Weird-Freedom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

20,565

lifetime

Volume

$4.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$213

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

76% 50% +$2,001

Other

21% 65% +$770

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 59% +$687

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	470	$219.3K	178,521	177,721	+800	open	—	02-28 03:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	424	$187.7K	178,626	176,588	+2,038	open	—	05-31 21:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	770	$157.4K	156,932	129,225	+27,706	open	—	04-07 22:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	346	$134.7K	94,801	81,590	+13,211	open	—	03-28 10:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	386	$134.1K	112,818	111,817	+1,000	open	—	04-07 21:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	185	$89.7K	92,570	87,139	+5,432	open	—	07-06 20:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	139	$88.2K	70,799	72,627	-1,828	open	—	06-15 05:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	158	$81.0K	72,396	64,288	+8,108	open	—	04-10 23:11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	437	$80.1K	81,145	75,515	+5,630	open	—	02-26 13:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	129	$70.9K	70,357	66,357	+4,000	open	—	04-05 14:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	132	$66.7K	54,431	52,931	+1,500	open	—	07-06 07:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$64.9K	40,738	40,738	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	130	$63.7K	56,427	54,927	+1,500	open	—	08-12 09:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	187	$61.7K	60,518	55,018	+5,500	open	—	04-21 19:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	347	$60.1K	59,662	58,791	+871	open	—	04-01 23:49
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	342	$54.4K	57,196	48,292	+8,903	open	—	04-07 22:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	276	$54.1K	51,707	47,011	+4,696	open	—	04-28 02:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	99	$53.2K	47,751	48,023	-273	open	—	06-16 00:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	94	$39.5K	44,329	37,590	+6,740	open	—	08-07 12:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	170	$38.2K	47,850	39,255	+8,595	open	—	01-31 13:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	62	$37.0K	31,119	22,283	+8,836	open	—	04-15 21:27
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	61	$35.8K	18,850	18,850	+0	open	—	02-26 18:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	94	$35.5K	29,881	29,081	+800	open	—	05-23 13:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	85	$34.4K	33,194	29,229	+3,965	open	—	04-23 17:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	27	$34.3K	18,703	18,703	+0	open	—	02-28 03:39
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	170	$33.5K	34,091	33,642	+449	open	—	02-27 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	90	$31.7K	32,390	29,792	+2,598	open	—	05-26 20:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	80	$30.6K	21,936	19,416	+2,521	open	—	06-22 08:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	94	$26.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$546	05-06 10:27
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	186	$24.4K	47,448	46,743	+705	open	—	04-03 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:03:57	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x4d06ce…
08-13 15:14:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xfd228e…
08-13 13:43:16	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	SELL	52	55¢	$29	0x9c533d…
08-13 11:54:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	163	56¢	$91	0xba3354…
08-13 06:50:16	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x4b80f1…
08-12 15:52:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	385	26¢	$99	0xbebba5…
08-12 15:40:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x46100d…
08-12 15:39:24	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	500	77¢	$387	0xad47ad…
08-12 15:38:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x3e13ef…
08-12 15:38:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xdbf4f7…
08-12 15:38:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xede476…
08-12 15:38:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x46f197…
08-12 15:38:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	455	31¢	$141	0xff53f4…
08-12 15:38:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x794576…
08-12 14:45:37	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe08555…
08-12 14:44:07	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3be396…
08-12 14:43:46	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x18b34e…
08-12 14:32:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xf1c0d4…
08-12 14:32:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x8e0a49…
08-12 09:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	48¢	$720	0xc83402…
08-12 04:17:30	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	237	8¢	$19	0xdf9dbc…
08-12 00:13:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	226	89¢	$202	0xa3d2a4…
08-12 00:07:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfefe44…
08-11 23:50:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x6c70f1…
08-11 23:50:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x130d57…
08-11 23:50:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x98b835…
08-11 23:50:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdcaf83…
08-11 23:14:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	122	89¢	$109	0x23e3cb…
08-11 23:05:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x741554…
08-11 23:05:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x005822…
08-11 23:05:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc3dad1…
08-11 22:48:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x7bd085…
08-11 22:30:36	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	325	53¢	$172	0x0986c6…
08-11 20:38:13	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0x0c74a4…
08-11 20:19:52	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x45fd22…
08-11 20:14:31	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x438fd1…
08-11 19:52:36	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$969	0xb090b2…
08-11 19:51:06	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,948	0x930b8b…
08-11 19:43:40	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	128	53¢	$68	0x06f757…
08-11 19:43:28	will felix auger aliassime qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143800	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x029c2b…
08-11 19:42:43	will felix auger aliassime qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143800	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x435d51…
08-11 17:56:18	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0x2eb3bb…
08-11 17:44:52	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x75557c…
08-11 17:03:58	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0xf0de4f…
08-11 16:54:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	No	BUY	191	72¢	$138	0xecd4ad…
08-11 16:45:10	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	300	75¢	$224	0xfaf7d5…
08-11 16:41:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$291	0x2e2446…
08-11 15:49:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	250	27¢	$68	0xe98f38…
08-11 11:05:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xd94d7b…
08-11 11:04:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	47¢	$705	0xb527d3…
08-10 19:00:03	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x510df4…
08-10 18:29:52	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe775d7…
08-10 18:26:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	750	75¢	$562	0x117723…
08-10 18:03:04	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0xfb7acd…
08-10 16:48:30	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x3f5289…
08-10 16:16:37	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xaeb99a…
08-10 14:20:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	750	72¢	$540	0x208712…
08-10 14:11:31	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x52c61e…
08-10 14:07:54	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	230	89¢	$205	0x515a5c…
08-10 14:06:37	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x42682f…
08-10 14:06:30	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x664a1a…
08-10 14:06:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	294	23¢	$67	0x42a4cd…
08-10 14:04:43	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4a3711…
08-10 14:03:46	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0xe6020c…
08-10 13:12:42	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x65f21d…
08-10 13:08:37	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x37fa5c…
08-10 13:02:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$122	0x30d3f0…
08-10 12:10:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xcca3ef…
08-10 11:56:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xb6fc33…
08-10 07:47:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xa5359b…
08-10 06:52:33	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xddf9a1…
08-10 06:52:28	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xc35b0d…
08-09 23:21:58	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xcf5286…
08-09 21:46:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x4584b1…
08-09 21:13:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	700	8¢	$56	0x3d98ba…
08-09 21:12:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0xdf03b7…
08-09 21:09:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$76	0x45c9ed…
08-09 20:18:07	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x89face…
08-09 20:15:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x04180c…
08-09 19:33:28	X banned in any European country by December 31?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x138e4e…
08-09 17:35:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x986325…
08-09 17:28:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	750	78¢	$585	0x1fb723…
08-09 17:12:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0x8c4a92…
08-09 17:12:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,500	72¢	$1,080	0x57db2d…
08-09 16:28:34	will jannik sinner have 15000 atp points before 2027 20260731033231532	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x51232b…
08-09 16:28:28	will jannik sinner have 15000 atp points before 2027 20260731033231532	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x1eb72d…
08-09 15:47:22	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	500	64¢	$319	0xa6cded…
08-09 15:45:40	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x207dec…
08-09 15:44:33	will ben stiller attend the us open finals 20260807052019160	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x3ccb27…
08-09 15:41:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x6adbd1…
08-09 15:41:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0x25b4ae…
08-09 13:38:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	250	58¢	$145	0x3d9161…
08-09 13:23:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x33569c…
08-09 13:22:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	700	29¢	$203	0x038329…
08-09 11:34:36	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	No	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0x5bf32e…
08-09 11:33:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	148	30¢	$44	0x311377…
08-09 11:32:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x090c43…
08-09 11:32:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe92b43…
08-09 11:26:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x03f167…
08-09 11:14:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x4e54a9…