Overdue-Skeleton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,663

lifetime

Volume

$69.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$129

Other

41% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	36	$4.6K	7,768	7,768	+0	open	—	04-07 22:55
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	21	$4.5K	2,582	2,582	+0	open	—	01-31 10:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	57	$3.2K	2,769	2,769	+0	open	—	03-10 15:20
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	17	$2.8K	1,824	1,824	+0	open	—	01-25 17:24
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	28	$2.6K	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	03-01 12:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	30	$2.5K	2,261	2,281	-20	open	—	02-13 06:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$2.4K	1,867	1,867	+0	open	—	03-01 01:27
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	24	$2.1K	3,133	1,360	+1,772	open	—	02-08 13:49
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-12 17:16
will sza release a new song in 2025	1	$1.9K	0	1,949	-1,949	open	—	01-01 00:53
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	21	$1.6K	2,310	1,053	+1,258	open	—	02-08 12:59
will leavitt say state of the union during the next white house press briefing	15	$1.6K	1,612	882	+730	open	—	03-04 19:53
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	18	$1.3K	767	767	+0	open	—	02-28 08:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$1.2K	898	898	+0	open	—	03-23 12:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.2K	750	900	-150	open	—	02-28 22:14
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	8	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-02 17:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$988	518	518	+0	open	—	03-14 12:08
us strikes iraq by february 28	73	$961	871	841	+30	open	—	03-03 16:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$948	534	534	+0	open	—	04-10 12:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$929	669	669	+0	open	—	03-22 23:41
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	9	$805	1,588	1,588	+0	open	—	01-05 05:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	7	$775	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-23 12:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$750	960	1,142	-182	open	—	06-03 21:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	33	$695	1,140	937	+203	open	—	03-05 22:48
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	8	$689	373	372	+1	open	—	03-09 21:35
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	14	$679	1,224	1,224	+0	open	—	01-03 22:23
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	7	$679	353	477	-124	open	—	01-22 02:19
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$669	347	347	+0	open	—	03-14 06:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$668	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 18:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$644	642	642	+0	open	—	04-23 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 21:48:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0378e3…
06-01 10:00:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x11a4ae…
06-01 08:34:45	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfba1eb…
06-01 08:14:07	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x714fa3…
06-01 06:53:30	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbe5572…
06-01 00:15:33	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x11be62…
05-31 22:48:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x319198…
05-31 22:16:40	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xb28c22…
05-31 17:20:41	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb4ed88…
05-31 12:53:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x29b996…
05-31 12:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x913f89…
05-31 12:52:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdbc53c…
05-31 12:52:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x89174b…
05-31 12:52:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x2bcfca…
05-31 12:39:52	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	6¢	$8	0xa1910a…
05-31 12:32:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0x0870dd…
05-30 23:25:19	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfb43ce…
05-30 13:52:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x984434…
05-30 13:44:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x0bfaa4…
05-30 13:42:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb710fd…
05-30 13:36:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	87¢	$46	0x840fcc…
05-30 13:33:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x6bb41f…
05-30 13:30:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x76816a…
05-30 13:27:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x18dc9d…
05-30 13:24:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$26	0x2230a5…
05-30 13:16:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	12¢	$20	0x59df1a…
05-30 13:15:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0x2b6265…
05-30 13:13:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xd8b1e1…
05-30 13:05:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x74fcd7…
05-30 13:05:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	11¢	$17	0xb6d470…
05-30 12:58:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xfcbee9…
05-30 12:50:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	167	93¢	$156	0x26b2c7…
05-30 10:27:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xcf1c79…
05-30 10:27:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xf24822…
05-29 22:22:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	260	72¢	$187	0x5a3764…
05-29 05:36:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x8ebb8f…
05-29 05:15:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	61¢	$91	0xc8961b…
05-29 03:09:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x409017…
05-29 00:30:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x39956b…
05-29 00:14:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xd14068…
05-29 00:04:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x20b839…
05-28 14:13:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	14¢	$25	0xd1ef20…
05-28 11:27:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xeea73c…
05-28 11:21:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	36¢	$25	0x944e6d…
05-28 10:18:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xa69d4d…
05-28 09:02:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0x9e4910…
05-27 23:50:31	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	278	1¢	$2	0x8a8b80…
05-27 23:21:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf3dc44…
05-27 23:20:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xd84069…
05-27 22:39:35	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	266	4¢	$11	0x9879c5…
05-27 22:39:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	6¢	$12	0x681171…
05-27 22:39:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	14¢	$36	0x9008bd…
05-27 22:38:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0xbb3c9c…
05-27 22:38:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x1e957a…
05-27 15:43:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xdf56a0…
05-27 15:42:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xfcc999…
05-27 15:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x62acb5…
05-27 15:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4ce4c2…
05-27 15:42:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x9f3d8e…
05-27 15:42:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x96bf4f…
05-27 15:41:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x46a7bb…
05-26 09:39:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0x2fac07…
05-26 07:31:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	250	5¢	$14	0xaf904d…
05-26 04:12:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x26fc35…
05-26 00:11:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x75f1d0…
05-25 23:59:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x5aad42…
05-25 23:49:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x21bb86…
05-25 23:49:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x5658d6…
05-25 23:48:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	602	3¢	$19	0x703c0e…
05-25 23:45:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfac8fa…
05-25 23:44:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xa8855e…
05-25 23:44:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xf2dae3…
05-25 23:39:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x804402…
05-25 23:34:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x8d10f1…
05-25 23:28:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x747ff8…
05-25 23:26:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2d2ac9…
05-25 23:26:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5eb4a3…
05-25 23:10:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xa7425d…
05-25 23:06:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x7b5868…
05-25 21:45:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x97ef71…
05-25 21:02:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x2a6cdf…
05-25 20:55:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$12	0x083f99…
05-25 20:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$4	0x67fba2…
05-25 15:25:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x41b507…
05-25 15:16:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xc45b5b…
05-25 09:39:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xfe7a6f…
05-25 09:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x952d36…
05-25 09:37:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0f3fcd…
05-24 15:57:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9b1030…
05-24 15:57:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x2437a7…
05-24 11:38:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4e1d07…
05-24 11:38:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xbff045…
05-24 02:07:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xed4073…
05-24 01:20:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	205	3¢	$6	0x2b5472…
05-24 01:19:59	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xb7d104…
05-23 20:11:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcb28af…
05-23 20:09:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x03aee2…
05-23 18:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0xfba0a9…
05-23 17:05:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	3¢	$7	0xe78ba2…
05-23 16:21:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x74f32e…