Realized P&L
+$437
Unrealized P&L
+$2.19K
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
15,309
Trades
35,675
lifetime
Volume
$274.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$30.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
56% 85% -$225
Politics
39% 80% +$277
Crypto
3% 94% -$59
Tech
1% 85% +$487
Sports
1% 82% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 79% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 1217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,530 $1,723 69¢ $1.7K +$16 10-27 03:21
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,719 $1,023 100¢ $1.7K +$696 10-27 06:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,719 $1,599 100¢ $1.7K +$116 10-27 06:27
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,719 $1,185 100¢ $1.7K +$530 10-27 06:27
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,783 $1,375 81¢ $1.4K +$69 10-26 02:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,981 $1,267 70¢ $1.4K +$129 10-26 20:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,007 $1,730 67¢ $1.3K -$385 10-24 17:42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,643 $1,153 80¢ $1.3K +$153 10-25 18:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,382 $1,230 93¢ $1.3K +$55 10-26 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,198 $1,181 99¢ $1.2K +$7 10-22 15:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,193 $1,175 98¢ $1.2K +$1 10-21 19:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,106 $1,084 98¢ $1.1K +$4 10-16 17:46
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,059 $1,041 98¢ $1.0K -$8 10-19 05:56
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1,278 $752 78¢ $997 +$245 10-21 15:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,059 $809 90¢ $948 +$139 10-19 05:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,198 $765 76¢ $911 +$146 10-22 15:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +975 $848 86¢ $839 -$9 10-26 21:26
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +1,031 $821 80¢ $819 -$2 10-26 11:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,106 $845 72¢ $796 -$49 10-16 17:46
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,530 $784 31¢ $784 +$1 10-27 03:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +1,216 $819 57¢ $699 -$120 10-26 00:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,007 $260 34¢ $672 +$413 10-24 17:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +650 $642 99¢ $646 +$4 10-07 23:59
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +751 $613 84¢ $635 +$21 10-23 06:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +638 $602 94¢ $602 +$0 10-27 09:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,981 $694 30¢ $584 -$110 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +837 $498 69¢ $578 +$80 10-26 20:53
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +707 $571 81¢ $573 +$2 10-26 20:13
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +578 $522 99¢ $570 +$48 10-19 21:17
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +571 $564 99¢ $565 +$2 10-27 09:06