Weird-Freedom 0xeca0c0…b5e8f8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$288
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
44
Trades
15,164
lifetime
Volume
$3.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$8.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
86% 50% +$2,001
Other
12% 65% +$770
Sports
1% 59% +$687
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,500 $1,142 80¢ $1.2K +$51 06-13 11:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,750 $880 55¢ $954 +$73 06-07 22:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,750 $856 46¢ $796 $-60 06-07 22:33
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -801 $-795 99¢ $-794 +$1 06-06 04:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +750 $630 93¢ $701 +$71 05-28 09:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +750 $606 80¢ $596 $-10 06-12 09:07
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -981 $-481 60¢ $-594 $-113 05-28 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,999 $-708 16¢ $-495 +$214 06-11 19:02
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +560 $279 72¢ $404 +$124 06-13 09:17
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +412 $283 86¢ $355 +$72 06-01 07:57
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +494 $301 65¢ $321 +$20 06-10 01:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-2 51¢ $-255 $-253 06-13 11:05
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes -300 $-168 82¢ $-245 $-77 05-30 09:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +500 $220 42¢ $208 $-13 06-03 06:34
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $310 20¢ $195 $-115 05-31 19:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -294 $-183 54¢ $-157 +$26 06-05 14:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +500 $514 30¢ $148 $-366 06-12 12:35
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -505 $-194 28¢ $-139 +$55 06-10 08:19
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +150 $118 78¢ $117 $-2 06-12 20:53
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -373 $-86 22¢ $-84 +$2 05-28 16:05
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +412 $137 14¢ $58 $-80 06-01 08:09
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -101 $-164 48¢ $-48 +$116 06-01 19:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $35 8¢ $40 +$5 06-11 20:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $60 6¢ $32 $-28 06-12 19:26
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -144 $-55 22¢ $-32 +$23 06-05 19:58
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? No +250 $21 4¢ $10 $-11 06-11 13:16
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30? No +10 $7 64¢ $6 $-1 06-05 23:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $21 2¢ $6 $-14 06-08 21:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$1 05-30 06:47
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +15 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 06-05 08:31