Simple-Violation 0x88b6e6…343cff Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$5.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.94K
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
122
3,031 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.6K
$532.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$17.1K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
74% 76% +$263
Politics
12% 58% -$5,768
Tech
6% 60% +$36
Sports
5% 73% +$3,249
Crypto
2% 0% -$1,665
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10,673 -$10,589 98¢ $-10502 +$87 10-18 19:58
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +2,333 $1,400 82¢ $1.9K +$524 10-29 17:53
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,415 -$1,376 98¢ $-1388 -$11 10-13 22:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,020 97¢ $-1164 -$144 04-30 05:34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,369 $864 67¢ $917 +$54 10-27 01:39
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,400 $1,059 12¢ $408 -$651 11-04 06:22
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +443 $389 76¢ $334 -$55 10-21 14:31
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +400 $290 81¢ $324 +$34 10-30 11:14
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,800 -$558 3¢ $-63 +$495 05-26 14:30
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? No +7,591 $5,985 0¢ $34 -$5,950 11-03 03:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +150 $140 15¢ $23 -$117 11-03 04:00
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +35 -$232 29¢ $10 +$242 09-07 04:54
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 -$10 97¢ $6 +$16 10-26 03:53
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $165 1¢ $2 -$162 11-03 04:06
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $7 11¢ $2 -$5 08-23 22:34
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$29 99¢ $0 +$29 05-04 14:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +0 $437 87¢ $0 -$437 09-13 15:09
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +0 -$99 97¢ $0 +$99 10-08 01:07
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$3 09-25 02:15
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$7 19¢ $0 +$7 09-17 14:13