Realized P&L
+$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$118
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
357
Trades
34,352
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$2.81K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-05 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Sports
51% 60% +$1,737
Other
34% 45% -$969
Politics
13% 50% -$153
Crypto
2% 56% +$744
Tech
0% 67% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -622 -$573 88¢ $-551 +$22 10-05 18:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -500 -$335 74¢ $-372 -$37 10-05 18:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -383 -$369 97¢ $-371 -$2 10-05 18:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -492 -$320 72¢ $-357 -$37 10-05 18:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -312 -$274 92¢ $-285 -$11 10-05 18:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -255 -$166 72¢ $-185 -$19 10-05 18:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -154 -$137 86¢ $-133 +$4 10-05 19:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -360 -$126 34¢ $-121 +$5 10-05 19:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -415 -$141 29¢ $-118 +$23 10-05 18:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -114 -$109 97¢ $-110 -$1 10-05 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -71 -$66 96¢ $-67 -$1 10-05 19:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 -$174 11¢ $-52 +$122 10-05 18:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -376 -$90 11¢ $-40 +$51 10-05 19:01
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +25 $14 86¢ $21 +$8 06-07 13:09
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +25 $14 56¢ $14 +$1 06-06 13:01
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$3 05-07 22:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +25 $12 14¢ $3 -$8 06-07 13:09
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +5 $4 58¢ $3 -$1 06-07 00:35
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +5 $2 13¢ $1 -$1 05-07 22:30