Daring-Unique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

1,339

Trades

3,450

lifetime

Volume

$101.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

63% 70% +$392

Politics

19% 83% +$126

Crypto

16% 97% -$181

Tech

1% 67% -$194

Sports

1% 72% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portland Thorns FC vs. Racing Louisville FC end in a draw?	19	$1.7K	1,740	0	+1,740	No	+$15	07-06 00:33
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	18	$1.1K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$84	04-19 17:08
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	25	$937	800	800	+0	No	+$299	03-24 20:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$932	554	554	+0	No	+$98	03-26 23:55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	11	$928	470	470	+0	No	+$11	10-25 22:26
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$919	817	817	+0	Yes	+$184	03-21 18:56
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	8	$773	530	530	+0	No	+$165	01-28 06:51
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	13	$756	474	474	+0	No	+$83	02-06 20:05
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$744	380	379	+1	No	+$15	04-27 14:00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$741	380	380	+0	Yes	+$19	05-01 08:38
stefon diggs arrested by march 31	12	$731	507	507	-0	No	+$29	01-17 15:03
will the japan innovation party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	9	$728	484	484	+0	No	+$175	02-10 10:28
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	6	$718	380	380	+0	No	+$42	04-27 12:55
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	12	$692	360	360	+0	Yes	+$27	03-31 17:40
nothing ever happens january 581	8	$667	655	655	+0	No	+$40	01-13 16:03
us forces seize another oil ship by january 24 2026	5	$615	510	510	+0	Yes	+$117	01-19 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$594	374	374	+0	No	+$49	04-07 14:35
will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	8	$568	296	296	+0	Yes	+$24	03-29 15:16
will russia enter novyi donbas by march 31	10	$548	331	331	+0	No	+$54	03-23 19:47
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	3	$516	300	300	+0	Yes	+$78	03-25 15:21
will israel or the us target tehran 812	2	$514	370	370	+0	Yes	+$70	02-02 09:30
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	26	$514	322	322	+0	No	+$63	04-30 08:55
will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	2	$503	349	349	+0	No	+$49	02-27 15:35
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	5	$457	230	230	+0	No	+$2	10-19 01:47
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	3	$445	309	309	+0	No	+$36	02-06 15:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	2	$434	220	220	+0	Yes	+$6	10-15 20:30
will japan gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than or equal to 0pt0	14	$429	242	242	+0	No	+$31	02-16 00:44
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	13	$428	495	300	+195	Yes	-$55	03-02 07:01
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	7	$416	335	335	+0	Yes	+$33	05-19 13:50
us strikes iraq by march 7	3	$394	250	250	+0	Yes	+$104	03-08 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:14:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0522a0…
10-26 23:13:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	135	90¢	$122	0x9e1a29…
10-25 22:26:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x853db1…
10-25 22:26:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x614a21…
10-25 22:25:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf932bb…
10-25 20:51:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xca0f16…
10-25 20:50:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc315fa…
10-25 20:50:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x9683c1…
10-25 20:50:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb64cbf…
10-19 01:47:15	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0xbf75c2…
10-19 01:47:15	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x91b9f4…
10-19 01:47:15	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x3a4887…
10-18 10:14:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbde437…
10-18 10:14:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb09037…
10-18 10:14:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x801fd5…
10-17 20:31:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x469bc3…
10-17 20:19:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xa1b953…
10-16 09:57:13	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x528f4d…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb0e7db…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x74876d…
10-15 21:23:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8c687c…
10-15 21:23:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x8dcce8…
10-15 21:22:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x1f839a…
10-15 21:11:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$131	0xc40ded…
10-15 21:09:26	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x91984c…
10-15 21:08:56	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x886205…
10-15 21:07:53	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x12db87…
10-15 21:06:47	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0xdc609c…
10-15 20:56:05	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x141e8e…
10-15 20:56:00	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xae0374…
10-15 20:55:56	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7d0be9…
10-15 20:55:47	Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x143904…
10-15 20:30:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x628cca…
10-15 15:17:38	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	130	90¢	$117	0x532ea3…
10-15 06:20:34	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xa250e9…
10-15 06:19:25	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3459a2…
10-13 16:40:10	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x204b17…
10-13 10:32:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x2b9f30…
10-13 10:32:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xe423e9…
10-13 09:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	140	81¢	$113	0xb38fc1…
10-13 09:00:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	220	97¢	$214	0x540f71…
10-12 22:34:51	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x708ebc…
10-12 22:34:33	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8bd445…
10-12 13:27:21	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	130	83¢	$108	0x6add6c…
10-11 19:25:16	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x8b865b…
10-11 19:10:39	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x598e4f…
10-11 19:10:37	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x194a59…
10-11 18:35:28	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x6ede8e…
10-11 18:35:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe8848c…
09-26 07:11:42	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x76320d…
09-26 05:13:24	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x495a09…
09-25 14:44:11	Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7bd416…
09-02 23:49:49	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1475de…
09-02 23:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd11213…
09-02 07:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0aaf73…
09-02 07:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5ad4a2…
09-02 07:54:55	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6c265c…
09-02 07:54:55	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x127aee…
09-02 07:52:33	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd5a233…
09-02 07:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x186f51…
09-01 07:53:13	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59943e…
09-01 07:53:03	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b2bc4…
09-01 07:51:37	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f6499…
09-01 07:51:15	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8302d9…
09-01 07:40:01	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa391cb…
09-01 03:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x280da0…
09-01 03:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3d19f1…
09-01 03:51:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe53269…
09-01 03:43:46	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x65106f…
09-01 03:43:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2a5451…
09-01 03:41:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe5becc…
09-01 03:32:07	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x0c19b3…
08-31 03:59:39	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe6b7b…
08-31 03:58:07	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x840928…
08-30 07:56:58	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x64d460…
08-30 07:46:52	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3f837f…
08-30 07:46:51	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc119f7…
08-30 07:39:33	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x87bf91…
08-30 07:30:28	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x640c79…
08-30 03:58:07	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16b16c…
08-30 03:56:55	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33bbb8…
08-30 03:55:58	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f3e5c…
08-30 03:55:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6591e1…
08-30 03:52:19	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2f9df2…
08-30 03:52:13	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x832c15…
08-30 03:46:39	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7cd7fd…
08-30 03:46:34	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb91483…
08-30 03:30:03	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x102e20…
08-29 23:48:58	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x79210e…
08-29 23:47:19	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xa3fb52…
08-29 23:32:16	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xe851ed…
08-29 07:59:03	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x98ef21…
08-29 07:57:18	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1a1c2b…
08-29 03:57:52	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x49f5d1…
08-29 03:55:18	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x39f633…
08-29 03:54:42	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x68043b…
08-29 03:52:10	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1db8ef…
08-29 03:52:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x39dda1…
08-29 03:52:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x300510…
08-29 03:39:01	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6b0d81…