Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

350

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-01 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

56% 84% +$8

Politics

19% 84% +$43

Crypto

10% 78% -$7

Sports

7% 89% +$6

Tech

6% 84% +$12

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$127	86	70	+16	No	+$26	05-31 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$78	45	45	+0	No	-$3	06-11 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$76	43	43	+0	No	-$1	06-27 17:57
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	4	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$1	06-26 09:14
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$71	37	37	+0	No	+$2	07-06 13:13
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$70	37	37	+0	No	+$2	06-30 02:49
ebola case in the us by june 30	4	$69	37	37	+0	No	+$4	06-28 15:49
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$66	34	34	+0	No	+$1	06-24 13:14
gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	4	$65	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-04 08:55
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$64	34	34	+0	No	+$3	06-22 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$2	06-02 06:41
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$60	34	34	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 00:03
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	4	$56	29	29	+0	No	+$1	06-25 03:10
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	4	$56	31	31	+0	No	-$2	06-10 11:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$3	06-05 07:27
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	2	$54	28	28	+0	No	+$1	06-05 14:28
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$2	06-02 14:29
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$1	06-13 06:36
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-26 13:26
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	3	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-31 04:21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$48	26	26	+0	No	+$2	06-04 04:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	31	31	+0	Yes	-$9	06-19 02:21
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	10	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$2	05-29 02:36
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-25 17:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	06-27 20:07
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	07-31 13:19
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	07-13 02:10
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	08-14 15:49
will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	07-11 23:19
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	07-10 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:13:30	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xda6960…
11-01 15:13:04	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Moyano vs Josefina Estevez	Josefina Estevez	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2a6bbc…
11-01 14:43:21	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Moyano vs Josefina Estevez	Josefina Estevez	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe24bc2…
11-01 14:39:39	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb468b5…
11-01 10:11:54	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xee1ee6…
10-31 19:07:30	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4bb91b…
10-31 19:01:40	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf3f485…
10-30 22:19:13	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x3cc8f7…
10-30 05:02:34	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x68ebfe…
10-29 22:53:22	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd252c2…
10-29 22:30:54	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x54c475…
10-29 22:28:51	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0db7e…
10-29 13:19:44	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Fraport Skyliners	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xbbdddc…
10-29 10:08:13	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0ccc81…
10-29 09:48:25	Brisbane Bullets vs. Cairns Taipans	Cairns Taipans	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdaec3d…
10-29 09:43:47	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x2bcd36…
10-28 12:04:05	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x634261…
10-27 21:34:09	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x240ee8…
10-27 21:30:29	Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x8bc066…
10-27 21:03:59	Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x889708…
10-27 20:59:33	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x89eb9f…
10-21 23:40:11	Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf9e2a3…
10-21 23:32:15	Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)	D.C. United SC	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x455b58…
10-19 16:22:32	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x131965…
10-10 18:51:51	Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)	D.C. United SC	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x57d042…
10-10 18:36:09	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x117144…
10-10 14:13:28	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xaf6a39…
10-10 13:52:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc2f8e6…
10-09 22:13:13	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x86365a…
10-09 20:19:29	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x0edca2…
10-09 20:16:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4b1b00…
10-08 06:12:26	Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd9c83f…
10-05 16:36:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x03ce29…
10-04 23:35:11	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 15	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x07fafc…
10-04 22:16:22	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9b6ff2…
10-02 22:31:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xaf6b2c…
10-02 22:21:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x855ed0…
10-02 17:30:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x7c3a7f…
10-02 17:26:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6aa6a4…
10-02 16:30:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xefba12…
10-02 16:08:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x172d98…
10-02 04:28:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x334a86…
10-02 04:20:53	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x9cf131…
10-01 14:26:56	Dolphins vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc49253…
10-01 14:16:15	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4e28c0…
10-01 12:56:44	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x444965…
10-01 11:56:35	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbc07a8…
10-01 11:43:47	Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfaac64…
10-01 08:26:06	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x95f923…
10-01 06:25:51	atp safiull cobolli 2026 09 29 set handicap home 1pt5	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x90861b…
10-01 06:24:29	atp nishiko tiafoe 2026 09 29	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x51d4ca…
10-01 00:25:03	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x1e9e7d…
10-01 00:23:21	phantasmal flames booster box price up down on september 30 20260824121703104	Under	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc49fad…
09-29 16:49:27	will spy reach 775 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0ec0e3…
09-29 16:47:18	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x10555b…
09-29 16:19:21	atp nishiko tiafoe 2026 09 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xee510f…
09-29 15:49:33	Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xffc6c6…
09-24 17:00:18	Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x314f5a…
09-24 16:49:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xeaab36…
09-24 14:59:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x43d97c…
09-24 13:59:26	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x99834c…
09-24 13:39:20	Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd4ea17…
09-24 10:58:35	Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xee07d1…
09-24 10:46:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1e7850…
09-23 12:53:11	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd29469…
09-23 12:53:11	Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x9a37e3…
09-23 12:53:11	W50 Yecla: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko	Kateryna Lazarenko	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x91ba70…
09-23 11:22:46	phantasmal flames booster box price up down on september 30 20260824121703104	Under	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xb856f4…
09-14 20:05:09	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?	Under	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x9fc6e5…
09-14 10:28:16	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	Linke	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x16a8ff…
09-14 08:45:48	Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x48ba06…
09-13 19:16:57	will bitcoin dip to 74k september 7 13 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb41c2b…
09-13 18:56:48	Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x67e461…
09-11 12:21:40	will bitcoin dip to 74k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2fc02b…
09-10 14:43:52	Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x928a5f…
09-10 14:43:52	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?	Under	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x14dd9f…
08-31 13:26:03	Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe7cd76…
08-24 06:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x43af5c…
08-20 00:20:39	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd7912a…
08-20 00:10:15	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x495c2c…
08-19 08:22:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xe2b5ad…
08-19 08:22:00	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc85bea…
08-19 08:15:34	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x6fb4e9…
08-19 08:11:01	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc9792…
08-18 14:15:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x362952…
08-17 10:45:42	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xfc849e…
08-17 10:31:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0xed3999…
08-15 07:40:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x54d01d…
08-15 07:32:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x13c619…
08-14 16:11:07	iran successfully targets shipping on august 24 2026 20260729163314544	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8303ea…
08-14 15:49:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x4813be…
08-13 03:25:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x27b0c0…
08-12 20:56:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf5e4ac…
08-12 18:23:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd009e6…
08-12 18:10:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x835b93…
08-12 16:27:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x8705e8…
08-12 16:26:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x574d1b…
08-11 04:49:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x20ff43…
08-11 03:17:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x424201…
08-11 03:04:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x136d37…