Instructive-Faculty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$66

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-08 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$0

Politics

25% 0% $-5

Tech

22% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+917	$55	5¢	$46	$-9	07-03 08:53
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-20	$-19	99¢	$-20	$-0	05-31 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	04-20 09:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$1.8K	932	932	+0	open	—	05-09 10:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 09:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$770	400	400	+0	No	$-5	05-10 15:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$593	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 08:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 03:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 03:52
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	5	$226	142	142	+0	open	—	03-27 16:09
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	6	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 03:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 01:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 13:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-29 09:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 14:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$109	736	736	+0	open	—	06-03 18:42
italy nordio reform referendum passes	8	$100	212	13	+200	open	—	03-22 19:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-27 11:52
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	8	$90	81	81	+0	open	—	05-13 17:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 18:41
trump out as president by march 31	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	1	$66	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 11:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	6	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 11:04
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 08:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 16:48
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-27 11:52
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$58	680	700	-20	open	—	06-05 21:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 12:59:32	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0xdc544e…
07-03 08:53:31	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	917	6¢	$55	0x92857c…
07-03 08:48:08	trump on 250 bill this year	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x0f4837…
06-24 07:13:25	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947255	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xf1c172…
06-24 07:11:01	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x90b12b…
06-24 07:10:20	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb49a34…
06-24 07:10:19	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947255	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x552995…
06-24 07:10:08	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859864	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x169adb…
06-24 07:09:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x6d43fb…
06-24 07:09:23	will the announcers say qatar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809446	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xbedc7c…
06-24 07:07:58	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9e20ba…
06-24 07:05:05	will the announcers say qatar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809446	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6d1e7d…
06-24 06:57:28	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x5817c6…
06-24 06:57:25	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xef0cd1…
06-24 06:56:02	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859864	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb7ea7a…
06-24 06:55:01	will the announcers say assist during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646396	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x6956c1…
06-24 06:53:26	will the announcers say assist during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646396	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x822198…
06-24 06:45:52	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xdcb1c2…
06-24 06:45:04	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x20dbe5…
06-24 06:41:05	will the announcers say assist during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221722	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x929dd0…
06-24 06:40:47	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221723	Yes	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x451a87…
06-24 06:39:17	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221723	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0xcaffba…
06-24 06:39:08	will the announcers say assist during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221722	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x146625…
06-24 06:38:02	will the announcers say assist during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221722	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xa39fa2…
06-24 06:37:23	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6d1e5f…
06-24 06:37:20	will the announcers say assist during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221722	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x5bb855…
06-18 07:19:20	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x291235…
06-18 07:07:44	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd9db40…
06-18 07:02:37	will the announcers say ankle during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751362	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xdfeb0e…
06-18 06:58:52	will the announcers say ankle during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751362	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0f6f46…
06-07 22:53:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x982d43…
06-07 19:26:34	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x319d76…
06-06 19:32:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$2	0xae6eba…
06-06 19:28:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	6¢	$19	0x413360…
06-05 21:31:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$7	0x0a7298…
06-05 21:31:43	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x92ffd4…
06-05 14:35:39	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	3¢	$12	0x5df913…
06-04 17:47:12	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x88486f…
06-04 14:56:16	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	833	1¢	$9	0x4f18c1…
06-04 14:56:01	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$15	0x6f2ba8…
06-04 14:37:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x548780…
06-04 14:23:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	6¢	$20	0x566a1b…
06-04 14:08:43	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$15	0x0314fe…
06-03 18:42:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$38	0x4f6026…
06-03 10:13:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$13	0x80d5a2…
05-31 18:41:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xbbd082…
05-31 17:44:40	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x509e8d…
05-31 17:39:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	8¢	$28	0xad55fb…
05-31 17:39:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x686499…
05-31 17:38:41	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x887dcf…
05-31 17:38:29	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	3¢	$19	0x41269a…
05-31 17:32:34	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x2f09c1…
05-31 16:01:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	7¢	$17	0x98387a…
05-30 16:50:27	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xb66bf3…
05-30 16:46:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2da2ac…
05-30 08:14:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	7¢	$17	0x06b206…
05-30 08:13:51	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8fe65d…
05-30 06:09:19	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x59d039…
05-30 06:07:44	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x5b926b…
05-30 06:07:08	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xa03116…
05-30 06:05:23	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb5b34d…
05-30 05:53:55	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf12033…
05-30 05:53:09	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1bfc63…
05-30 05:49:46	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xb7c1c6…
05-30 05:44:16	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xaee804…
05-30 05:15:44	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x92a89b…
05-30 05:13:01	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xdbb452…
05-30 05:11:58	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc1cf60…
05-26 05:08:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x744623…
05-26 04:27:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc9b3e1…
05-25 13:16:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb8b7b…
05-22 03:11:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x770274…
05-21 11:35:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xda2821…
05-21 10:48:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xba18ca…
05-21 03:08:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x412762…
05-21 02:55:40	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4f65e8…
05-21 02:29:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae8aa8…
05-21 02:01:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbf9b71…
05-21 01:52:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x929532…
05-21 01:49:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x52962f…
05-21 01:37:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x58c186…
05-21 01:32:44	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdfec59…
05-20 19:28:06	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x53a99f…
05-20 14:17:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4f8e83…
05-20 13:58:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa525bf…
05-20 13:58:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x38eb0f…
05-20 13:58:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xbdd507…
05-20 13:58:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x6c171a…
05-20 13:58:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x709b73…
05-20 13:58:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x2aab4c…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xea1897…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xbcc29b…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xae0a7a…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa15ab3…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x87dd32…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x69f474…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xc65f26…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x94382d…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x58cfb1…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2ddc76…