Realized P&L
+$65.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.61K
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
230
Trades
2,247
lifetime
Volume
$472.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$28.0K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 14:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% +$68,072
Politics
29% 40% -$2,082
Tech
1% 67% +$49
Sports
0% 40% +$111
Crypto
0% 0% -$435
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +19,290 $9,122 88¢ $17.1K +$7,950 09-07 13:51
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -2,910 -$2,627 98¢ $-2853 -$226 05-03 16:29
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -3,204 -$2,606 86¢ $-2755 -$149 10-17 22:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,914 $1,384 88¢ $1.7K +$310 10-15 00:44
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +1,000 $778 96¢ $955 +$177 07-04 05:09
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +671 $534 92¢ $621 +$86 09-19 05:03
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +612 $420 97¢ $591 +$171 08-11 14:32
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,401 $1,080 20¢ $492 -$588 09-25 16:14
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 Yes +3,025 $347 16¢ $469 +$122 08-05 14:11
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +255 $57 70¢ $180 +$123 08-19 07:06
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,996 $272 6¢ $115 -$157 08-12 14:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +468 $383 20¢ $91 -$292 08-07 14:41
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +405 $153 14¢ $55 -$99 10-21 14:43
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +55 -$230 66¢ $36 +$266 10-14 20:30
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +837 $92 3¢ $27 -$65 08-12 06:42
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +1,189 $47 2¢ $22 -$25 08-10 17:20
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +16 $12 92¢ $15 +$4 08-01 13:55