Muddy-Booster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

631

Trades

8,353

lifetime

Volume

$150.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-28 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Politics

65% 38% -$437

Other

32% 36% -$2,756

Sports

2% 30% -$37

Tech

1% 33% -$39

Crypto

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes		+0	$30	0¢	$0	-$30	10-08 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	21	$4.7K	3,256	3,256	+0	No	-$31	03-04 23:01
us strikes iraq by march 7	22	$4.2K	18,302	5,348	+12,953	Yes	-$1,308	03-11 21:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	66	$3.6K	3,825	3,825	+0	No	+$143	05-30 12:17
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	4	$3.0K	1,526	1,526	+0	No	+$3	03-04 13:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	31	$2.8K	2,841	2,841	+0	No	-$43	05-29 18:51
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	85	$2.8K	4,620	4,620	+0	Yes	+$90	07-07 19:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$2.8K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	+$193	03-04 01:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	40	$2.7K	2,855	2,855	+0	Yes	+$240	04-26 20:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	38	$2.6K	3,751	3,751	+0	Yes	-$80	06-14 22:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	53	$2.4K	2,396	2,284	+112	Yes	+$113	06-14 14:47
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	7	$2.4K	1,541	1,541	+0	No	-$107	03-05 00:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	62	$2.2K	60,374	53,844	+6,530	No	-$162	04-29 23:25
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	52	$1.9K	2,603	2,603	+0	Yes	-$198	06-14 21:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	33	$1.9K	2,381	2,381	+0	No	-$317	06-02 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	23	$1.9K	2,483	2,483	+0	Yes	+$70	06-14 22:07
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	30	$1.8K	2,136	2,136	+0	Yes	+$246	06-14 22:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	25	$1.8K	1,702	1,562	+140	No	+$268	04-22 00:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	46	$1.7K	1,551	1,551	+0	No	-$12	04-21 09:10
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	28	$1.7K	4,445	4,445	+0	Yes	-$350	04-29 19:01
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$1.6K	4,458	4,458	+0	Yes	-$103	03-09 17:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	22	$1.6K	1,499	1,499	+0	No	-$77	04-24 17:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	32	$1.6K	1,368	1,368	+0	No	+$66	05-25 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$1.5K	2,282	2,282	+0	No	-$301	07-08 10:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$1.5K	1,392	1,392	+0	Yes	-$58	03-02 22:30
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	13	$1.5K	1,610	1,503	+107	No	+$16	03-08 15:26
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	21	$1.4K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$138	05-26 16:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	18	$1.3K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	-$6	04-21 19:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	24	$1.3K	1,966	1,966	+0	No	-$11	07-01 10:14
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	23	$1.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	Yes	+$113	06-18 20:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	19	$1.3K	1,338	1,338	+0	No	-$89	06-18 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:30:29	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19da90…
10-26 23:53:45	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x8bedb7…
10-26 21:16:06	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x37e7d9…
10-25 21:28:11	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x5df25f…
10-25 17:50:42	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x178cc6…
10-23 13:29:15	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x516dbf…
10-21 18:22:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x00a94d…
10-19 17:16:50	Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x46ec3b…
10-19 17:16:32	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xfb458a…
10-19 17:13:47	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd90447…
10-19 17:13:30	Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0xc6ba44…
10-19 17:03:33	Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x0ceddf…
10-19 17:03:29	Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2e19c5…
10-19 17:01:47	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xb4d457…
10-19 16:56:51	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xb8cbdd…
10-19 16:56:17	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3ef026…
10-19 16:55:38	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb5f8b7…
10-19 16:55:11	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1b57f3…
10-19 16:36:41	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x748cc1…
10-19 16:13:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x5463b5…
10-19 16:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb5210c…
10-19 16:07:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x58b199…
10-19 16:01:20	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3df084…
10-19 15:59:33	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a0b91…
10-19 15:43:36	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x60b01c…
10-19 13:25:02	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x62583b…
10-19 13:24:56	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x9fa8c1…
10-19 13:03:05	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x52a095…
10-19 12:27:54	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x076af9…
10-19 12:27:50	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x30d72e…
10-16 18:41:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x703b10…
10-16 17:38:39	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x772ddf…
10-15 03:17:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	237	11¢	$26	0xf3de0a…
10-13 21:36:13	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xaa7e43…
10-13 09:26:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x3f9a40…
10-12 17:00:12	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x18a67b…
10-11 11:26:44	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$6	0x44122e…
10-11 09:59:28	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xdcbe50…
10-10 18:54:24	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x35578d…
10-10 18:54:15	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xb1720e…
10-10 12:37:58	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x505f98…
10-10 01:33:22	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x79e84a…
10-09 23:19:34	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb08cea…
10-09 23:19:34	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59ae90…
10-08 17:32:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x56499b…
10-08 17:31:51	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xa6c4e9…
10-08 06:41:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa5fc3d…
10-08 05:11:59	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x2219c0…
10-08 05:03:38	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x612884…
10-08 04:59:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x614dbe…
10-08 01:16:40	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	97	10¢	$10	0xb791dc…
10-07 17:25:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xcf9293…
10-07 14:30:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x6064b5…
10-07 11:51:28	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9e0dd8…
10-07 11:51:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x27b63c…
10-06 20:21:33	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x83724c…
10-06 19:44:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x3781c0…
10-06 16:54:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6a116d…
10-06 16:54:41	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3640fa…
10-06 11:15:52	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x50255d…
10-06 01:01:47	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	97	10¢	$10	0xc92bb3…
10-05 21:51:26	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x9dbb05…
10-05 11:53:19	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xc2d9a8…
10-05 11:52:59	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	99	13¢	$13	0xdbe008…
10-05 11:36:28	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0xac9fba…
10-05 07:09:35	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x16ca61…
10-05 07:09:25	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdb2141…
10-05 07:08:55	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	96	6¢	$6	0xf9f8f0…
10-05 07:08:23	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xe3f546…
10-04 22:41:38	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6878e3…
10-04 22:39:08	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x90de39…
10-04 22:25:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x310831…
10-04 21:27:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x3b39f8…
10-04 19:25:08	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x1f835a…
10-04 19:17:19	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xd6a4ca…
10-04 18:34:02	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xc8b271…
10-04 18:12:49	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x279b69…
10-04 18:11:10	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x5640c0…
10-04 18:10:40	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd92ee8…
10-04 18:10:40	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x8feac4…
10-04 18:10:26	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x1931d4…
10-04 18:10:13	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x36499b…
10-04 18:09:37	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x87e5c7…
10-04 18:04:11	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0b0022…
10-04 18:01:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0x5f1148…
10-04 16:21:23	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x33820b…
10-04 16:21:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x37a6f3…
10-04 16:07:08	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	28	65¢	$19	0xf1269b…
10-04 11:07:55	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xf58f22…
10-04 11:07:55	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x07c924…
10-03 18:24:29	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x4cc346…
10-02 11:18:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xb95fb2…
10-02 02:53:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x2014a7…
10-02 00:59:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	24¢	$37	0x8fbffe…
10-01 18:42:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x9f505e…
10-01 18:35:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	24¢	$16	0x2b7bdf…
10-01 16:53:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	SELL	86	9¢	$8	0x23d506…
10-01 16:53:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x9e771e…
10-01 16:53:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x0c171f…
10-01 13:25:05	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x498466…