Chubby-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,404

lifetime

Volume

$316.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

29% 25% $-160

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	86	$42.7K	25,304	25,304	+0	open	—	05-27 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	113	$33.5K	19,569	19,416	+153	open	—	04-27 12:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	82	$31.8K	22,840	22,621	+219	open	—	05-25 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	26	$25.1K	15,347	16,103	-756	open	—	07-25 16:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	23	$13.2K	0	19,750	-19,750	open	—	06-07 19:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	9	$10.4K	8,598	3,304	+5,294	open	—	08-09 18:31
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	32	$9.7K	6,413	6,413	+0	open	—	03-04 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	28	$9.4K	19,458	0	+19,458	open	—	07-25 12:17
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	36	$8.9K	7,565	7,565	+0	open	—	02-16 05:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	30	$8.4K	5,257	5,257	+0	open	—	02-16 05:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	39	$8.3K	6,181	6,181	+0	open	—	02-16 05:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$8.2K	7,908	2,469	+5,439	open	—	06-14 15:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	31	$7.5K	6,209	6,209	+0	open	—	02-16 05:45
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	47	$7.3K	14,626	14,661	-34	open	—	02-27 04:13
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	18	$7.0K	3,942	3,942	+0	open	—	02-16 05:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$6.7K	3,819	3,819	+0	open	—	04-29 22:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	25	$6.6K	5,249	5,249	-0	open	—	02-16 05:36
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	49	$6.1K	10,612	5,729	+4,883	open	—	01-22 01:31
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	10	$4.2K	5,465	0	+5,465	open	—	02-28 08:11
Kash Patel out by May 31?	32	$3.7K	7,279	5,224	+2,055	open	—	05-13 21:45
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	4	$2.4K	3,295	331	+2,964	open	—	08-08 14:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$2.2K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	07-20 00:06
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	31	$2.1K	4,810	1,532	+3,277	open	—	04-28 01:58
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	14	$2.0K	2,618	731	+1,886	open	—	04-21 03:58
will the 2026 state of the union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long	3	$2.0K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	02-25 05:23
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	9	$1.9K	1,302	1,302	+0	open	—	02-02 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	17	$1.9K	0	2,108	-2,108	open	—	05-28 17:11
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	12	$1.8K	2,457	1,349	+1,108	open	—	02-25 02:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	29	$1.8K	1,757	1,475	+282	open	—	01-09 05:40
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	32	$1.8K	2,017	1,953	+65	open	—	01-10 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:58:52	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x7d157c…
08-10 21:43:28	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	No	SELL	384	39¢	$151	0x0e45da…
08-10 21:41:12	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	BUY	342	28¢	$96	0xaf05f4…
08-10 17:20:34	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	185	4¢	$8	0x2401ea…
08-09 19:59:37	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	1,030	80¢	$824	0x12f8f6…
08-09 18:31:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	670	94¢	$630	0x85b81f…
08-09 18:29:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	634	94¢	$596	0x538899…
08-08 14:16:36	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	110	76¢	$84	0xc548c7…
08-08 14:10:46	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	221	70¢	$155	0xa4cfca…
08-08 14:09:31	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	3,121	65¢	$2,023	0x2ebf63…
08-08 06:56:39	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	174	63¢	$110	0x7b466b…
08-07 05:21:55	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	No	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0xd2b06f…
08-07 05:14:24	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	No	BUY	341	22¢	$75	0x728d12…
08-07 05:06:04	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	No	SELL	54	86¢	$46	0xdb0b97…
08-07 05:06:00	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	No	SELL	676	88¢	$592	0x26944f…
08-07 03:32:19	will tony score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107433	No	BUY	405	91¢	$368	0xcf44b3…
08-07 03:31:51	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	No	BUY	777	82¢	$634	0x363815…
08-07 03:20:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	No	BUY	160	18¢	$29	0x3bb85a…
08-07 03:20:16	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xa05c92…
08-07 02:11:19	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	No	BUY	588	16¢	$93	0xa4c9b2…
08-06 22:28:48	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	433	14¢	$62	0x43a303…
08-06 21:08:21	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x9cd70a…
08-06 21:01:36	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$72	0x43d09a…
08-06 20:53:21	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x4e30d7…
08-06 19:26:15	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	327	82¢	$268	0xcbc668…
08-06 04:37:44	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	154	12¢	$18	0x701257…
08-06 02:09:56	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	12¢	$18	0x1ee3a1…
08-06 02:08:44	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xa59706…
08-06 02:08:05	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	110	77¢	$85	0x0fd489…
08-06 02:07:54	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0x87d133…
08-06 02:05:17	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0x1d7b8e…
08-06 02:05:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x5b5714…
08-05 21:52:26	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	357	5¢	$16	0xfe47eb…
08-05 20:43:32	will josh hawley vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926667	Yes	SELL	154	17¢	$26	0x25075c…
08-05 20:31:59	Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	57	90¢	$52	0x0e52a8…
08-05 20:18:06	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	52	40¢	$21	0xe7c3f4…
08-05 20:18:06	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x161acb…
08-05 20:17:05	will josh hawley vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926667	Yes	SELL	154	22¢	$34	0x4e3c45…
08-05 14:11:21	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	2,202	10¢	$212	0xe088b4…
08-05 14:07:00	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	403	30¢	$120	0x40eeb2…
08-04 18:30:08	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	704	4¢	$26	0xab7814…
08-04 16:56:59	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	No	BUY	154	18¢	$28	0xf8b3fa…
08-04 16:56:21	Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0xe7cfc1…
08-04 04:47:59	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	110	46¢	$50	0xd7748d…
08-03 14:13:09	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	807	90¢	$727	0x90fd4a…
08-02 21:25:53	Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$23	0x2e3923…
08-02 16:49:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,952	89¢	$1,737	0xafdabd…
08-02 16:44:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	48	89¢	$43	0xf74096…
08-01 13:55:15	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	No	BUY	16	71¢	$12	0x3088b8…
07-31 16:56:33	Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x67c063…
07-31 06:17:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	No	BUY	154	12¢	$18	0x23cea3…
07-31 02:46:27	will ruben gallego vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926665	Yes	BUY	308	16¢	$49	0xd3c388…
07-30 23:25:57	will lisa blunt rochester vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926664	No	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0xe8b65e…
07-30 16:25:44	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	No	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x09b683…
07-30 16:20:03	another frontier math problem solved by december 31 2026 20260728180257859	Yes	BUY	472	79¢	$371	0xe61f41…
07-30 15:03:30	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	Yes	BUY	231	46¢	$106	0x8376e3…
07-30 13:56:26	will jerry moran vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926662	No	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x575f13…
07-30 13:36:27	will lisa blunt rochester vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926664	Yes	BUY	231	27¢	$62	0xf45ec4…
07-30 13:35:44	will josh hawley vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926667	Yes	BUY	308	12¢	$37	0xc17b8c…
07-30 13:34:33	will jerry moran vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926662	Yes	BUY	265	29¢	$78	0x6d7fdc…
07-28 18:55:40	will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	BUY	98	54¢	$52	0x9128a9…
07-28 18:55:19	will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0xf15a7a…
07-28 00:08:25	todd blanche disbarred or suspended in ny in 2026 20260713190235888	No	BUY	77	81¢	$62	0x02021c…
07-26 14:31:01	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	301	16¢	$48	0x85227e…
07-26 01:47:51	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723190142925	Yes	BUY	135	17¢	$23	0x0c78aa…
07-25 16:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,030	99¢	$2,016	0xe1a010…
07-25 12:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,561	47¢	$734	0xcd3545…
07-25 12:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	770	99¢	$765	0x0391c3…
07-25 05:54:01	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	1,030	90¢	$927	0xe4b635…
07-25 05:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x3196a9…
07-24 21:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	719	99¢	$715	0x55a3f6…
07-24 20:26:25	will fatherland be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x869f9b…
07-24 20:25:37	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xec8ebe…
07-24 20:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xe57bd3…
07-24 18:58:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	719	99¢	$715	0xcc5cdb…
07-24 18:04:58	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	BUY	93	66¢	$61	0xe0e395…
07-24 16:07:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	777	99¢	$772	0x395423…
07-24 04:44:51	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x3eb369…
07-24 04:44:51	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0x2e126b…
07-24 04:44:34	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	SELL	212	50¢	$106	0xebf5ce…
07-24 00:56:12	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	SELL	421	53¢	$223	0x4bcf21…
07-24 00:55:24	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	SELL	363	69¢	$249	0xd911ec…
07-24 00:53:30	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	SELL	161	6¢	$10	0x05acb4…
07-23 20:39:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	467	99¢	$462	0xa1dcc0…
07-23 20:39:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,745	99¢	$5,682	0x5a7561…
07-23 20:37:33	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	180	4¢	$8	0xd4f2e8…
07-23 16:39:28	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	87	21¢	$18	0x336575…
07-23 16:34:51	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	94	21¢	$20	0xc4ef3b…
07-23 16:34:34	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0xbc7827…
07-23 16:33:55	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$11	0x6edab9…
07-23 16:33:12	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	70	23¢	$16	0x359976…
07-23 16:32:37	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0x046757…
07-23 16:31:49	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	350	22¢	$76	0x1a8fc9…
07-23 15:12:36	chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984	Yes	BUY	1,053	17¢	$178	0x898b3d…
07-23 15:11:10	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	128	32¢	$41	0xf674d3…
07-23 15:10:10	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	384	14¢	$54	0x79aab6…
07-23 15:09:40	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	384	13¢	$50	0xc8c1d0…
07-23 15:09:34	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	BUY	1,158	13¢	$145	0xb5be49…
07-23 00:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	770	50¢	$385	0x5ccfbf…
07-22 23:19:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	231	49¢	$113	0x375dfe…