Chubby-Prior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$744

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,229

lifetime

Volume

$260.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

$30.7K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

34% 25% $-160

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	-19,750	$-13,154	80¢	$-15701	$-2,547	06-07 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+11,405	$7,184	70¢	$7.9K	+$742	06-06 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+7,831	$6,026	90¢	$7.1K	+$1,061	06-08 02:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	86	$42.7K	25,304	25,304	+0	open	—	05-27 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	113	$33.5K	19,569	19,416	+153	open	—	04-27 12:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	82	$31.8K	22,840	22,621	+219	open	—	05-25 06:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	23	$13.2K	0	19,750	-19,750	open	—	06-07 19:30
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	32	$9.7K	6,413	6,413	+0	open	—	03-04 01:41
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	36	$8.9K	7,565	7,565	+0	open	—	02-16 05:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	30	$8.4K	5,257	5,257	+0	open	—	02-16 05:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	39	$8.3K	6,181	6,181	+0	open	—	02-16 05:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	31	$7.5K	6,209	6,209	+0	open	—	02-16 05:45
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	47	$7.3K	14,626	14,661	-34	open	—	02-27 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$7.2K	11,405	0	+11,405	open	—	06-06 05:17
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	18	$7.0K	3,942	3,942	+0	open	—	02-16 05:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$6.7K	3,819	3,819	+0	open	—	04-29 22:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	25	$6.6K	5,249	5,249	-0	open	—	02-16 05:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$6.2K	7,908	77	+7,831	open	—	06-08 02:09
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	49	$6.1K	10,612	5,729	+4,883	open	—	01-22 01:31
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	10	$4.2K	5,465	0	+5,465	open	—	02-28 08:11
Kash Patel out by May 31?	32	$3.7K	7,279	5,224	+2,055	open	—	05-13 21:45
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	31	$2.1K	4,810	1,532	+3,277	open	—	04-28 01:58
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	14	$2.0K	2,618	731	+1,886	open	—	04-21 03:58
will the 2026 state of the union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long	3	$2.0K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	02-25 05:23
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	9	$1.9K	1,302	1,302	+0	open	—	02-02 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	17	$1.9K	0	2,108	-2,108	open	—	05-28 17:11
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	12	$1.8K	2,457	1,349	+1,108	open	—	02-25 02:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	29	$1.8K	1,757	1,475	+282	open	—	01-09 05:40
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	32	$1.8K	2,017	1,953	+65	open	—	01-10 16:17
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	12	$1.5K	1,849	1,849	+0	open	—	03-03 20:30
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	2	$1.4K	801	795	+6	open	—	04-22 17:32
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	4	$1.2K	857	751	+106	open	—	05-11 20:59
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	5	$1.2K	1,377	362	+1,015	open	—	05-18 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:49:30	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x787642…
06-08 02:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0x6161c4…
06-07 19:30:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2,094	80¢	$1,671	0xabca3b…
06-06 05:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,369	66¢	$1,564	0x2ab5b7…
06-06 04:27:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,714	66¢	$1,791	0x3ddcfd…
06-05 15:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4,322	65¢	$2,809	0x5198f7…
06-03 17:07:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	190	72¢	$137	0xc585d0…
06-03 17:04:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x0a4e0b…
06-03 16:59:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6ea722…
06-03 16:56:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe99947…
06-03 16:55:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x60c659…
06-03 00:49:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,369	79¢	$1,082	0x5922f5…
06-03 00:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x4438fe…
06-02 21:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,153	79¢	$911	0xd36177…
06-02 21:45:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,334	79¢	$1,054	0xb9eda5…
06-02 21:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x12f0cd…
06-02 21:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0xa95b4a…
06-02 20:57:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,265	79¢	$999	0x285520…
06-02 20:50:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	7,032	67¢	$4,711	0x95efa5…
06-02 20:43:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,538	67¢	$1,030	0x4533ea…
06-02 20:40:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	254	67¢	$170	0x642459…
06-01 03:35:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0xc94f12…
06-01 03:35:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	770	73¢	$562	0x21e542…
06-01 03:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	153	73¢	$112	0xe90932…
06-01 03:28:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,344	73¢	$981	0xa70121…
06-01 00:10:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	163	72¢	$117	0x5537c1…
05-31 18:32:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	987	51¢	$503	0xee1f0f…
05-31 18:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xa323bd…
05-31 18:31:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	890	51¢	$454	0x9d75e3…
05-31 18:29:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x1d7de3…
05-31 18:28:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0efc4d…
05-28 17:11:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	199	89¢	$177	0x455824…
05-28 17:07:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x96dc98…
05-28 16:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbf20d3…
05-28 16:56:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x062bd0…
05-28 16:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2844bc…
05-28 16:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x995fa4…
05-28 16:53:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	455	90¢	$409	0x3399d4…
05-28 16:50:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaaff43…
05-28 16:49:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x468e22…
05-28 16:45:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcde495…
05-28 16:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x46bdf5…
05-28 16:42:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x36fd91…
05-28 16:41:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5cb350…
05-28 16:37:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x74b3c0…
05-28 16:32:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	376	90¢	$338	0xf4f818…
05-28 04:30:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0x1fb131…
05-28 03:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	540	91¢	$491	0xfef44a…
05-27 23:16:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x5a902f…
05-27 23:01:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	345	64¢	$221	0xf6dfa8…
05-27 23:01:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x870e91…
05-27 22:58:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	635	64¢	$406	0xb77faa…
05-27 22:58:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	365	64¢	$234	0xaf2f15…
05-27 22:57:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	320	63¢	$202	0x419b8b…
05-27 22:53:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	395	63¢	$249	0xc5986e…
05-27 22:53:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	789	63¢	$499	0x24b6c4…
05-27 22:50:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	564	64¢	$361	0x2350fa…
05-27 22:47:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	214	64¢	$137	0xc9e259…
05-27 22:47:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	786	64¢	$503	0x292a96…
05-27 22:45:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	790	63¢	$498	0x3739cc…
05-27 22:37:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	210	63¢	$132	0x76a21a…
05-27 22:28:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2,648	61¢	$1,615	0x06f00f…
05-27 16:40:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	474	86¢	$406	0xff9d18…
05-27 16:39:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	250	86¢	$214	0x599336…
05-27 16:38:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	107	85¢	$91	0xffa657…
05-27 16:34:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	626	85¢	$535	0x2cb95d…
05-27 16:22:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,408	86¢	$1,211	0xba51c7…
05-27 16:22:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0xa43a7b…
05-27 16:10:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	993	84¢	$834	0x4ab809…
05-27 16:09:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x7cb47d…
05-27 16:06:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,201	81¢	$974	0xc55936…
05-27 16:06:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0x31a874…
05-27 15:57:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2,003	81¢	$1,623	0x98b0c6…
05-27 15:55:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,482	82¢	$1,218	0x0bec7d…
05-27 14:53:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	158	80¢	$127	0x128eca…
05-27 14:53:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,021	81¢	$830	0xfa8d4b…
05-26 23:44:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	3,270	80¢	$2,618	0x746c1b…
05-26 21:51:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	81¢	$811	0x41b89a…
05-26 20:27:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	185	81¢	$149	0xb8bb14…
05-26 19:52:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	435	83¢	$359	0x955ca9…
05-26 19:52:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	500	83¢	$414	0xe8b097…
05-26 19:51:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	898	84¢	$753	0x8effea…
05-26 18:59:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,387	80¢	$1,108	0x398a09…
05-25 06:24:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xeb2349…
05-25 06:23:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	571	85¢	$486	0xfc6114…
05-25 06:21:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	160	97¢	$156	0x73e450…
05-25 06:21:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,567	97¢	$1,526	0x33aa91…
05-25 05:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,238	97¢	$1,204	0x4dae69…
05-24 20:25:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,077	96¢	$1,035	0x9c450d…
05-23 18:09:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$398	0xbe7eb9…
05-23 18:06:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$797	0x8b5759…
05-23 18:03:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$836	0x88b0ca…
05-23 18:00:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x2674af…
05-23 14:47:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	432	87¢	$374	0x41b46a…
05-23 14:37:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	585	90¢	$524	0x2aac38…
05-23 13:59:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	544	92¢	$499	0x4bf1de…
05-22 22:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeeca75…
05-22 22:36:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xccc627…
05-22 22:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd5cce2…
05-22 22:34:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	982	98¢	$960	0x4e4a00…