Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$216

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved (30d)

115

Trades (30d)

166

401 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$7.54K

$15.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$120

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-02 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

70% 79% +$301

Politics

26% 64% -$194

Crypto

4% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No		+69	$63	96¢	$67	+$3	10-31 02:26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No		+63	$57	85¢	$53	-$4	11-02 09:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$471	279	279	+0	No	+$39	06-01 07:07
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	2	$427	291	291	+0	Yes	+$42	07-26 16:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$416	310	310	+0	Yes	-$48	07-28 22:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	2	$402	233	233	+0	No	+$39	08-01 16:01
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	3	$382	325	246	+79	Yes	+$2	08-19 12:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$375	272	272	+0	No	-$69	05-25 23:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$356	205	205	+0	No	+$53	05-29 13:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$341	331	331	+0	No	-$74	08-27 22:30
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$244	1,109	0	+1,109	No	-$244	06-01 07:38
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$232	140	140	+0	No	+$17	08-17 13:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$208	224	0	+224	No	+$16	05-16 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$204	117	117	+0	open	—	11-02 09:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$203	230	0	+230	No	+$28	05-02 12:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$203	220	0	+220	No	+$18	05-29 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$171	472	409	+63	open	—	11-02 09:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$170	178	71	+107	Yes	+$20	10-27 01:54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$169	448	380	+69	open	—	11-01 02:05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$168	131	72	+59	No	-$17	10-27 02:12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$160	492	420	+72	No	-$1	10-29 08:59
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$147	443	383	+60	open	—	10-31 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	7	$138	236	179	+57	Yes	+$13	09-11 01:08
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	2	$130	70	70	+0	No	+$10	08-23 07:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$119	122	122	+0	open	—	09-12 11:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$104	93	93	+0	No	-$17	08-28 16:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$102	105	0	+105	No	+$2	04-29 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$101	56	56	+0	open	—	11-01 01:56
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$100	66	66	+0	No	-$21	10-26 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$95	69	69	+0	Yes	-$29	10-20 02:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$95	175	105	+70	No	+$15	10-30 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$93	193	124	+69	open	—	10-31 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x30e0b6…
11-02 09:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0x72be20…
11-02 09:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0x42df00…
11-02 03:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$65	0x956f5d…
11-02 03:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xc152c4…
11-02 02:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x5fe008…
11-01 07:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0xd1bbcf…
11-01 02:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0xa07c86…
11-01 02:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x99c198…
11-01 01:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xefd50d…
11-01 01:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0x16e732…
10-31 10:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x009869…
10-31 10:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x8c511a…
10-31 10:06:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x108733…
10-31 09:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0x48fb88…
10-31 02:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x9a88d2…
10-31 02:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xb521eb…
10-31 02:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0xc3a451…
10-31 02:20:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	12¢	$44	0x3ed619…
10-31 02:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	8¢	$32	0x60534e…
10-31 02:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	59	84¢	$49	0x6c548f…
10-31 02:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	13¢	$53	0x3d90a9…
10-31 02:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	8¢	$10	0x585751…
10-30 08:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xa80525…
10-30 08:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	15¢	$61	0xb16afd…
10-30 08:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	20¢	$21	0x47aa71…
10-30 08:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x66ec78…
10-30 08:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x64a826…
10-30 08:18:57	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	41¢	$27	0x9d1526…
10-30 02:17:10	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x93937b…
10-30 02:08:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	83¢	$60	0x9f2df4…
10-29 09:01:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0x61fe18…
10-29 09:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0xcd3221…
10-29 08:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	72	86¢	$62	0xaccc03…
10-29 08:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	88¢	$63	0xc72cad…
10-29 02:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	16¢	$61	0x90d483…
10-29 02:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	16¢	$61	0x714228…
10-28 09:07:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x967c2c…
10-28 08:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x7759bd…
10-28 01:47:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x0fc92f…
10-28 01:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x157f6f…
10-28 01:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0xe353be…
10-27 09:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0xb4fe9f…
10-27 02:17:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xe11cf9…
10-27 02:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xf5e0fb…
10-27 02:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	13¢	$14	0x6cd593…
10-27 02:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0x3bcfb7…
10-27 02:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xcec772…
10-27 01:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$62	0x35e721…
10-27 01:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	88¢	$62	0x5b1587…
10-27 01:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	58¢	$62	0x5fa564…
10-27 01:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	10¢	$43	0xb12666…
10-26 09:28:45	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	60¢	$39	0xe332a8…
10-26 09:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	71	58¢	$41	0x381074…
10-26 09:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	72	64¢	$46	0xf48221…
10-26 09:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0xcfb869…
10-26 02:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xdb87fc…
10-26 02:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x481874…
10-26 02:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xfd921d…
10-25 10:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xc6f44d…
10-25 10:29:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x509ecc…
10-25 10:24:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	13¢	$55	0xc762c8…
10-25 10:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	64	85¢	$55	0xea14bf…
10-25 02:08:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	87	74¢	$64	0x8ef367…
10-24 08:53:56	white house of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 200plus	Yes	BUY	61	76¢	$46	0xe0b6fe…
10-24 08:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x16c47f…
10-24 03:12:41	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x401da4…
10-24 03:03:32	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0xde59ce…
10-24 02:58:05	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xfc333f…
10-24 02:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x7136f5…
10-24 02:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xc92694…
10-23 02:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	89¢	$52	0xcb977e…
10-23 02:08:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x7cf5db…
10-23 01:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	56¢	$58	0x5c9ed0…
10-23 01:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0xc72cd0…
10-22 08:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xbf38f5…
10-22 02:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0x0ac9eb…
10-22 02:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x8e0d47…
10-22 02:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xb99beb…
10-21 08:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	82¢	$86	0xd9973f…
10-21 01:48:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x3da18b…
10-21 01:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x73499f…
10-21 01:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x9b985b…
10-21 01:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x5212c4…
10-20 07:51:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$89	0x06cf3c…
10-20 02:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xf3d12c…
10-20 02:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xddfc62…
10-20 02:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$68	0xaa0f21…
10-20 02:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x07023a…
10-19 02:41:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	77	89¢	$68	0x28e6b6…
10-18 11:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x865901…
10-18 11:46:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xf6b589…
10-18 11:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$61	0x01cc70…
10-17 12:32:20	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 160 179	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc9e6fb…
10-17 12:31:56	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 140 159	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x3ba7d3…
10-17 12:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0xfe09ba…
10-17 03:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x0ad92d…
10-17 03:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x3be231…
10-17 02:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xf0de3d…
10-17 02:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xd3b8ff…