Realized P&L
+$4.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$732
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
1,630
Trades
3,494
lifetime
Volume
$443.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$22.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-01 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Politics
50% 91% +$2,065
Other
49% 93% +$2,698
Sports
1% 93% +$27
Crypto
0% 61% -$69
Pop-Culture
0% 96% -$2
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -7,296 -$6,808 98¢ $-7176 -$368 07-08 06:25
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -3,304 -$3,123 98¢ $-3243 -$120 06-01 17:05
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2,663 -$2,466 97¢ $-2582 -$116 07-09 23:41
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -2,535 -$2,438 98¢ $-2472 -$34 08-11 19:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -2,378 -$2,209 98¢ $-2334 -$125 09-02 14:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,112 -$1,943 98¢ $-2075 -$132 07-08 06:25
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -663 -$669 99¢ $-654 +$15 07-06 21:20
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -533 -$506 97¢ $-518 -$11 06-16 06:57
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -448 -$405 96¢ $-431 -$25 09-02 14:32
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -440 -$461 97¢ $-428 +$33 07-10 23:59
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -341 -$404 96¢ $-326 +$78 08-02 21:29
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -312 -$306 99¢ $-310 -$4 05-10 18:39
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -104 -$102 98¢ $-103 $0 05-20 12:27
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +0 -$74 97¢ $0 +$74 06-27 15:22
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +0 -$4 98¢ $0 +$4 06-15 05:56