Nautical-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,348

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-21 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

43% 25% $-16

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$928	1,125	891	+234	open	—	05-26 06:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$785	925	691	+234	open	—	05-26 06:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	5	$287	283	283	+0	open	—	05-26 07:32
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	4	$247	186	186	+0	open	—	07-19 21:08
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	5	$246	300	100	+200	open	—	07-11 23:02
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	5	$214	917	917	+0	open	—	05-26 05:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	7	$197	387	13	+374	open	—	07-13 11:20
dota2 ts8 enjoy 2026 06 23 game1	2	$170	93	93	+0	open	—	06-23 15:18
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	9	$142	285	0	+285	open	—	07-12 10:30
will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	14	$140	153	136	+17	open	—	07-10 11:15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	05-28 10:00
will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	3	$132	100	99	+1	open	—	07-13 18:36
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 game1	3	$121	79	73	+6	open	—	04-23 11:16
will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	4	$113	130	130	+0	open	—	07-14 01:10
btc updown 5m 1774858500	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 08:20
btc updown 5m 1774620300	6	$102	58	58	+0	open	—	03-27 14:11
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	5	$93	69	69	+0	open	—	04-15 06:35
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	7	$92	140	140	+0	open	—	07-14 10:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$90	159	159	+0	open	—	05-27 07:07
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	16	$87	377	360	+17	open	—	04-14 08:26
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	5	$82	44	44	+0	open	—	04-09 13:34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$79	54	54	+0	open	—	05-28 17:01
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	06-04 20:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	5	$73	96	95	+1	open	—	07-19 21:43
btc updown 5m 1775720400	7	$73	50	50	+1	open	—	04-09 07:45
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	2	$71	42	42	+0	open	—	07-21 19:14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$70	122	0	+122	open	—	05-24 19:37
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	2	$67	415	415	+0	open	—	04-23 10:40
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	06-25 20:15
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 total games 2pt5	2	$60	36	35	+0	open	—	04-23 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:18:18	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc1b172…
07-21 19:18:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x77ca87…
07-21 19:14:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x3422e0…
07-20 20:25:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x0fd35e…
07-19 21:43:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x74e044…
07-19 21:36:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x096caa…
07-19 21:30:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0xc771a2…
07-19 21:20:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4454d3…
07-19 21:19:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xd40178…
07-19 21:08:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x9d23c3…
07-19 21:07:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x11215f…
07-19 14:47:27	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game2	PARIVISION	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xd6a198…
07-19 14:13:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x700528…
07-19 14:13:16	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x46510b…
07-19 14:12:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	119	58¢	$69	0xb7cb14…
07-19 13:42:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x28dc8e…
07-19 13:42:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x1fc3de…
07-16 12:41:52	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8b33d0…
07-14 19:23:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xe678ca…
07-14 13:54:20	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game2	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc86e9d…
07-14 11:58:58	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x34e692…
07-14 10:11:47	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xdcc4b7…
07-14 09:42:35	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xfdecd6…
07-14 01:10:14	will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x5cafee…
07-13 18:36:31	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	Yes	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0x017b83…
07-13 15:45:35	will charles schwab schw q2 core net new assets be above 95b 20260618173522339	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x8e992c…
07-13 15:00:44	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x20dc63…
07-13 13:00:52	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0xb62e11…
07-13 12:50:52	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x28367b…
07-13 11:20:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x3142d3…
07-13 10:43:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb40e4f…
07-13 10:42:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x0c425b…
07-13 10:42:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x0c425b…
07-13 05:33:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0d4203…
07-12 10:30:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xaac5de…
07-12 08:11:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xe2b4d1…
07-12 01:17:47	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0xcf28f2…
07-11 23:02:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xc5b1ca…
07-11 19:53:34	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x22978b…
07-11 19:53:32	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f9361…
07-11 19:53:32	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x182a2d…
07-11 19:53:29	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xd19bdf…
07-11 19:53:29	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x934151…
07-11 00:17:13	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb192de…
07-10 23:44:31	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x76455f…
07-10 23:44:23	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0x4545fc…
07-10 13:33:08	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x0538ce…
07-10 11:15:50	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	SELL	84	45¢	$38	0x3155e4…
07-10 06:29:22	will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x73fa17…
07-10 06:26:14	will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb5a38c…
07-10 05:07:17	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x9243b7…
07-10 04:34:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xd1aa6d…
07-10 03:20:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xcefe0f…
07-10 03:19:40	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x314cd3…
07-09 22:19:08	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x353c17…
07-09 20:25:29	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x03465f…
07-09 16:53:53	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xba7a1c…
07-09 14:51:04	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4b8c2c…
07-09 14:00:55	will rho labs launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174513382	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x372d30…
07-09 14:00:35	will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeeefff…
07-09 12:03:52	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	Yes	BUY	86	66¢	$57	0x714813…
07-09 11:13:22	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x18a5d5…
07-09 09:52:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	47	23¢	$11	0x28d6e6…
07-09 08:44:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x7dcb74…
07-09 07:43:07	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x188e45…
07-09 07:42:58	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x918a06…
07-09 07:34:52	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	Yes	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xa87e46…
07-09 07:23:50	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	No	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xfd2df4…
07-09 06:56:17	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x56e471…
07-09 02:41:37	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x852627…
07-09 02:40:58	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0xd0df25…
07-09 02:21:50	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x76b450…
07-09 02:21:49	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xab4a42…
07-09 02:21:49	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x24ecef…
07-08 06:08:35	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x8e9fef…
07-08 06:08:34	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xf27edf…
07-08 06:08:34	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x629029…
07-08 03:43:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xdb462f…
07-07 15:19:08	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	89	38¢	$34	0xa7cae3…
07-07 14:12:49	dota2 liquid playti 2026 07 07 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8003a0…
07-07 10:56:23	dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xf7711e…
07-07 10:33:28	dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbda3dd…
07-07 09:39:49	dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x948197…
07-07 06:57:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x984be2…
07-06 20:55:41	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xb86541…
07-06 14:19:20	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xee50ca…
07-05 15:13:59	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x134a62…
07-05 15:13:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc5f4bb…
07-05 15:12:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x1cc256…
07-05 06:13:56	will charles schwab schw q2 core net new assets be above 95b 20260618173522339	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x53bf4c…
07-05 06:11:20	will charles schwab schw q2 core net new assets be above 95b 20260618173522339	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdb7e03…
07-05 02:56:31	will charles schwab schw q2 core net new assets be above 95b 20260618173522339	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xda767c…
07-05 02:56:31	will charles schwab schw q2 core net new assets be above 95b 20260618173522339	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xadee39…
07-03 23:11:41	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x11876d…
07-03 19:57:47	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xb0fd6f…
07-03 19:46:34	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xd11d28…
07-03 19:46:23	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x6711f7…
07-03 12:22:16	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x039dee…
07-03 12:14:17	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0605c5…
07-03 09:35:38	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd5c295…