Realized P&L
-$31.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.83K
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
6,009
Trades
11,707
lifetime
Volume
$5.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$495
Open exposure
$9.48K
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-03 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
76% 58% -$63,885
Sports
22% 61% +$37,309
Politics
1% 41% -$4,098
Tech
1% 50% -$1,662
Crypto
0% 52% +$472
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,920 -$3,406 98¢ $-3838 -$432 06-22 17:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,500 $700 22¢ $788 +$88 07-26 10:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +833 $300 94¢ $787 +$487 07-11 01:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +811 $300 76¢ $612 +$312 07-26 10:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +707 $300 86¢ $611 +$311 05-27 12:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +953 $500 64¢ $606 +$106 07-26 10:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,042 $1,300 18¢ $367 -$933 09-05 00:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +328 $200 97¢ $318 +$118 05-01 12:06
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,818 $400 15¢ $264 -$136 07-26 10:41
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,333 $300 8¢ $250 -$50 07-26 10:42
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,222 $300 10¢ $219 -$81 07-26 10:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +417 $200 36¢ $148 -$52 05-27 12:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +158 $100 82¢ $130 +$30 05-03 22:39
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +119 $100 97¢ $116 +$16 06-05 05:47
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,333 $400 6¢ $87 -$313 07-26 10:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +231 $100 37¢ $86 -$14 08-07 13:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +250 $100 16¢ $41 -$59 05-23 07:14
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +462 $200 8¢ $39 -$161 06-05 05:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +455 $100 8¢ $39 -$61 05-03 19:09
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -253 -$164 14¢ $-34 +$130 05-16 02:31
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,000 $200 2¢ $30 -$170 07-26 10:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +772 $200 3¢ $22 -$178 09-05 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +540 $200 3¢ $15 -$185 05-27 12:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +526 $200 2¢ $9 -$191 07-26 10:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +238 $50 3¢ $6 -$44 05-01 07:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -57 $207 8¢ $-4 -$211 05-30 23:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +42 $15 10¢ $4 -$11 05-03 19:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +343 $34 1¢ $4 -$30 05-08 02:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -44 $108 6¢ $-3 -$111 05-30 23:43