Straight-Mangrove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$229

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-05 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

44% 27% -$92

Politics

34% 29% -$42

Tech

16% 22% -$9

Sports

3% 8% -$51

Crypto

2% 44% -$25

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+68	$7	1¢	$1	-$6	04-30 14:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No		+0	$22	98¢	$0	-$22	11-04 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	-$2	04-30 12:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$1.1K	562	562	+0	No	+$0	05-25 13:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 07:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$0	04-20 09:53
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$904	650	650	+0	Yes	+$384	07-06 03:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	15	$769	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	11-05 06:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	9	$670	400	400	+0	Yes	-$3	05-20 12:47
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$637	600	600	+0	open	—	11-02 12:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	5	$582	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-07 04:09
italy nordio reform referendum passes	6	$478	200	800	-600	No	-$310	03-22 19:46
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$408	680	0	+680	Yes	+$272	06-28 07:27
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	5	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	11-05 04:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-10 11:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$346	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 04:09
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$344	670	0	+670	No	-$344	06-25 15:24
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$330	500	0	+500	Yes	+$170	06-23 13:16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$302	630	0	+630	Yes	+$328	07-01 11:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	18	$296	412	412	+0	open	—	11-03 13:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$258	550	0	+550	Yes	+$292	06-18 20:21
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$207	4,320	4,320	+0	No	-$9	07-09 21:33
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	2	$206	129	129	+0	Yes	+$46	03-27 16:09
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	6	$204	241	241	+0	open	—	11-04 07:54
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	1	$202	650	0	+650	No	-$202	07-05 06:59
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	7	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-24 01:25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$197	521	521	+0	No	-$3	07-07 09:54
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-21 12:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 06:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-20 14:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	7	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 09:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	7	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-20 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 06:21:27	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa330f8…
11-05 06:21:18	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xaec6bd…
11-05 06:21:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x27a653…
11-05 06:05:22	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x09412d…
11-05 05:37:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0x38e76e…
11-05 05:37:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x0e6dcd…
11-05 05:35:39	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xac01c9…
11-05 05:33:10	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x589866…
11-05 05:32:37	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x740a03…
11-05 05:30:58	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x449042…
11-05 05:30:48	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x3f59c8…
11-05 05:28:22	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x812a33…
11-05 05:02:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0xd7997a…
11-05 04:59:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x7dd2ab…
11-05 04:54:19	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xdba9b4…
11-05 04:53:40	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x57817f…
11-05 04:53:40	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x57817f…
11-05 04:51:03	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	180	5¢	$8	0x73cffa…
11-05 04:49:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa5dba4…
11-04 12:23:13	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf3741f…
11-04 12:23:13	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf36568…
11-04 12:23:13	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x82bd25…
11-04 12:20:33	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd83512…
11-04 12:20:33	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc8d192…
11-04 12:20:10	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf9be14…
11-04 12:20:10	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x20a504…
11-04 12:16:54	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7118e7…
11-04 12:16:25	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xda3a87…
11-04 12:15:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	201	15¢	$29	0x07928a…
11-04 12:09:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xcbc33f…
11-04 12:07:48	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x530112…
11-04 12:06:18	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc1d5c2…
11-04 12:05:16	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4fec1f…
11-04 12:04:52	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x4c9013…
11-04 12:03:48	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x0bb569…
11-04 12:03:13	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x94baa0…
11-04 12:00:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x3edab3…
11-04 11:58:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	81¢	$163	0x9cbd11…
11-04 11:57:49	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$163	0x64cdc2…
11-04 11:53:52	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x24c7aa…
11-04 11:52:43	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb4e473…
11-04 11:44:15	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	201	83¢	$166	0xb69d0f…
11-04 11:41:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	201	83¢	$166	0xa815c7…
11-04 07:54:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x8bed7b…
11-04 07:49:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x10a365…
11-04 07:49:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	93	56¢	$52	0xd3d866…
11-04 07:48:15	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x64988d…
11-04 07:48:06	Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x16a6f9…
11-04 07:47:57	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xb5e4ff…
11-04 07:35:52	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x7a00ad…
11-04 07:31:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x2a1591…
11-04 07:12:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	121	74¢	$90	0xab8a98…
11-04 07:12:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xda5b52…
11-04 07:11:30	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe2ba66…
11-04 07:10:45	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa88361…
11-04 07:10:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x48866f…
11-04 07:09:42	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbd4ec3…
11-04 07:09:37	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa8059a…
11-04 07:09:03	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x74ac81…
11-04 07:09:00	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x68b458…
11-04 07:05:57	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0dbe56…
11-04 07:01:57	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x83f437…
11-04 06:57:34	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf5960c…
11-04 06:56:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x655fd2…
11-04 06:53:15	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x727bec…
11-04 06:53:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0xf4d56b…
11-04 06:51:01	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x56cc48…
11-04 06:50:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdf8676…
11-04 06:45:57	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x768d7f…
11-04 06:44:25	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xbe0cc0…
11-04 06:43:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	204	3¢	$7	0x1fd9ce…
11-04 06:42:07	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22f1f9…
11-04 06:42:03	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd471a2…
11-04 06:41:39	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd190b2…
11-04 06:41:39	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x86b476…
11-04 06:41:39	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x659201…
11-04 06:41:39	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x07e530…
11-04 06:41:34	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x23f3ef…
11-04 06:41:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x44fb7d…
11-04 06:40:43	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xacf07e…
11-04 06:40:10	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	120	74¢	$89	0xccbbcc…
11-04 06:39:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0xd8d805…
11-04 06:38:06	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x660321…
11-04 06:37:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc2eb06…
11-04 06:37:34	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xec679a…
11-04 06:36:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$37	0x9eafe9…
11-04 06:36:21	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x8ee55c…
11-04 06:36:15	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x87e904…
11-04 06:35:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3fa8c3…
11-04 06:35:51	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb1a381…
11-04 06:35:51	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x8440f8…
11-04 06:35:45	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x702c17…
11-04 06:33:13	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3d03f4…
11-04 06:32:43	Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe59708…
11-04 06:32:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x24688f…
11-04 06:31:19	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x23211f…
11-04 06:31:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0xb459a7…
11-04 06:30:30	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	18¢	$22	0x2f45b8…
11-04 06:29:46	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf0e215…
11-04 06:29:30	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x2f1ec4…