Old-Fashioned-Clove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

692

lifetime

Volume

$181.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 86% +$25

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No		+20	$18	94¢	$19	+$0	05-28 01:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	10	$7.7K	4,481	4,481	+0	open	—	01-04 16:02
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$5.2K	2,677	2,677	+0	open	—	01-27 05:38
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	34	$4.7K	2,418	2,359	+59	open	—	01-15 07:16
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	11	$4.6K	2,309	2,344	-35	open	—	01-14 06:40
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	5	$4.3K	3,011	1,369	+1,642	open	—	01-30 01:53
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$4.1K	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	02-25 01:32
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	4	$4.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	01-11 10:45
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	3	$4.0K	4,246	0	+4,246	open	—	01-01 01:54
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	34	$3.8K	7,530	7,530	+0	open	—	03-16 07:16
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	4	$3.4K	3,562	0	+3,562	open	—	01-10 05:40
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	4	$3.3K	1,686	1,686	+0	open	—	02-01 05:21
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	10	$3.0K	3,096	0	+3,096	open	—	02-01 16:44
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 320 339	5	$2.9K	1,494	1,494	+0	open	—	01-22 08:39
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 200plus	19	$2.9K	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	02-17 15:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$2.8K	2,751	2,460	+291	open	—	02-28 06:42
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	10	$2.7K	2,745	0	+2,745	open	—	01-28 15:35
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	8	$2.7K	1,394	1,394	+0	open	—	03-16 02:57
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	6	$2.7K	2,926	0	+2,926	open	—	01-27 05:54
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	2	$2.6K	2,727	0	+2,727	open	—	02-03 01:18
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	13	$2.6K	2,692	0	+2,692	open	—	01-17 02:24
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	15	$2.5K	2,632	0	+2,632	open	—	01-15 09:51
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$2.5K	2,543	0	+2,543	open	—	01-24 02:45
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 165 189	2	$2.3K	2,365	0	+2,365	open	—	01-14 06:41
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 190 214	3	$2.2K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	03-22 16:39
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	3	$2.2K	2,186	0	+2,186	open	—	01-10 09:28
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	6	$2.2K	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	01-10 05:39
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	5	$2.1K	2,177	0	+2,177	open	—	02-22 08:38
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	2	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	03-14 15:16
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$2.1K	2,122	0	+2,122	open	—	02-22 01:02
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 165 189	1	$2.1K	2,114	0	+2,114	open	—	02-21 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:41:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	77¢	$80	0x71d496…
06-01 12:41:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xbd1072…
06-01 12:08:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	80¢	$84	0xf4a72b…
06-01 06:19:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x4366c0…
05-28 03:00:20	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x87cf11…
05-28 01:45:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xadb1a3…
05-18 01:10:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xa555ed…
05-13 02:37:02	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x5bdf9a…
05-12 18:04:42	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x823e23…
05-12 17:53:59	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x30c320…
05-12 17:53:40	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xfcbefc…
05-12 05:37:58	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x83b46e…
05-11 13:57:08	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe47973…
05-11 13:57:00	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe57f95…
05-11 13:56:33	Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4cee87…
05-11 13:56:07	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xceba63…
05-11 13:55:55	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e3410…
05-11 13:55:46	Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x08004c…
05-11 13:55:25	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfed842…
05-11 13:54:10	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x63ea79…
05-11 13:48:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x2571a1…
05-11 05:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x972db5…
05-11 01:10:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9600f5…
05-09 07:46:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf85982…
05-08 08:28:45	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0x96bc8d…
05-07 13:56:25	Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	80¢	$86	0xdd2130…
04-30 03:44:16	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xac6752…
04-30 00:59:58	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x110213…
04-29 05:39:52	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0x2d051d…
04-29 05:37:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$100	0xa84591…
04-28 08:02:22	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xea1c1c…
04-28 07:31:38	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad9cf7…
04-28 07:07:34	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa92cb0…
04-28 05:40:16	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x80be97…
04-28 01:55:16	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa5ebba…
04-27 03:24:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6bb19d…
04-27 03:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc22300…
04-26 02:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x19f37b…
04-24 13:33:14	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x332a15…
04-24 03:36:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x0eec40…
04-24 03:35:54	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 60 79	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x4f1c84…
04-24 03:32:38	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78d838…
04-24 02:59:44	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0xaa1f1f…
04-24 02:56:30	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xdd01ab…
04-24 02:13:22	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68cd18…
04-24 02:07:28	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x30e48d…
04-24 01:34:20	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x5f455f…
04-24 01:33:14	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	68	80¢	$54	0x344b25…
04-24 01:32:56	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x661844…
04-24 00:57:16	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0882cd…
04-24 00:11:06	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x20aa8f…
04-23 23:38:02	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x73cd74…
04-23 23:20:34	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5216b5…
04-23 22:28:12	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb0b272…
04-23 13:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x85d073…
04-23 13:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4dad98…
04-22 06:29:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0xd2fd82…
04-22 05:55:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	65	59¢	$39	0xbe05c9…
04-22 02:01:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xd07cf5…
04-21 07:55:52	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x95c361…
04-21 07:33:24	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x37d5bf…
04-21 07:02:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9e629d…
04-20 08:37:26	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x591705…
04-20 01:15:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	97	69¢	$67	0x3d96a1…
04-20 01:06:18	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x280161…
04-19 19:41:00	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 60 79	No	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0x63d380…
04-19 01:53:58	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xaaf8e7…
04-19 01:29:08	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa8af35…
04-18 21:11:16	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1608da…
04-18 19:44:08	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xfc370b…
04-18 12:19:06	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe3be05…
04-18 12:18:42	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0xb1bfaf…
04-18 11:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x14a51f…
04-18 11:03:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xce7ac9…
04-18 10:56:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x185875…
04-17 01:35:00	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd89007…
04-17 01:34:48	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9c3a45…
04-17 01:31:36	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x04dd04…
04-17 01:31:12	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 5 9	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x47d409…
04-17 01:30:46	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x407581…
04-17 01:30:10	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x543ce7…
04-17 01:29:58	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5f8ed3…
04-17 01:29:58	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x08c03f…
04-17 01:23:04	ted cruz of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 80 99	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x9a7bea…
04-17 01:18:56	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 60 79	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4f695b…
04-17 01:18:38	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0eb71c…
04-17 01:18:24	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9b599…
04-17 01:18:24	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1ea8f7…
04-17 01:18:22	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x53b70e…
04-17 01:13:30	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4c292d…
04-17 01:12:14	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xa105ce…
04-17 01:12:12	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xad4732…
04-16 14:35:20	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xbcebe6…
04-16 07:28:10	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x83f316…
04-16 07:27:58	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9a65a2…
04-16 07:24:26	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 60 79	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xf874e5…
04-16 01:20:46	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x0b11f9…
04-16 01:00:20	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xcd5b48…
04-15 03:30:18	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x911a41…
04-15 03:16:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfea9dd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	150	$790.2K	14,732	06-09 06:32
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	140	$411.9K	33,268	05-04 10:48
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	118	$167.3K	13,390	03-28 06:19
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	118	$46.3K	13,955	04-17 07:23
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	118	$31.7K	7,741	06-05 16:06
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	111	$36.9K	3,935	06-05 06:28
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	100	$19.7M	22,811	06-10 04:41
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	96	$536.2K	7,137	06-05 15:06