Simple-Violation 0x88b6e6…343cff Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$8.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved (90d)
71
Trades (90d)
1,739
2,953 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$234.9K
$508.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$22.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-09 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
74% 74% -$6,722
Politics
12% 57% -$6,062
Tech
6% 60% +$36
Sports
5% 75% +$3,251
Crypto
2% 0% -$1,665
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10,673 -$10,589 99¢ $-10545 +$44 10-18 19:58
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? No +2,729 $2,235 90¢ $2.5K +$221 11-09 22:38
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +1,588 $1,446 92¢ $1.5K +$23 11-08 11:10
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,415 -$1,376 98¢ $-1386 -$10 10-13 22:40
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +1,400 $598 90¢ $1.3K +$655 11-06 21:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,020 98¢ $-1171 -$151 04-30 05:34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,369 $864 68¢ $924 +$60 10-27 01:39
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No -822 -$828 99¢ $-811 +$17 10-22 21:33
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1,306 $909 58¢ $757 -$152 10-22 17:48
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +840 $753 90¢ $756 +$3 10-19 12:28
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +709 $365 53¢ $380 +$15 10-30 13:24
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +400 $290 88¢ $350 +$60 10-30 11:14
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +983 $103 18¢ $178 +$75 11-04 23:36
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +350 $200 25¢ $87 -$112 10-28 02:22
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,800 -$558 4¢ $-76 +$482 05-26 14:30
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,400 $1,059 1¢ $42 -$1,017 11-04 06:22
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? No +45 $36 86¢ $39 +$3 10-20 15:31
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? No +39 $22 96¢ $38 +$16 10-25 23:47
Will Saquon Barkley have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +19 $10 79¢ $15 +$5 10-28 01:49
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +35 -$232 28¢ $10 +$242 09-07 04:54
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +317 $34 2¢ $7 -$26 10-26 19:58
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 -$10 97¢ $6 +$16 10-26 03:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +150 $140 2¢ $3 -$137 11-03 04:00
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 10-04 19:11
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $7 10¢ $2 -$5 08-23 22:34
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +2 -$52 94¢ $2 +$54 11-08 21:38
Will Saquon Barkley finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? No +1 -$6 100¢ $1 +$7 10-05 12:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $165 0¢ $1 -$164 11-03 04:06
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +0 -$20 100¢ $0 +$20 10-07 18:52
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +0 -$12 100¢ $0 +$12 09-07 20:46