Simple-Violation 0x88b6e6…343cff Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.61K
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved (90d)
72
Trades (90d)
1,714
2,962 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$228.6K
$510.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$25.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-12 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
74% 74% -$7,542
Politics
12% 53% -$7,286
Tech
6% 60% +$36
Sports
5% 75% +$3,251
Crypto
2% 0% -$1,665
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10,673 -$10,589 99¢ $-10550 +$39 10-18 19:58
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? No +2,725 $2,232 90¢ $2.5K +$221 11-10 22:54
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +1,588 $1,446 92¢ $1.5K +$23 11-08 11:10
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,415 -$1,376 98¢ $-1393 -$17 10-13 22:40
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1,856 $1,272 70¢ $1.3K +$18 11-12 06:36
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +1,400 $598 90¢ $1.3K +$655 11-06 21:56
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft? No +1,267 $1,200 95¢ $1.2K +$2 11-11 23:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,020 98¢ $-1172 -$152 04-30 05:34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,369 $864 66¢ $904 +$40 10-27 01:39
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No -822 -$828 98¢ $-806 +$22 10-22 21:33
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +840 $753 88¢ $743 -$10 10-19 12:28
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? Boy +1,007 $480 50¢ $498 +$18 10-29 21:40
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +709 $365 52¢ $372 +$8 10-30 13:24
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +400 $290 86¢ $342 +$52 10-30 11:14
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +983 $103 18¢ $180 +$77 11-04 23:36
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +350 $200 24¢ $86 -$114 10-28 02:22
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? Girl +168 $25 50¢ $85 +$60 11-12 08:14
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,800 -$558 4¢ $-76 +$482 05-26 14:30
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? No +45 $36 86¢ $39 +$3 10-20 15:31
kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026 No +39 $22 96¢ $38 +$16 10-25 23:47
Will Saquon Barkley have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +19 $10 78¢ $15 +$4 10-28 01:49
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +317 $34 2¢ $7 -$27 10-26 19:58
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 -$10 97¢ $6 +$16 10-26 03:53
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +35 -$232 12¢ $4 +$236 09-07 04:54
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 99¢ $3 +$2 10-04 19:11
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +2 -$52 90¢ $2 +$54 11-08 21:38
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $7 6¢ $1 -$6 08-23 22:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +150 $140 1¢ $1 -$138 11-03 04:00
Will Saquon Barkley finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? No +1 -$6 95¢ $1 +$7 10-05 12:46
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +0 -$20 100¢ $0 +$20 10-07 18:52