Instructive-Faculty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-07 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$0

Politics

25% 0% $-5

Tech

23% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-20	$-19	98¢	$-20	$-0	05-31 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	04-20 09:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$1.8K	932	932	+0	open	—	05-09 10:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 09:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$770	400	400	+0	No	$-5	05-10 15:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$593	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 08:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 03:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 03:52
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	5	$226	142	142	+0	open	—	03-27 16:09
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	6	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 03:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 01:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 13:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-29 09:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 14:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$109	736	736	+0	open	—	06-03 18:42
italy nordio reform referendum passes	8	$100	212	13	+200	open	—	03-22 19:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-27 11:52
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	8	$90	81	81	+0	open	—	05-13 17:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 18:41
trump out as president by march 31	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	1	$66	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 11:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	6	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 11:04
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 16:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 08:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 16:48
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-27 11:52
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$58	680	700	-20	open	—	06-05 21:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 22:53:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x982d43…
06-07 19:26:34	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x319d76…
06-06 19:32:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$2	0xae6eba…
06-06 19:28:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	6¢	$19	0x413360…
06-05 21:31:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$7	0x0a7298…
06-05 21:31:43	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x92ffd4…
06-05 14:35:39	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	3¢	$12	0x5df913…
06-04 17:47:12	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x88486f…
06-04 14:56:16	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	833	1¢	$9	0x4f18c1…
06-04 14:56:01	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$15	0x6f2ba8…
06-04 14:37:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x548780…
06-04 14:23:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	6¢	$20	0x566a1b…
06-04 14:08:43	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$15	0x0314fe…
06-03 18:42:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$38	0x4f6026…
06-03 10:13:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$13	0x80d5a2…
05-31 18:41:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xbbd082…
05-31 17:44:40	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x509e8d…
05-31 17:39:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	8¢	$28	0xad55fb…
05-31 17:39:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x686499…
05-31 17:38:41	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x887dcf…
05-31 17:38:29	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	3¢	$19	0x41269a…
05-31 17:32:34	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x2f09c1…
05-31 16:01:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	7¢	$17	0x98387a…
05-30 16:50:27	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xb66bf3…
05-30 16:46:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2da2ac…
05-30 08:14:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	7¢	$17	0x06b206…
05-30 08:13:51	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8fe65d…
05-30 06:09:19	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x59d039…
05-30 06:07:44	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x5b926b…
05-30 06:07:08	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xa03116…
05-30 06:05:23	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb5b34d…
05-30 05:53:55	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf12033…
05-30 05:53:09	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1bfc63…
05-30 05:49:46	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xb7c1c6…
05-30 05:44:16	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xaee804…
05-30 05:15:44	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x92a89b…
05-30 05:13:01	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xdbb452…
05-30 05:11:58	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc1cf60…
05-26 05:08:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x744623…
05-26 04:27:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc9b3e1…
05-25 13:16:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb8b7b…
05-22 03:11:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x770274…
05-21 11:35:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xda2821…
05-21 10:48:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xba18ca…
05-21 03:08:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x412762…
05-21 02:55:40	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4f65e8…
05-21 02:29:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae8aa8…
05-21 02:01:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbf9b71…
05-21 01:52:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x929532…
05-21 01:49:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x52962f…
05-21 01:37:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x58c186…
05-21 01:32:44	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdfec59…
05-20 19:28:06	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x53a99f…
05-20 14:17:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4f8e83…
05-20 13:58:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa525bf…
05-20 13:58:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x38eb0f…
05-20 13:58:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xbdd507…
05-20 13:58:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x6c171a…
05-20 13:58:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x709b73…
05-20 13:58:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x2aab4c…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xea1897…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xbcc29b…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xae0a7a…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa15ab3…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x87dd32…
05-20 13:58:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x69f474…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xc65f26…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x94382d…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x58cfb1…
05-20 13:58:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2ddc76…
05-20 11:55:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x51617f…
05-13 17:19:32	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6bfbef…
05-13 17:17:52	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x46a3a2…
05-13 17:12:07	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x7f732d…
05-13 17:11:48	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb82dea…
05-13 17:11:38	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3fdefe…
05-13 17:01:53	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5c04dc…
05-13 16:58:13	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xedf7ce…
05-13 16:58:04	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x6b5dec…
05-10 15:50:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	406	2¢	$10	0x4d0947…
05-10 15:42:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$382	0x8a3b49…
05-10 12:25:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$387	0xfd5bc9…
05-10 11:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$2	0xa957b9…
05-10 11:39:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x888c80…
05-10 11:36:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x088374…
05-10 11:20:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x20ac29…
05-10 11:19:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0x599b3a…
05-10 10:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	543	3¢	$14	0x13146b…
05-10 10:26:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x07f383…
05-10 10:05:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf0f587…
05-10 10:05:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	366	3¢	$10	0xb6074e…
05-10 09:49:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0x109a02…
05-10 09:46:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x1fb244…
05-09 10:19:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x41cb57…
05-09 10:07:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xa9afac…
05-09 09:58:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xad04de…
05-09 09:54:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	308	98¢	$302	0x5ac3ed…
05-09 09:42:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2bb3d5…
05-09 09:38:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xa40741…
05-09 09:32:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f7d18…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	61	$582.5K	8,647	06-09 13:08
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	53	$13.2M	14,141	06-09 10:00
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	52	$154.7K	679	06-09 14:07
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	51	$5.50K	1,138	06-04 00:28
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	43	$30.7K	14,662	04-26 14:40
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	42	$13.6K	1,425	06-07 19:56
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	42	$3.81K	2,337	06-09 13:08
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	41	$8.56K	3,745	06-04 04:49