Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-20 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$3

Politics

18% 100% +$3

Crypto

13% 100% +$7

Sports

10% 100% +$3

Tech

8% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No		+18	$16	99¢	$18	+$1	06-13 16:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$127	86	70	+16	open	—	05-31 03:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$76	43	43	+0	open	—	06-27 17:57
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	06-26 09:14
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	07-06 13:13
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	06-30 02:49
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	06-24 13:14
gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	4	$65	37	37	+0	open	—	06-04 08:55
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	06-22 08:11
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	4	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	06-25 03:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	06-05 07:27
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	06-05 14:28
ebola case in the us by june 30	3	$52	18	37	-20	open	—	06-28 15:49
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	06-13 06:36
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 13:26
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	3	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	05-31 04:21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	06-19 02:21
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	10	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 02:36
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-25 17:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	06-27 20:07
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	07-13 02:10
will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	07-11 23:19
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	07-13 08:32
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	07-10 20:45
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 14:23
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	07-15 07:50
us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	07-15 22:33
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	4	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	06-29 17:44
will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	07-18 01:31
will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	3	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	07-15 19:43
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	07-06 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:49:21	will xagusd reach 66 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0bce5d…
07-20 04:05:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xc3e1ec…
07-20 00:08:39	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf72b57…
07-19 16:55:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x8d5b0d…
07-19 16:36:55	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xcdb2b0…
07-19 14:28:15	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9f5745…
07-19 14:23:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x289020…
07-19 10:19:39	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc48b59…
07-19 01:47:33	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcee2e2…
07-18 20:22:45	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x53515d…
07-18 09:18:51	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd23fb0…
07-18 09:18:40	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6d591…
07-18 09:18:33	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6d3d79…
07-18 09:18:24	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4839ca…
07-18 09:18:16	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f9067…
07-18 09:18:15	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa7fa1c…
07-18 09:18:06	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x48a10c…
07-18 09:18:01	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc0f0b2…
07-18 09:17:55	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdaa209…
07-18 09:17:55	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50ccc5…
07-18 06:16:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xbbeb21…
07-18 04:20:49	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9dd5c4…
07-18 02:13:00	will 4 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249341	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x815383…
07-18 01:31:22	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x4137d9…
07-17 21:42:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe29af1…
07-17 10:21:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x0974ee…
07-17 01:39:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026 534	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3a5caa…
07-16 14:06:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xcf0376…
07-16 06:22:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf9a851…
07-15 22:43:58	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x93a760…
07-15 22:33:46	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x935bcb…
07-15 21:47:49	will lamine yamal score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932023	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x22884a…
07-15 21:47:40	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc25354…
07-15 20:43:29	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x8ea875…
07-15 19:43:22	will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x6ae2e7…
07-15 18:01:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026 534	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x2fd967…
07-15 17:44:16	will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xab03eb…
07-15 14:25:17	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xa76d23…
07-15 07:50:19	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x0850a1…
07-15 03:08:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xf80d90…
07-15 02:51:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x88f59d…
07-14 17:28:37	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xed1d24…
07-14 16:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfc094d…
07-13 22:35:13	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5c75f7…
07-13 21:17:49	will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x04cf69…
07-13 21:17:41	will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x0bcff5…
07-13 17:58:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xd7d4c4…
07-13 16:11:22	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x90d540…
07-13 08:32:34	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x917a6f…
07-13 02:10:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xa0732e…
07-12 08:59:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc189bf…
07-12 04:57:52	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x96904b…
07-12 02:02:11	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x02eb7c…
07-12 00:57:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x1b1876…
07-11 23:19:35	will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xd5ed45…
07-11 16:49:59	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf8a696…
07-11 16:49:49	will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x112006…
07-11 07:16:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd9470f…
07-11 00:39:08	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x616137…
07-10 21:10:38	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe4d016…
07-10 20:45:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x493794…
07-10 12:26:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 9 2026 20260630182730887	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0b34f0…
07-10 07:38:58	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt15b	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd270f…
07-09 20:09:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf601fd…
07-09 12:41:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x98ef95…
07-09 12:36:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x9e597d…
07-09 09:47:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2c6b3e…
07-09 04:20:50	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x07fb82…
07-08 15:43:22	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xab8825…
07-08 06:32:38	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x701b8a…
07-08 04:14:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x048f49…
07-08 03:35:14	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xf8ac5b…
07-08 01:40:16	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb697ab…
07-07 22:50:43	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x69d896…
07-07 22:50:28	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x777df6…
07-07 21:08:56	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xed79f1…
07-07 06:30:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x560a5a…
07-07 02:31:31	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdadf6e…
07-07 01:52:01	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc36ad9…
07-07 01:22:31	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x016772…
07-07 01:22:20	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xf152cd…
07-07 01:10:13	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x394b1a…
07-06 20:57:58	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xcb60ba…
07-06 18:00:40	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xbc8e9e…
07-06 15:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x38e1db…
07-06 13:13:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x28b8bf…
07-06 12:00:47	will marcus thuram score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf5187d…
07-06 04:21:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x19e2bd…
07-06 04:21:37	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8d6b68…
07-06 04:07:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0d0371…
07-05 15:56:44	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt1b	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x57265f…
07-05 14:44:47	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x32fbef…
07-05 14:44:37	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xb8b807…
07-05 08:43:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3806a5…
07-05 03:13:14	Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x13ac7a…
07-05 01:08:31	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x71299e…
07-04 21:32:05	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xce5b8e…
07-04 18:25:05	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x4a05e8…
07-04 17:39:44	bitcoin above 64k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa4915e…
07-04 16:30:08	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x25e2b6…