Weird-Freedom 0xeca0c0…b5e8f8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.22K
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
44
Trades
19,342
lifetime
Volume
$4.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$19.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
76% 50% +$2,001
Other
20% 65% +$770
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 59% +$687
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,966 $2,180 99¢ $2.9K +$765 07-06 20:44
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,959 $1,689 72¢ $2.8K +$1,142 07-14 15:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +3,396 $1,379 58¢ $2.0K +$608 07-23 16:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,500 77¢ $1.5K +$40 07-09 09:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,651 $975 66¢ $1.1K +$123 07-15 19:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,370 $1,437 29¢ $960 $-477 07-07 19:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,059 $749 36¢ $752 +$3 07-23 07:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -981 $-481 70¢ $-682 $-201 05-28 17:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +750 $606 90¢ $671 +$65 06-12 09:07
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -2,000 $-523 33¢ $-660 $-137 07-16 22:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +750 $578 85¢ $638 +$60 07-02 01:50
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +750 $610 82¢ $619 +$8 07-08 10:31
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -1,250 $-488 40¢ $-506 $-19 07-03 09:37
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +750 $410 60¢ $446 +$37 06-24 16:13
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +495 $366 88¢ $433 +$67 06-30 17:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1,005 $259 42¢ $417 +$158 07-17 23:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -500 $-405 82¢ $-410 $-5 06-26 04:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -1,000 $-120 34¢ $-345 $-225 07-12 21:27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +290 $32 88¢ $253 +$222 07-10 08:20
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +500 $322 44¢ $222 $-100 06-20 22:42
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +300 $130 56¢ $167 +$36 07-17 08:30
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +183 $123 87¢ $159 +$37 06-16 08:18
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +150 $118 86¢ $128 +$10 06-12 20:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $260 12¢ $125 $-135 07-01 19:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -294 $-183 36¢ $-104 +$79 06-05 14:06
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +100 $59 71¢ $71 +$12 06-26 16:40
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -144 $-55 48¢ $-69 $-14 06-05 19:58
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -73 $-65 80¢ $-58 +$8 06-15 13:14
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -373 $-86 12¢ $-47 +$39 05-28 16:05
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +158 $26 26¢ $40 +$14 07-12 13:45