Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
+$196
Hit rate
12.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$5.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$260
Open exposure
$4.50K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-13 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
78% 0% $-23
Other
22% 50% $-19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No -2,606 $-2,387 90¢ $-2332 +$54 05-13 03:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,280 $922 73¢ $934 +$13 05-12 23:28
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31? Yes -353 $-297 84¢ $-298 $-1 05-11 20:59
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes +439 $207 55¢ $239 +$32 05-11 14:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +231 $166 94¢ $216 +$50 05-08 03:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +277 $147 55¢ $152 +$6 05-12 17:47
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -400 $-124 32¢ $-126 $-2 05-07 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +125 $60 70¢ $87 +$27 05-07 21:59
Kash Patel out by May 31? Yes -560 $-93 15¢ $-81 +$11 05-08 04:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -89 $-36 34¢ $-31 +$5 05-07 21:54