Nautical-Moody 0x6090fa…b46dbb Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$123
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
24.8%
Resolved (30d)
136
Trades (30d)
38
4,499 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$139
$47.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$698
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-04 09:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
70% 36% -$769
Crypto
17% 72% -$171
Politics
10% 42% -$63
Tech
2% 36% -$10
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$8
Sports
0% 40% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +187 $102 98¢ $183 +$82 07-13 11:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No +93 $87 96¢ $89 +$1 09-17 10:36
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 No +100 $70 78¢ $78 +$8 07-11 23:02
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? No +50 $43 92¢ $46 +$3 09-28 17:23
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +44 $26 95¢ $42 +$16 10-03 11:57
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? No +50 $24 78¢ $39 +$14 09-30 06:02
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes +39 $27 98¢ $39 +$12 09-30 07:28
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? Yes +28 $12 98¢ $28 +$16 10-31 17:43
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +100 $28 22¢ $22 -$7 07-10 04:34
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? No +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 09-29 05:13
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +20 $15 85¢ $17 +$2 09-25 20:17
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +19 $16 84¢ $16 +$0 10-04 12:20
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? Yes +50 $26 22¢ $11 -$15 09-30 06:02
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +18 $7 56¢ $10 +$4 10-31 18:45
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +19 $11 52¢ $10 -$1 10-31 17:42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +10 $23 96¢ $10 -$13 10-05 07:18
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +19 $9 48¢ $9 +$1 09-29 23:19
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +18 $12 44¢ $8 -$4 10-02 18:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? Yes +93 $7 4¢ $4 -$2 09-14 16:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +187 $83 2¢ $4 -$79 07-13 10:42
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? Yes +50 $9 8¢ $4 -$6 09-28 19:26
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +19 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 10-04 12:53
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $6 15¢ $3 -$3 09-25 19:47
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? Yes +44 $18 5¢ $2 -$16 10-31 17:43
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +39 $13 2¢ $1 -$12 10-31 17:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +10 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 09-14 15:59
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? No +28 $16 2¢ $0 -$16 10-04 19:41
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? Yes +20 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 09-29 14:41