Muddy-Booster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,508

lifetime

Volume

$137.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 08-02 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

64% 33% +$10

Other

33% 0% $-64

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	21	$4.7K	3,256	3,256	+0	open	—	03-04 23:01
us strikes iraq by march 7	22	$4.2K	18,302	5,348	+12,953	open	—	03-11 21:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	65	$3.5K	3,825	3,692	+133	open	—	05-30 12:17
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	4	$3.0K	1,526	1,526	+0	open	—	03-04 13:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	30	$2.8K	2,792	2,841	-49	open	—	05-29 18:51
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	85	$2.8K	4,620	4,620	+0	open	—	07-07 19:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$2.8K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	03-04 01:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	40	$2.7K	2,855	2,855	+0	open	—	04-26 20:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	53	$2.4K	2,396	2,284	+112	open	—	06-14 14:47
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	7	$2.4K	1,541	1,541	+0	open	—	03-05 00:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	62	$2.2K	60,374	53,844	+6,530	open	—	04-29 23:25
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	25	$1.8K	1,702	1,562	+140	open	—	04-22 00:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	48	$1.7K	2,303	2,404	-101	open	—	06-14 21:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	46	$1.7K	1,551	1,551	+0	open	—	04-21 09:10
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	28	$1.7K	4,445	4,445	+0	open	—	04-29 19:01
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	27	$1.7K	1,827	2,130	-303	open	—	06-14 22:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$1.6K	4,458	4,458	+0	open	—	03-09 17:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	22	$1.6K	1,499	1,499	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	28	$1.6K	2,826	2,048	+778	open	—	06-14 22:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	32	$1.6K	1,368	1,368	+0	open	—	05-25 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$1.5K	2,282	2,282	+0	open	—	07-08 10:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$1.5K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	03-02 22:30
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	13	$1.5K	1,610	1,503	+107	open	—	03-08 15:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	23	$1.4K	1,917	2,133	-216	open	—	06-02 17:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	18	$1.3K	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	04-21 19:44
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	23	$1.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	06-18 20:05
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	20	$1.3K	1,186	888	+298	open	—	05-26 16:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$1.2K	1,831	1,966	-135	open	—	07-01 10:14
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	18	$1.2K	809	809	+0	open	—	03-04 22:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$1.1K	1,141	1,338	-198	open	—	06-18 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 16:13:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	43	39¢	$17	0xf72d87…
08-02 16:12:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x615893…
08-02 15:41:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	306	45¢	$138	0x6aa498…
08-02 15:23:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	59	50¢	$29	0x44cdab…
08-02 14:19:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9fd9c0…
08-02 14:17:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x764916…
08-02 14:16:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xbb9572…
08-02 12:18:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	146	37¢	$54	0x52bff1…
08-02 10:07:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xa4a50f…
08-01 04:43:50	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	101	70¢	$70	0x4952f7…
07-31 22:00:26	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x0552a1…
07-31 21:57:48	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x19b035…
07-31 21:56:50	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x8f6a0c…
07-31 00:57:53	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x1b1675…
07-30 21:13:12	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0xeb0e44…
07-30 16:47:29	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xaa6ab2…
07-30 10:07:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x78ea13…
07-30 01:15:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	884	5¢	$47	0x332e5c…
07-30 00:57:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	97	12¢	$12	0x50516f…
07-30 00:54:51	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0x7f3df5…
07-30 00:04:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	290	12¢	$35	0x4518f3…
07-29 22:59:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	398	18¢	$70	0x23d9a5…
07-29 22:39:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	465	8¢	$37	0xd50163…
07-29 22:00:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	99	22¢	$22	0x2e5fde…
07-29 21:48:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x13e432…
07-29 20:23:51	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	72	32¢	$23	0xb7b32d…
07-29 14:28:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	99	56¢	$56	0xd6619c…
07-28 13:49:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	290	77¢	$223	0x8eaeff…
07-26 13:22:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	291	11¢	$32	0x4c5b3e…
07-25 16:41:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	191	29¢	$55	0xd88f51…
07-25 01:12:06	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xfb0a30…
07-25 01:11:33	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x6278fb…
07-25 01:11:10	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x1a2d01…
07-25 00:08:52	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x9b7362…
07-24 22:54:45	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xc3dabb…
07-24 22:53:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8ef8ea…
07-24 21:29:18	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	52	55¢	$28	0x5623a7…
07-24 21:27:48	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x8e369c…
07-24 21:27:45	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x40fd64…
07-24 17:41:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	58	37¢	$22	0xae2c10…
07-24 17:40:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	291	38¢	$110	0xaed524…
07-24 17:39:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	191	34¢	$64	0xee8f93…
07-24 17:39:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	195	19¢	$37	0x5c7521…
07-24 17:37:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	97	39¢	$38	0x3ad5d2…
07-24 17:05:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	87	42¢	$36	0xadb7bf…
07-24 17:04:43	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xb17442…
07-24 17:02:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	147	64¢	$94	0x715256…
07-24 10:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	Yes	BUY	242	38¢	$92	0x83444b…
07-24 02:13:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	147	53¢	$78	0x986695…
07-24 02:13:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	78	20¢	$16	0x7633c2…
07-24 02:13:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	278	2¢	$6	0xc1d317…
07-23 21:45:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	98	23¢	$22	0xf5f52d…
07-23 21:02:51	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x7986c2…
07-23 19:43:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	175	25¢	$43	0xed9e1f…
07-23 19:41:57	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	64	62¢	$39	0xe73adf…
07-23 19:14:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	96	56¢	$54	0x88db4e…
07-23 19:09:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	98	25¢	$24	0x824f3e…
07-23 19:09:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	278	4¢	$11	0x361afb…
07-23 18:05:10	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0xc4a17c…
07-23 17:46:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0xe0b0df…
07-23 17:42:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x0568ba…
07-23 17:13:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x6a6021…
07-23 16:03:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	99	61¢	$60	0xf5a887…
07-23 15:36:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	390	7¢	$28	0xdec0ea…
07-23 15:05:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xc138cf…
07-23 13:35:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	156	20¢	$31	0x4f0476…
07-23 13:29:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x8e8044…
07-23 13:17:42	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x9b86fb…
07-23 01:09:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x434d23…
07-23 00:42:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xad3d47…
07-23 00:12:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0xe72dfd…
07-23 00:07:19	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4dc982…
07-23 00:06:30	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0x982d70…
07-23 00:05:25	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xc0f840…
07-22 23:24:57	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xdc171b…
07-22 23:06:15	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x53c1d7…
07-22 23:02:07	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0xb061a3…
07-22 21:49:07	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	59	61¢	$36	0x0b15ef…
07-22 21:14:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	149	22¢	$33	0xaac4fd…
07-22 18:59:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x550bd0…
07-22 14:48:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8bb07d…
07-22 12:57:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	197	67¢	$133	0x38c855…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	285	37¢	$105	0xeeedfa…
07-22 11:25:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xd4a243…
07-21 16:57:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	144	34¢	$49	0x0e202e…
07-21 16:51:30	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0x4a895d…
07-21 14:17:12	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	99	54¢	$53	0x8c8f5a…
07-21 14:15:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	219	37¢	$81	0xe8f580…
07-21 13:42:28	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x4c3a96…
07-21 13:36:30	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	BUY	64	83¢	$53	0xd92cd8…
07-21 11:43:06	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5d7ce8…
07-21 02:55:48	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4675ba…
07-20 15:18:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	199	36¢	$72	0xbac2ef…
07-20 15:18:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	65¢	$64	0xc9eaa5…
07-20 15:15:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x1b9679…
07-20 15:12:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x0bde50…
07-20 15:12:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$13	0x8ea6a1…
07-20 14:58:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	199	71¢	$141	0xd90129…
07-20 14:49:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	196	34¢	$67	0xd9b511…
07-20 14:44:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	196	33¢	$65	0x770fe9…