Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

200

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$137

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-29 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

67% 78% +$253

Politics

29% 70% -$141

Crypto

4% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+71	$62	99¢	$70	+$8	10-27 01:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+67	$60	100¢	$67	+$7	10-26 02:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$471	279	279	+0	No	+$39	06-01 07:07
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	2	$427	291	291	+0	Yes	+$42	07-26 16:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$416	310	310	+0	Yes	-$48	07-28 22:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	2	$402	233	233	+0	No	+$39	08-01 16:01
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	3	$382	325	246	+79	Yes	+$2	08-19 12:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$375	272	272	+0	No	-$69	05-25 23:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$356	205	205	+0	No	+$53	05-29 13:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$341	331	331	+0	No	-$74	08-27 22:30
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$244	1,109	0	+1,109	No	-$244	06-01 07:38
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$232	140	140	+0	No	+$17	08-17 13:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$208	224	0	+224	No	+$16	05-16 18:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$203	230	0	+230	No	+$28	05-02 12:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$203	220	0	+220	No	+$18	05-29 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$170	178	71	+107	Yes	+$20	10-27 01:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$168	131	72	+59	No	-$17	10-27 02:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	7	$138	236	179	+57	Yes	+$13	09-11 01:08
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	2	$130	70	70	+0	No	+$10	08-23 07:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$119	122	122	+0	open	—	09-12 11:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$104	93	93	+0	No	-$17	08-28 16:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$102	105	0	+105	No	+$2	04-29 13:55
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$100	66	66	+0	No	-$21	10-26 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$98	420	420	+0	open	—	10-27 01:50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$95	69	69	+0	Yes	-$29	10-20 02:09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	1	$89	94	0	+94	No	+$5	10-20 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	1	$86	105	0	+105	No	-$86	10-21 08:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$86	58	58	+0	No	-$17	08-02 02:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$85	67	67	+0	Yes	+$17	08-04 17:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	5	$81	171	168	+3	Yes	-$19	10-02 02:19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$79	108	0	+108	Yes	+$30	10-16 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	10	$78	141	94	+47	Yes	+$2	09-04 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	16¢	$61	0x90d483…
10-29 02:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	16¢	$61	0x714228…
10-28 09:07:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x967c2c…
10-28 08:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x7759bd…
10-28 01:47:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x0fc92f…
10-28 01:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x157f6f…
10-28 01:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0xe353be…
10-27 09:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0xb4fe9f…
10-27 02:17:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xe11cf9…
10-27 02:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xf5e0fb…
10-27 02:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	13¢	$14	0x6cd593…
10-27 02:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0x3bcfb7…
10-27 02:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xcec772…
10-27 01:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$62	0x35e721…
10-27 01:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	88¢	$62	0x5b1587…
10-27 01:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	58¢	$62	0x5fa564…
10-27 01:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	10¢	$43	0xb12666…
10-26 09:28:45	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	60¢	$39	0xe332a8…
10-26 09:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	71	58¢	$41	0x381074…
10-26 09:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	72	64¢	$46	0xf48221…
10-26 09:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0xcfb869…
10-26 02:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xdb87fc…
10-26 02:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x481874…
10-26 02:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xfd921d…
10-25 10:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xc6f44d…
10-25 10:29:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x509ecc…
10-25 10:24:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	13¢	$55	0xc762c8…
10-25 10:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	64	85¢	$55	0xea14bf…
10-25 02:08:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	87	74¢	$64	0x8ef367…
10-24 08:53:56	white house of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 200plus	Yes	BUY	61	76¢	$46	0xe0b6fe…
10-24 08:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x16c47f…
10-24 03:12:41	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x401da4…
10-24 03:03:32	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0xde59ce…
10-24 02:58:05	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xfc333f…
10-24 02:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x7136f5…
10-24 02:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xc92694…
10-23 02:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	89¢	$52	0xcb977e…
10-23 02:08:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x7cf5db…
10-23 01:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	56¢	$58	0x5c9ed0…
10-23 01:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0xc72cd0…
10-22 08:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xbf38f5…
10-22 02:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0x0ac9eb…
10-22 02:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x8e0d47…
10-22 02:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xb99beb…
10-21 08:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	82¢	$86	0xd9973f…
10-21 01:48:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x3da18b…
10-21 01:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x73499f…
10-21 01:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x9b985b…
10-21 01:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x5212c4…
10-20 07:51:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$89	0x06cf3c…
10-20 02:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xf3d12c…
10-20 02:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xddfc62…
10-20 02:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$68	0xaa0f21…
10-20 02:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x07023a…
10-19 02:41:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	77	89¢	$68	0x28e6b6…
10-18 11:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x865901…
10-18 11:46:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xf6b589…
10-18 11:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$61	0x01cc70…
10-17 12:32:20	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 160 179	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc9e6fb…
10-17 12:31:56	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 140 159	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x3ba7d3…
10-17 12:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0xfe09ba…
10-17 03:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x0ad92d…
10-17 03:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x3be231…
10-17 02:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xf0de3d…
10-17 02:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xd3b8ff…
10-17 02:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x54751a…
10-17 02:37:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0x2da3dc…
10-17 02:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xa1f1ea…
10-16 08:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	73¢	$79	0x4ed4a4…
10-16 03:05:27	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	80¢	$53	0xc427ed…
10-16 02:58:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x6d5233…
10-16 02:57:01	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x9ef0de…
10-16 02:54:24	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xb485c1…
10-16 02:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x6402ca…
10-16 02:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xe64b90…
10-16 02:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0xb26c91…
10-16 02:38:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	73	91¢	$67	0x7ae423…
10-16 02:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x1aeb50…
10-16 02:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xed1b06…
10-16 02:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x1851c1…
10-16 02:25:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x5ea57e…
10-15 09:00:41	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x3f7e72…
10-15 08:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xca0543…
10-15 08:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x8c3c73…
10-15 01:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x8e9846…
10-14 02:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x569176…
10-14 02:44:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x105437…
10-14 02:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x0b8419…
10-14 02:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x34cf42…
10-13 09:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xec175c…
10-13 09:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0xab02d6…
10-13 09:10:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xf86a12…
10-12 11:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xed342c…
10-12 11:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xa37f3f…
10-12 02:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x7fea14…
10-12 02:25:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x740f47…
10-12 02:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x554dbc…
10-10 09:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x8b445d…
10-10 03:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	74¢	$58	0x69c6e0…
10-09 09:17:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	80¢	$37	0x83d4f0…