Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

247

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$925

16 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-08 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

76% 77% +$250

Politics

21% 55% -$232

Crypto

3% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+69	$63	100¢	$69	+$5	11-05 02:18
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	+70	$67	95¢	$66	$0	11-08 01:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+68	$74	97¢	$66	-$7	11-07 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	+66	$64	98¢	$65	+$1	11-07 04:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+67	$64	98¢	$65	+$1	11-07 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+72	$71	90¢	$65	-$6	11-08 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+68	$67	94¢	$64	-$3	11-07 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+67	$64	96¢	$64	$0	11-07 04:36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+68	$64	94¢	$64	$0	11-07 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+69	$65	90¢	$63	-$3	11-07 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+50	$48	98¢	$49	+$2	11-05 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+49	$46	99¢	$48	+$2	11-06 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+49	$47	98¢	$48	+$1	11-05 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+45	$40	100¢	$45	+$5	11-06 02:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+47	$44	92¢	$43	$0	11-08 02:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	+41	$40	99¢	$41	+$1	11-06 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$471	279	279	+0	No	+$39	06-01 07:07
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	2	$427	291	291	+0	Yes	+$42	07-26 16:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$416	310	310	+0	Yes	-$48	07-28 22:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	2	$402	233	233	+0	No	+$39	08-01 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	6	$398	226	226	+0	open	—	11-07 04:23
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	3	$382	325	246	+79	Yes	+$2	08-19 12:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$375	272	272	+0	No	-$69	05-25 23:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$356	205	205	+0	No	+$53	05-29 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	6	$350	582	448	+134	No	-$6	11-05 09:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$341	331	331	+0	No	-$74	08-27 22:30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	7	$327	545	503	+43	Yes	-$41	11-06 09:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	4	$310	205	137	+68	open	—	11-07 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	4	$295	164	164	+0	open	—	11-07 04:24
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$244	1,109	0	+1,109	No	-$244	06-01 07:38
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$232	140	140	+0	No	+$17	08-17 13:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$208	224	0	+224	No	+$16	05-16 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$207	472	472	+0	No	-$29	11-03 02:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	4	$205	115	115	+0	open	—	11-06 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$204	117	117	+0	Yes	-$13	11-02 09:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$203	230	0	+230	No	+$28	05-02 12:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$203	220	0	+220	No	+$18	05-29 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	3	$188	140	68	+72	open	—	11-08 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$187	140	70	+70	No	+$5	11-05 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$183	161	161	+0	No	-$75	11-06 08:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$170	178	71	+107	Yes	+$20	10-27 01:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$168	131	72	+59	No	-$17	10-27 02:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	3	$166	124	56	+68	open	—	11-07 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$160	492	420	+72	No	-$1	10-29 08:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	3	$156	120	51	+69	open	—	11-07 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	7	$138	236	179	+57	Yes	+$13	09-11 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:11:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x94b49f…
11-08 02:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xd3b751…
11-08 02:04:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	72	91¢	$65	0x13cb46…
11-08 01:55:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x1ef845…
11-07 09:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$65	0x7ef208…
11-07 09:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	82¢	$64	0xaee88a…
11-07 05:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x394ef4…
11-07 04:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0xc1f054…
11-07 04:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xb1c407…
11-07 04:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x360f9b…
11-07 04:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xb3c9da…
11-07 04:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xabf35d…
11-07 04:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	93	87¢	$81	0xb8edb8…
11-07 04:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	98	81¢	$80	0xc1ffe9…
11-06 09:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x45f55d…
11-06 09:26:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	44	86¢	$38	0x1ce879…
11-06 09:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0xe9aec3…
11-06 09:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xa7c016…
11-06 09:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0xb67c2d…
11-06 09:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	56	89¢	$49	0x3d1acf…
11-06 09:14:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x5b0390…
11-06 09:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xc5a9c7…
11-06 08:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	16¢	$14	0xc37acd…
11-06 02:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x57b140…
11-06 02:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x3c709b…
11-06 02:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0x3c408b…
11-05 09:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0xbc2e0f…
11-05 08:50:13	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	81¢	$46	0xa0d1e9…
11-05 08:47:49	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	63¢	$39	0x208f01…
11-05 08:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x82caa8…
11-05 08:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x099ba0…
11-05 08:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	68	86¢	$59	0xb0f2b0…
11-05 08:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	137	86¢	$118	0x61587e…
11-05 08:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xc38f2a…
11-05 08:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	67	58¢	$39	0x571aba…
11-05 02:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x75bc5b…
11-05 02:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$48	0x646f8c…
11-05 02:23:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	52	89¢	$47	0x8a8a2f…
11-05 02:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x9c0375…
11-05 02:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xc67bbd…
11-05 02:18:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x8da0bb…
11-05 02:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	71	87¢	$62	0x86cbf2…
11-05 02:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0x9ca5bc…
11-05 02:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$63	0x70db62…
11-05 02:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x36c420…
11-04 09:16:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0x59e94a…
11-04 09:15:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x740bcf…
11-04 02:15:52	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	89¢	$51	0x1771ae…
11-04 02:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x474fc6…
11-04 02:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xd56e39…
11-04 02:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xafbc5f…
11-03 09:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x0366cc…
11-03 09:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xe277a4…
11-03 08:58:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0xd287d0…
11-03 02:48:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	201	6¢	$12	0xa28b6d…
11-03 02:47:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	63	19¢	$12	0x81fc79…
11-03 02:47:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x6e0726…
11-03 02:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$66	0x8268de…
11-03 02:33:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x55c2f3…
11-03 02:33:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x4fc0f9…
11-03 02:25:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	70	89¢	$63	0x418391…
11-03 02:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x8059fc…
11-03 02:24:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	72	90¢	$64	0x313c4b…
11-03 02:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x1087b2…
11-03 02:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	69	88¢	$60	0x772641…
11-03 02:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$52	0x397459…
11-03 02:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0x2a581e…
11-03 02:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	63	57¢	$36	0xf7b2ac…
11-03 02:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$64	0x1b5a76…
11-03 02:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	77	74¢	$57	0xfe968c…
11-02 09:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x30e0b6…
11-02 09:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0x72be20…
11-02 09:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0x42df00…
11-02 03:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$65	0x956f5d…
11-02 03:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xc152c4…
11-02 02:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x5fe008…
11-01 07:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0xd1bbcf…
11-01 02:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0xa07c86…
11-01 02:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x99c198…
11-01 01:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xefd50d…
11-01 01:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0x16e732…
10-31 10:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x009869…
10-31 10:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x8c511a…
10-31 10:06:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x108733…
10-31 09:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0x48fb88…
10-31 02:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x9a88d2…
10-31 02:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xb521eb…
10-31 02:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0xc3a451…
10-31 02:20:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	12¢	$44	0x3ed619…
10-31 02:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	8¢	$32	0x60534e…
10-31 02:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	59	84¢	$49	0x6c548f…
10-31 02:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	13¢	$53	0x3d90a9…
10-31 02:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	8¢	$10	0x585751…
10-30 08:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xa80525…
10-30 08:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	15¢	$61	0xb16afd…
10-30 08:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	20¢	$21	0x47aa71…
10-30 08:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x66ec78…
10-30 08:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x64a826…
10-30 08:18:57	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	41¢	$27	0x9d1526…
10-30 02:17:10	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x93937b…