Weird-Freedom 0xeca0c0…b5e8f8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$991
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
44
Trades
17,432
lifetime
Volume
$3.76M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$216
Open exposure
$17.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
80% 50% +$2,001
Other
17% 65% +$770
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 59% +$687
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5,370 $2,487 52¢ $2.8K +$332 07-02 13:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,924 $2,392 60¢ $2.4K $-38 07-03 21:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,959 $1,947 48¢ $1.9K $-66 07-02 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,500 $1,307 82¢ $1.2K $-70 06-27 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -982 $-941 100¢ $-980 $-39 06-25 15:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $830 86¢ $865 +$35 06-20 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +966 $510 76¢ $729 +$219 07-02 17:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +750 $606 88¢ $656 +$50 06-12 09:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,466 $367 24¢ $604 +$237 07-02 17:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -981 $-481 62¢ $-604 $-123 05-28 17:02
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +750 $578 77¢ $578 +$0 07-02 01:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +941 $558 60¢ $560 +$2 07-03 06:15
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -1,250 $-488 40¢ $-506 $-19 07-03 09:37
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +750 $410 60¢ $446 +$37 06-24 16:13
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +495 $366 84¢ $413 +$47 06-30 17:11
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +500 $322 80¢ $402 +$80 06-20 22:42
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -500 $-405 78¢ $-387 +$18 06-26 04:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -1,000 $-200 34¢ $-335 $-135 06-18 05:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $260 30¢ $305 +$45 07-01 19:24
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +500 $155 42¢ $208 +$52 06-27 10:45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +290 $83 70¢ $201 +$118 07-03 07:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $180 11¢ $158 $-22 07-03 11:16
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +183 $123 78¢ $144 +$21 06-16 08:18
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +150 $118 82¢ $122 +$4 06-12 20:53
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -294 $-183 40¢ $-119 +$64 06-05 14:06
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -505 $-194 18¢ $-88 +$105 06-10 08:19
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -373 $-86 16¢ $-62 +$24 05-28 16:05
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -73 $-65 83¢ $-60 +$5 06-15 13:14
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +100 $59 57¢ $57 $-2 06-26 16:40
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -144 $-55 32¢ $-45 +$9 06-05 19:58