Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$56
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$61
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 22:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72%
Other
28%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No -38 $-4 99¢ $-37 $-33 05-05 16:17
US x China tariff agreement by May 31? No +20 $11 63¢ $12 +$1 05-06 22:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -200 $-36 $-7 +$29 05-05 15:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 54¢ $4 +$0 05-06 18:53