Nautical-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,219

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-07 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% — —

Other

37% 25% $-16

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 335 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$928	1,125	891	+234	open	—	05-26 06:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$785	925	691	+234	open	—	05-26 06:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	5	$287	283	283	+0	open	—	05-26 07:32
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	5	$214	917	917	+0	open	—	05-26 05:52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	05-28 10:00
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 game1	3	$121	79	73	+6	open	—	04-23 11:16
btc updown 5m 1774858500	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 08:20
btc updown 5m 1774620300	6	$102	58	58	+0	open	—	03-27 14:11
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	5	$93	69	69	+0	open	—	04-15 06:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$90	159	159	+0	open	—	05-27 07:07
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	16	$87	377	360	+17	open	—	04-14 08:26
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	5	$82	44	44	+0	open	—	04-09 13:34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$79	54	54	+0	open	—	05-28 17:01
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	06-04 20:10
btc updown 5m 1775720400	7	$73	50	50	+1	open	—	04-09 07:45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$70	122	0	+122	open	—	05-24 19:37
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	2	$67	415	415	+0	open	—	04-23 10:40
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 total games 2pt5	2	$60	36	35	+0	open	—	04-23 13:01
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	3	$58	48	41	+7	open	—	04-24 15:25
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	2	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	06-04 12:38
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$55	69	21	+47	open	—	05-26 05:51
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 05:51
btc updown 5m 1775761200	6	$51	96	0	+96	open	—	04-09 19:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	3	$50	166	158	+8	open	—	04-17 10:56
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24 game2	4	$50	47	47	+1	open	—	04-24 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$49	182	182	+0	open	—	04-20 07:11
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game1	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	06-04 15:45
btc updown 5m 1775721000	5	$46	32	26	+6	open	—	04-09 07:55
btc updown 5m 1774826100	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 23:19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:56:10	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xf342bc…
06-06 08:16:33	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80dea5…
06-05 20:10:33	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x01d2b2…
06-05 20:09:06	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb3c110…
06-05 09:12:19	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xc1ec16…
06-05 08:24:16	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05	LGD Gaming	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xca130f…
06-04 20:10:03	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x92efbe…
06-04 19:08:18	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	BetBoom Team	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd371f9…
06-04 17:30:58	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x1d874b…
06-04 17:11:03	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd5ce11…
06-04 16:06:52	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x02c83e…
06-04 15:45:49	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x25b28d…
06-04 15:35:04	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa2bb0c…
06-04 14:37:51	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xd89f81…
06-04 14:37:27	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game2	Team Falcons	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x9f1814…
06-04 14:15:34	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x2c361e…
06-04 13:20:43	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x12120d…
06-04 12:41:00	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x69afcb…
06-04 12:38:48	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4cc8fe…
06-04 09:03:28	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x2b5c1d…
05-29 15:09:10	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x4eac7b…
05-29 14:55:33	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xabd398…
05-29 14:34:44	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x753b84…
05-29 11:58:45	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x8c7fa2…
05-29 11:58:36	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0e854f…
05-29 09:02:50	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6cb910…
05-29 09:02:15	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc2e89b…
05-29 08:15:23	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6bd4f5…
05-29 08:14:29	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa06158…
05-29 08:14:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x716515…
05-29 08:14:06	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x996478…
05-29 08:13:52	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x83e2cd…
05-28 17:01:01	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xd9d818…
05-28 16:09:49	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x0b5949…
05-28 15:54:24	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc174ed…
05-28 15:27:58	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x52f255…
05-28 14:10:14	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd63511…
05-28 13:40:59	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd88bb7…
05-28 13:34:04	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1868a4…
05-28 13:23:47	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x750816…
05-28 12:23:00	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x23dafc…
05-28 11:51:30	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x94a755…
05-28 10:00:29	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x66cdb0…
05-28 09:06:37	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	84	66¢	$55	0x6551dc…
05-27 15:40:30	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbb1ce5…
05-27 15:26:16	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x653337…
05-27 15:12:35	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xcb9b49…
05-27 14:20:07	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8477ce…
05-27 08:36:04	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9b10d2…
05-27 07:07:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	63	21¢	$13	0x1bf9ff…
05-26 18:46:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5d2c9b…
05-26 18:10:07	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x2a922b…
05-26 16:41:53	Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc8601a…
05-26 16:17:48	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x4552fe…
05-26 15:22:40	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x10a298…
05-26 14:32:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	79	28¢	$22	0xae6fc9…
05-26 14:31:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x5898df…
05-26 14:31:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	144	31¢	$45	0x23e6d6…
05-26 14:26:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x03239a…
05-26 07:32:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	SELL	147	66¢	$97	0x60021a…
05-26 07:19:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0x15b626…
05-26 07:05:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	78	33¢	$26	0xe204f9…
05-26 07:03:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	58	34¢	$20	0x722aa5…
05-26 07:01:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	136	35¢	$48	0x5e633e…
05-26 06:24:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	37¢	$23	0x6901ae…
05-26 06:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	83	64¢	$53	0x4b724b…
05-26 05:52:42	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	750	2¢	$11	0x62ad96…
05-26 05:51:48	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xf0c526…
05-26 05:51:39	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x682ede…
05-25 23:37:09	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0x3b347d…
05-25 22:03:30	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x049611…
05-25 22:03:19	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xa3093a…
05-25 21:46:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0xf92bee…
05-25 21:46:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x977e75…
05-25 21:46:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x369a96…
05-25 21:45:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x060210…
05-25 21:45:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x8c5ab1…
05-25 21:41:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$71	0xe7cb09…
05-25 21:24:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	176	45¢	$79	0xe2bce9…
05-25 21:21:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x9fe081…
05-25 21:18:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x96ced8…
05-25 21:18:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	37¢	$150	0x7e259e…
05-25 21:15:55	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbb396f…
05-25 20:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x6864ed…
05-25 19:53:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0xc3fb56…
05-25 19:53:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x0911ef…
05-25 19:49:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xba0caa…
05-25 19:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xe3ad16…
05-25 19:32:00	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x149366…
05-25 19:29:44	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x612d07…
05-25 17:33:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x8fd4c6…
05-25 16:58:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb42f4d…
05-25 16:56:52	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd6abf6…
05-25 16:55:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x4372df…
05-24 19:37:11	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6817d1…
05-24 19:12:41	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5536b7…
05-24 19:06:40	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner	Aurora	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x43219b…
05-24 17:25:31	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x307367…
05-22 09:21:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$101	0xb75a1e…
05-22 09:21:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x08c736…