Nautical-Moody 0x6090fa…b46dbb Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$989
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
1,609
Trades
4,518
lifetime
Volume
$47.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$782
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-13 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
71% 36% -$727
Crypto
17% 72% -$171
Politics
10% 42% -$63
Tech
2% 31% -$18
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$8
Sports
0% 40% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +187 $102 98¢ $183 +$82 07-13 11:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No +93 $87 95¢ $88 +$1 09-17 10:36
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 No +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 07-11 23:02
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? No +50 $43 92¢ $46 +$3 09-28 17:23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit +66 $60 60¢ $39 -$21 11-13 20:21
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? No +50 $24 78¢ $39 +$14 09-30 06:02
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +44 $26 87¢ $38 +$12 10-03 11:57
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? Yes +39 $26 75¢ $29 +$3 10-04 19:26
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +100 $28 20¢ $20 -$8 07-10 04:34
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$3 09-29 07:03
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$5 09-25 20:17
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +19 $16 94¢ $18 +$2 10-01 10:47
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +19 $19 92¢ $18 -$2 10-03 18:32
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$1 10-04 12:20
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $15 60¢ $12 -$3 10-01 05:40
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? Yes +50 $26 22¢ $11 -$15 09-30 06:02
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? No +19 $10 55¢ $11 +$0 10-03 22:16
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +19 $11 53¢ $10 -$1 10-31 17:42
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +18 $7 54¢ $10 +$3 10-31 18:45
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? No +39 $13 25¢ $10 -$3 10-31 17:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +10 $23 94¢ $9 -$14 10-05 07:18
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +19 $9 47¢ $9 +$0 09-29 23:19
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +19 $9 46¢ $9 $0 10-31 17:42
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +18 $12 46¢ $8 -$3 10-02 18:03
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $6 40¢ $8 +$2 09-29 08:18
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? Yes +44 $18 13¢ $6 -$12 10-31 17:43
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? Yes +93 $7 5¢ $5 -$2 09-14 16:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +187 $83 2¢ $4 -$79 07-13 10:42
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? Yes +50 $9 8¢ $4 -$6 09-28 19:26
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +19 $4 15¢ $3 -$1 10-04 12:53