Realized P&L
+$2.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$290
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
170
Trades
547
lifetime
Volume
$44.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$3.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-13 01:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
66% 74% +$1,434
Politics
24% 65% +$431
Sports
10% 100% +$725
Crypto
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +561 $301 97¢ $543 +$242 09-03 23:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +400 $354 92¢ $370 +$16 10-21 14:37
Memphis vs. South Florida South Florida +1,000 $90 20¢ $196 +$106 11-13 01:38
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026? No +200 $186 95¢ $190 +$4 11-12 10:50
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 No +200 $156 94¢ $188 +$32 10-19 07:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +200 $168 92¢ $185 +$17 11-09 23:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $179 +$5 11-10 23:26
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by November 30? No +180 $163 96¢ $172 +$9 11-12 20:18
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +340 $135 44¢ $149 +$14 10-21 21:47
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +200 $87 53¢ $106 +$19 10-31 02:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes +100 $72 99¢ $99 +$27 11-04 03:34
Will São Bernardo FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$2 11-13 00:59
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +100 $89 97¢ $97 +$8 10-11 01:44
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +100 $62 96¢ $96 +$34 08-12 20:36
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +100 $74 95¢ $95 +$21 08-16 14:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +100 $86 95¢ $95 +$9 08-15 17:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$5 09-06 00:00
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +100 $67 92¢ $92 +$25 10-23 06:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +100 $82 92¢ $92 +$10 09-04 20:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $61 92¢ $92 +$31 10-30 03:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 90¢ $90 +$10 09-04 09:33
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $78 90¢ $90 +$12 10-23 16:44
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +100 $90 84¢ $84 -$6 11-07 18:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? No +100 $69 84¢ $84 +$14 11-09 23:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +100 $48 76¢ $76 +$28 10-28 20:01
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? No +100 $75 67¢ $67 -$8 11-09 23:42
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +200 $54 29¢ $57 +$3 10-30 10:53
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +850 $420 4¢ $38 -$382 09-25 17:55
Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026? No +100 $38 28¢ $28 -$10 11-12 21:06
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? No +200 $32 14¢ $27 -$5 11-11 20:54