Realized P&L
+$124
Unrealized P&L
-$284
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,813
lifetime
Volume
$362.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$29.1K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-18 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
51% 83% +$124
Other
48%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -7,629 $-6,866 90¢ $-6905 $-38 07-09 23:41
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -3,520 $-3,323 98¢ $-3449 $-127 06-01 17:05
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -3,183 $-2,961 96¢ $-3040 $-80 07-10 23:59
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -2,930 $-2,754 96¢ $-2798 $-44 06-27 15:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,112 $-1,943 92¢ $-1932 +$11 07-08 06:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,532 $-1,452 96¢ $-1478 $-25 06-10 17:31
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -1,563 $-1,469 93¢ $-1451 +$18 07-06 21:20
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -1,487 $-1,442 96¢ $-1433 +$9 07-18 14:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -1,442 $-1,233 86¢ $-1233 $-0 07-08 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,277 $-1,213 96¢ $-1220 $-8 06-14 22:37
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No -1,111 $-1,037 94¢ $-1039 $-1 07-08 06:25
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -768 $-714 94¢ $-722 $-8 06-13 08:11
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -737 $-714 94¢ $-689 +$25 07-18 17:04
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -533 $-506 98¢ $-521 $-15 06-16 06:57
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +506 $500 100¢ $506 +$6 05-21 02:30
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -497 $-476 98¢ $-489 $-13 06-15 05:56
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -146 $-136 91¢ $-133 +$3 07-18 14:25
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -182 $-56 30¢ $-54 +$3 06-02 13:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 06:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -0 $-0 95¢ $-0 $-0 06-16 06:56