Weird-Freedom 0xeca0c0…b5e8f8
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$83.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.2K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
2,472
Trades
30,272
lifetime
Volume
$5.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$93.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Politics
71% 66% +$55,628
Other
25% 55% +$22,308
Tech
2% 59% +$654
Sports
2% 49% +$3,424
Crypto
1% 42% +$1,799
Pop-Culture
0% 40% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +19,999 $11,838 94¢ $18.7K +$6,861 10-26 07:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9,500 $7,937 94¢ $8.9K +$946 10-26 07:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -8,126 -$5,890 83¢ $-6745 -$855 10-27 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,000 $3,890 66¢ $4.7K +$765 10-20 20:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,000 $3,090 66¢ $3.3K +$185 10-04 22:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +5,500 $2,007 60¢ $3.3K +$1,265 10-08 16:22
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +3,000 $2,872 96¢ $2.9K +$23 10-26 13:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,000 $2,271 94¢ $2.8K +$549 10-26 10:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,820 94¢ $-2805 +$15 10-17 15:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -4,000 -$2,510 66¢ $-2660 -$150 10-25 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4,000 $2,650 62¢ $2.5K -$190 10-22 23:10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2,500 $1,840 98¢ $2.5K +$610 10-23 17:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +4,000 $2,477 60¢ $2.4K -$57 10-26 19:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5,500 $3,604 40¢ $2.2K -$1,376 09-22 18:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -12,626 -$3,920 17¢ $-2146 +$1,774 10-16 00:27
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +3,000 $1,723 70¢ $2.1K +$392 09-28 17:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,000 $1,260 69¢ $2.1K +$803 10-18 17:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,750 $1,780 54¢ $2.0K +$252 10-22 14:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +2,000 $1,849 99¢ $2.0K +$131 10-25 23:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +3,500 $2,105 55¢ $1.9K -$197 10-21 19:39
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +2,000 $1,880 90¢ $1.8K -$70 09-18 10:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,150 $1,630 78¢ $1.7K +$37 10-27 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,638 $1,953 99¢ $1.6K -$335 10-23 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +3,500 $1,891 46¢ $1.6K -$299 10-19 16:17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $1,220 78¢ $1.6K +$340 10-24 15:38
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,500 $1,323 100¢ $1.5K +$175 06-03 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,500 $1,370 100¢ $1.5K +$125 09-05 18:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,500 $1,395 94¢ $1.4K +$15 10-21 21:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,500 $1,206 92¢ $1.4K +$166 09-03 14:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1,439 $1,030 92¢ $1.3K +$287 10-26 11:29