Realized P&L
+$65.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.57K
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
231
Trades
2,247
lifetime
Volume
$472.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$26.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 14:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% +$68,072
Politics
29% 40% -$2,365
Tech
1% 67% +$49
Sports
0% 40% +$111
Crypto
0% 0% -$435
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +19,290 $9,122 88¢ $17.1K +$7,950 09-07 13:51
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -3,204 -$2,606 83¢ $-2659 -$53 10-17 22:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,914 $1,384 90¢ $1.7K +$338 10-15 00:44
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,687 $1,936 58¢ $1.6K -$364 09-19 04:58
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +1,000 $778 96¢ $955 +$177 07-04 05:09
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +671 $534 92¢ $621 +$86 09-19 05:03
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +612 $420 98¢ $598 +$178 08-11 14:32
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +3,025 $347 17¢ $514 +$167 08-05 14:11
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,401 $1,080 14¢ $336 -$744 09-25 16:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +405 $153 45¢ $182 +$29 10-21 14:43
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +255 $57 68¢ $172 +$115 08-19 07:06
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,996 $272 6¢ $111 -$161 08-12 14:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +468 $383 16¢ $73 -$310 08-07 14:41
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +837 $92 5¢ $39 -$53 08-12 06:42
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +55 -$230 30¢ $16 +$246 10-14 20:30
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +16 $12 96¢ $16 +$4 08-01 13:55
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +1,189 $47 0¢ $6 -$41 08-10 17:20