Simple-Violation 0x88b6e6…343cff
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
129
Trades
2,830
lifetime
Volume
$514.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$182
Open exposure
$18.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 09:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
74% 76% +$257
Politics
11% 71% -$710
Tech
7% 60% +$36
Sports
5% 73% +$3,249
Crypto
2% 0% -$1,665
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10,673 -$10,589 98¢ $-10454 +$135 10-18 19:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +6,056 $2,810 34¢ $2.0K -$781 10-21 21:35
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,415 -$1,376 96¢ $-1365 +$11 10-13 22:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,020 96¢ $-1151 -$131 04-30 05:34
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,738 $1,038 58¢ $1.0K -$21 10-27 03:12
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,369 $864 60¢ $828 -$35 10-27 01:39
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +933 $229 86¢ $797 +$568 10-26 11:15
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +1,645 $728 41¢ $674 -$54 10-22 12:40
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +443 $389 76¢ $339 -$50 10-21 14:31
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +200 $148 80¢ $160 +$12 10-16 17:55
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,800 -$558 4¢ $-76 +$482 05-26 14:30
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 -$10 95¢ $6 +$16 10-26 03:53
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +35 -$232 16¢ $5 +$237 09-07 04:54
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +3,237 $26 0¢ $3 -$23 08-29 14:11
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $7 14¢ $3 -$4 08-23 22:34
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$29 97¢ $0 +$29 05-04 14:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +0 $437 87¢ $0 -$437 09-13 15:09
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +0 -$99 96¢ $0 +$99 10-08 01:07
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$3 09-25 02:15
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$7 20¢ $0 +$7 09-17 14:13