02 21:29:48	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	875	94¢	$822	0x43490a…
08-02 17:51:09	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	72	94¢	$67	0xf66d85…
07-28 12:20:41	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1,246	91¢	$1,134	0x417ce9…
07-27 10:04:16	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	765	91¢	$696	0x83bfac…
07-23 01:28:52	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	696	97¢	$675	0xe0dac7…
07-22 09:27:45	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x1dd6bd…
07-18 17:04:36	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	287	97¢	$278	0x25e06b…
07-18 14:26:25	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	515	97¢	$500	0x5b675e…
07-18 14:26:22	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x1bc1a1…
07-18 14:26:06	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	206	97¢	$200	0xf5224d…
07-18 14:26:03	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	178	97¢	$173	0x47b15c…
07-18 14:25:54	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	115	93¢	$107	0xcaa10f…
07-16 15:36:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x8ea170…
07-15 19:01:10	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	406	97¢	$393	0xb31246…
07-10 23:59:56	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	2,884	93¢	$2,682	0x9875b3…
07-09 23:42:14	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xf3ade5…
07-09 23:41:04	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	5,722	90¢	$5,150	0x234d79…
07-08 23:36:23	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xda0a27…
07-08 18:35:08	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	178	93¢	$165	0x2163e0…
07-08 13:22:49	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x0a81bc…
07-08 10:55:31	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x125b8c…
07-08 06:25:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	721	87¢	$627	0xf9d575…
07-08 06:25:31	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	149	93¢	$138	0xdf5f3b…
07-08 06:25:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d57b8…
07-08 06:25:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xfd6129…
07-07 10:07:28	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x3431e3…
07-06 21:20:25	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	683	94¢	$642	0xb7a797…
07-06 07:17:22	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x00f8d7…
07-05 14:33:35	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd22f7a…
07-05 11:26:05	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x22c1ab…
07-05 11:25:17	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x35769b…
07-05 10:49:52	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x72f6d4…
07-05 10:49:11	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x72edfc…
07-05 06:09:14	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x1ec21e…
07-04 23:03:34	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa971f7…
07-04 22:59:40	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x357b12…
07-04 11:16:53	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x2df129…
07-04 04:45:26	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x3bc1ca…
07-03 23:38:44	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	596	97¢	$578	0x9360c3…
07-02 21:48:01	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x26baa9…
07-02 12:45:14	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xc672a1…
07-02 11:40:08	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd441b1…
07-02 11:39:49	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x39f054…
07-02 11:39:46	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfcadb5…
07-02 11:39:46	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4fe01d…
07-02 11:39:46	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x235cd0…
07-02 11:39:44	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x82d93c…
07-02 11:39:43	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xa736a8…
07-01 12:33:40	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xeff794…
06-27 15:22:34	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	935	94¢	$879	0x2b86a5…
06-26 16:23:23	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x80dde4…
06-26 16:23:20	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfb521f…
06-26 16:23:16	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcba6a5…
06-25 21:51:02	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0x53ad0f…
06-25 16:52:38	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	494	94¢	$464	0x9759a0…
06-25 14:48:26	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	197	94¢	$185	0x6aa485…
06-25 01:16:16	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	923	94¢	$868	0x9d954d…
06-23 22:03:23	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x712ffa…
06-23 17:08:44	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	143	94¢	$134	0xc79ecb…
06-23 14:58:35	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x632a3c…
06-23 10:48:43	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x629acc…
06-22 19:58:01	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6298fe…
06-21 20:59:25	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	679	94¢	$638	0x8f1795…
06-19 19:16:26	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$44	0x42fd2f…
06-19 14:24:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x4beaa0…
06-19 14:03:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xbc829c…
06-19 14:02:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xc12f75…
06-19 13:26:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xf8eca2…
06-19 13:08:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x93d153…
06-19 12:58:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x7eb233…
06-19 12:52:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x65b60d…
06-19 12:52:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xcdf0d4…
06-19 12:50:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xefef67…
06-19 12:41:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1b2b8a…
06-19 12:41:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x766e74…
06-19 12:36:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x003751…
06-19 12:30:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x51edab…
06-19 11:58:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf0eb86…
06-19 11:42:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x16ac4e…
06-19 11:37:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xe9ec2b…
06-19 11:26:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x783d9d…
06-19 11:20:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x538ff4…
06-19 11:12:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdfbd6b…
06-19 11:09:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xec23ff…
06-19 11:06:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9e9513…
06-19 11:04:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x5a3631…
06-19 10:53:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7db036…
06-19 10:48:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x05b374…
06-19 10:46:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	337	92¢	$310	0xc70698…
06-19 10:42:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x60f6b4…
06-19 10:42:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x9dc78c…
06-19 10:19:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xeac582…
06-19 10:16:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x4179f3…
06-19 10:05:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x260467…
06-19 10:04:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x576d68…
06-19 09:54:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xfe62c9…
06-19 09:48:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf3b478…
06-19 09:48:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x4d0904…
06-19 09:43:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x11a26d…