Lopsided-Aside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$145

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$472

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 07-07 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

42% 75% +$45

Crypto

34% 100% +$0

Politics

13% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$100

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes		-300	$-280	94¢	$-280	$-0	07-07 09:30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-200	$-192	96¢	$-191	+$0	07-07 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	7	$3.7K	2,654	2,235	+419	open	—	03-24 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$3.2K	3,359	0	+3,359	open	—	05-08 09:24
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$1.9K	1,935	0	+1,935	open	—	05-11 01:37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Spurs	+$100	05-13 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$1.1K	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	05-03 08:57
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	1	$493	500	0	+500	open	—	05-17 01:40
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$475	500	0	+500	T1	+$25	05-13 09:09
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	3	$473	3,847	250	+3,597	EDward Gaming	$-23	05-13 11:50
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$387	412	412	+0	open	—	03-23 14:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$352	400	0	+400	open	—	05-18 06:08
bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	4	$320	189	188	+2	open	—	03-13 13:47
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	1	$300	326	0	+326	open	—	05-17 01:31
btc updown 15m 1773634500	7	$283	247	186	+60	open	—	03-16 04:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$280	0	300	-300	open	—	07-07 09:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$278	300	0	+300	open	—	05-06 15:19
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	2	$204	118	118	+0	open	—	05-16 01:49
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	05-01 03:22
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$196	202	0	+202	open	—	05-16 09:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	1	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-07 07:10
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-06 14:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	4	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-09 04:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$192	0	200	-200	open	—	07-07 09:30
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	6	$156	170	0	+170	open	—	05-17 14:05
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season	2	$109	111	0	+111	open	—	05-14 16:24
btc updown 15m 1773635400	1	$100	194	0	+194	open	—	03-16 04:29
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-16 01:21
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-30 11:14
btc updown 15m 1773585900	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	03-15 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 03:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 09:30:08	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$280	0xf5fabb…
07-07 09:30:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xa8f83e…
05-18 06:08:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x5437a6…
05-17 14:05:38	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$12	0xf46c13…
05-17 12:51:54	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x8f8094…
05-17 11:32:41	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x860d6c…
05-17 09:04:14	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xffe833…
05-17 08:44:06	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x80b5e4…
05-17 01:40:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x946c97…
05-17 01:37:38	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0xe5faf0…
05-17 01:31:27	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x562665…
05-16 09:30:33	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8a561c…
05-16 09:30:02	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x708cba…
05-16 09:29:42	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2ffe6d…
05-16 09:29:16	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x90eb4d…
05-16 09:28:46	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x16adff…
05-16 01:49:20	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	118	88¢	$104	0x9c4155…
05-16 01:39:13	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x80b525…
05-16 01:21:34	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbe6d51…
05-15 15:15:38	LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Team Phoenix	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf6dffd…
05-15 05:37:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x908e29…
05-15 05:36:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0x6fc14d…
05-15 03:52:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xa29558…
05-14 16:24:50	LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf3d226…
05-14 16:21:04	LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x889a0a…
05-13 11:50:00	LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Oh My God	BUY	3,597	2¢	$83	0xaa6132…
05-13 11:42:31	LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0x5f2822…
05-13 11:33:47	LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	EDward Gaming	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0xea1bb5…
05-13 09:09:23	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xf7fa8c…
05-13 08:44:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5b1eb8…
05-13 08:27:27	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xf3dee4…
05-13 02:17:35	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x068be1…
05-13 01:59:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xc22428…
05-11 01:37:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	429	99¢	$426	0x477d7d…
05-11 01:26:27	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x5f3a66…
05-11 01:12:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0xefecc0…
05-09 04:20:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe45928…
05-09 04:13:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$60	0x031c97…
05-09 03:57:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xae4458…
05-09 03:57:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x06a492…
05-08 13:48:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa7d79a…
05-08 13:47:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8f5d42…
05-08 09:24:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,930	0x4bb61a…
05-07 07:10:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x0e8284…
05-06 15:19:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x86451e…
05-06 15:04:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xc69d80…
05-06 15:00:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xc3a574…
05-06 14:46:39	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	166	97¢	$161	0x9a1105…
05-06 14:41:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x592acc…
05-06 14:36:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd0d9c9…
05-06 13:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	173	89¢	$154	0x853d92…
05-06 13:43:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$23	0x7936a4…
05-06 13:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9837cc…
05-05 21:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x965886…
05-05 20:36:18	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3bf2ff…
05-05 16:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5f824…
05-05 11:48:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x070282…
05-04 02:18:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xe15c2b…
05-03 08:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x9fa070…
05-03 08:56:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x52064c…
05-02 01:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x1ff1bd…
05-01 12:33:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcc1e7c…
05-01 12:33:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8e1726…
05-01 03:22:28	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xde4dcc…
04-30 11:14:50	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4b5f1d…
04-30 11:10:34	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe916d3…
04-30 11:10:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xde259d…
04-27 08:38:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xcedac3…
04-27 08:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 27?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0869c6…
04-26 02:25:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xab53e9…
04-26 02:24:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	18¢	$19	0x6a1999…
04-26 02:24:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe84b36…
04-25 12:36:28	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xf2e81d…
03-24 13:36:15	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x2fd389…
03-24 12:00:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x5c8520…
03-24 11:56:31	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x46dfc0…
03-24 11:44:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,235	76¢	$1,689	0x7e4df0…
03-23 14:14:13	btc updown 15m 1774274400	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69a8f7…
03-23 14:13:23	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	412	42¢	$173	0x18f35c…
03-23 13:18:07	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa6787c…
03-23 12:31:19	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x00fbc2…
03-23 12:24:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,996	85¢	$1,687	0x1e67ba…
03-23 12:22:29	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xae5dac…
03-23 08:11:33	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf37629…
03-23 08:11:15	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xfa7a63…
03-23 08:11:09	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc0595f…
03-23 07:38:49	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x3f0d0a…
03-23 07:24:47	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	412	52¢	$214	0xd02d09…
03-16 04:29:49	btc updown 15m 1773635400	Up	BUY	194	51¢	$100	0x5c8521…
03-16 04:28:17	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x952d95…
03-16 04:26:17	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x797456…
03-16 04:22:47	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Down	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xa00143…
03-16 04:22:21	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Up	SELL	161	84¢	$135	0x2eb90a…
03-16 04:18:39	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Up	BUY	163	74¢	$120	0x4ce252…
03-16 04:16:05	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xab7adc…
03-16 04:14:41	btc updown 15m 1773634500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xed4c89…
03-16 04:13:01	btc updown 15m 1773633600	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x1fcd0d…
03-16 04:10:39	btc updown 15m 1773633600	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd76fd7…
03-16 04:08:15	btc updown 15m 1773633600	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x267c05…
03-16 04:00:31	btc updown 15m 1773633600	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x6a5648…