Realized P&L
-$31.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.74K
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
6,009
Trades
11,707
lifetime
Volume
$5.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$495
Open exposure
$9.54K
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-03 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
76% 58% -$63,885
Sports
22% 61% +$37,309
Politics
1% 41% -$4,098
Tech
1% 50% -$1,662
Crypto
0% 52% +$472
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,920 -$3,406 98¢ $-3836 -$430 06-22 17:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,500 $700 24¢ $822 +$122 07-26 10:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +833 $300 96¢ $796 +$496 07-11 01:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +707 $300 89¢ $629 +$329 05-27 12:54
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +811 $300 76¢ $620 +$320 07-26 10:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +953 $500 63¢ $597 +$97 07-26 10:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,042 $1,300 18¢ $367 -$933 09-05 00:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +328 $200 97¢ $318 +$118 05-01 12:06
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,818 $400 15¢ $264 -$136 07-26 10:41
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,333 $300 8¢ $250 -$50 07-26 10:42
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,222 $300 10¢ $224 -$76 07-26 10:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +417 $200 34¢ $144 -$56 05-27 12:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +158 $100 86¢ $135 +$35 05-03 22:39
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +119 $100 97¢ $115 +$15 06-05 05:47
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,333 $400 6¢ $87 -$313 07-26 10:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +231 $100 37¢ $86 -$14 08-07 13:59
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +462 $200 11¢ $49 -$151 06-05 05:47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +250 $100 16¢ $40 -$60 05-23 07:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +455 $100 8¢ $34 -$66 05-03 19:09
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,000 $200 1¢ $29 -$171 07-26 10:47
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -253 -$164 11¢ $-28 +$136 05-16 02:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +772 $200 3¢ $25 -$175 09-05 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +540 $200 4¢ $19 -$181 05-27 12:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +526 $200 2¢ $9 -$191 07-26 10:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +238 $50 3¢ $6 -$44 05-01 07:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +42 $15 11¢ $5 -$10 05-03 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -57 $207 6¢ $-4 -$211 05-30 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +343 $34 1¢ $4 -$30 05-08 02:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -44 $108 6¢ $-3 -$111 05-30 23:43