Instructive-Faculty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$213

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

179

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-04 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

49% 31% +$326

Politics

32% 23% -$33

Tech

13% 20% -$4

Crypto

3% 36% -$11

Sports

3% 5% -$58

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+89	$8	1¢	$1	-$7	04-30 14:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$1	04-20 09:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$1.8K	932	932	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$0	04-20 06:12
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	04-30 07:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$979	500	500	+0	No	-$1	04-30 12:43
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$961	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 07:23
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$904	650	650	+0	Yes	+$384	07-06 03:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$790	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-10 09:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$770	400	400	+0	No	-$5	05-10 15:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$593	300	300	+0	Yes	-$2	04-07 08:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	10	$437	821	821	+0	open	—	11-04 06:14
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$408	680	0	+680	Yes	+$272	06-28 07:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-03 03:52
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	$0	10-30 08:09
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?	2	$384	200	200	+0	No	+$0	10-30 08:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$374	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	04-03 03:52
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$339	660	0	+660	No	-$339	06-25 15:24
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$330	500	0	+500	Yes	+$170	06-23 13:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	14	$297	380	380	+0	Yes	-$1	11-03 12:04
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$288	600	0	+600	Yes	+$312	07-01 11:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$258	550	0	+550	Yes	+$292	06-18 20:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	11	$257	260	260	+0	No	-$3	11-03 12:04
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	5	$226	142	142	+0	Yes	+$51	03-27 16:09
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$211	4,400	4,400	+0	No	-$9	07-09 21:34
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	1	$202	650	0	+650	No	-$202	07-05 06:59
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	6	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 03:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 14:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 03:01
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	3	$195	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-21 01:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:17:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x63cbb6…
11-04 06:16:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x7addbb…
11-04 06:16:22	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x2244a7…
11-04 06:16:18	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9dc51b…
11-04 06:14:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5bfeb6…
11-04 06:14:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x552528…
11-04 06:14:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0x871272…
11-04 06:12:01	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3bc48d…
11-04 06:11:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x624c32…
11-04 06:09:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x842c0d…
11-04 06:08:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x895bf6…
11-04 06:08:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x3dd8ec…
11-04 06:07:37	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xac5923…
11-04 06:07:07	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfac223…
11-04 06:06:27	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdb6f5e…
11-04 06:05:55	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xfffa41…
11-04 06:05:45	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xc4e9c2…
11-04 06:05:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x686b1c…
11-04 06:05:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x904181…
11-04 06:05:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x711b7e…
11-04 06:05:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6a2202…
11-04 06:05:22	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x60ef2e…
11-04 06:03:19	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xc765d1…
11-04 06:02:58	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x79a36a…
11-04 06:02:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xe7eefd…
11-04 06:02:49	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x49c873…
11-04 06:01:27	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb87e7f…
11-04 06:01:15	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x40fc45…
11-04 06:01:15	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	SELL	16	16¢	$2	0x168d90…
11-04 06:01:07	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xe1c693…
11-04 06:01:07	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb0c80d…
11-04 06:01:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	134	3¢	$4	0x0f9b0f…
11-04 05:59:37	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1c0a74…
11-04 05:59:10	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1f6923…
11-04 05:58:13	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x5aebba…
11-04 05:57:33	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xada087…
11-04 05:57:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x0bf099…
11-04 05:56:58	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x657ad7…
11-04 05:56:54	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xecdb4e…
11-04 05:56:54	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xe365cb…
11-04 05:56:54	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xe118c7…
11-04 05:56:40	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x074601…
11-04 05:56:16	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xbb11b7…
11-04 05:55:51	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xd466aa…
11-04 05:54:42	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xdbf1f7…
11-04 05:54:36	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xc2e5b0…
11-04 05:53:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	131	4¢	$5	0x2733b5…
11-04 05:53:19	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd8e233…
11-04 05:53:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2c3415…
11-04 05:53:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x117a02…
11-04 05:53:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x893a07…
11-04 05:52:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x2a4888…
11-04 05:51:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x65a5c0…
11-04 05:51:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x4da317…
11-04 05:51:27	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xc97c06…
11-04 05:51:27	Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x592be4…
11-04 05:51:27	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4e0c70…
11-04 05:51:19	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x674b1b…
11-04 05:48:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x89b172…
11-04 05:48:57	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x27a10f…
11-04 05:48:28	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xe22c24…
11-04 05:48:18	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x07ea71…
11-04 05:48:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa66849…
11-04 05:47:54	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xba8abd…
11-04 05:47:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6d8cb0…
11-04 05:47:00	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0d63bb…
11-04 05:46:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xacc5c5…
11-04 05:45:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	189	93¢	$176	0x69d84c…
11-04 05:45:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xdcfdef…
11-04 05:44:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x71d245…
11-04 05:42:27	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4b6c69…
11-04 05:42:21	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x742c5b…
11-04 05:42:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x523b8c…
11-04 05:41:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9d59fe…
11-03 17:13:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	31	66¢	$21	0x333c18…
11-03 16:53:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xbf8931…
11-03 16:38:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdf1453…
11-03 16:19:19	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x628a1f…
11-03 16:11:52	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1c2bcb…
11-03 15:13:57	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1498b4…
11-03 12:04:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x5bed09…
11-03 12:04:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x8e097a…
11-03 12:03:10	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x72a5c8…
11-03 12:01:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8d11ce…
11-03 11:41:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x103eb7…
11-03 11:28:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xb1f894…
11-03 11:19:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc863ae…
11-03 11:03:51	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x5f77df…
11-03 11:03:09	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xa0c44a…
11-03 11:03:09	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2bf424…
11-03 10:50:51	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xfc2df7…
11-03 10:48:48	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x7e9173…
11-03 10:46:19	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x6ed0f6…
11-03 07:40:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xd39d76…
11-03 07:39:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x4409f1…
11-03 07:38:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xbaafa9…
11-03 07:22:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7861d2…
11-03 07:20:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf42f47…
11-03 07:20:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x522c1a…
11-03 07:15:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc84fff…