Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$454
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
534
lifetime
Volume
$33.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$1.42K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 00:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
39%
Pop-Culture
2%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -45,134 $-925 $-835 +$90 06-08 11:43
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -2,908 $-349 $-218 +$131 06-03 20:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -1,395 $-168 $-91 +$77 06-09 09:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -450 $-126 16¢ $-70 +$56 05-29 18:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,029 $-82 $-57 +$26 06-30 00:39
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -699 $-42 $-42 $-0 06-30 00:12
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -269 $-27 12¢ $-34 $-7 06-02 13:54
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -760 $-60 $-28 +$32 06-11 00:45
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -653 $-22 $-15 +$7 06-30 00:12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -581 $-13 $-9 +$4 06-30 00:40
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -144 $-19 $-9 +$10 05-28 00:04
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes -303 $-27 $-7 +$20 06-02 09:33
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -150 $-7 $-5 +$2 06-26 20:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-9 12¢ $-4 +$5 06-03 18:49