Slow-Ark-Musician — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$714

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-09 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$1

Other

28% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No		+6	$5	82¢	$5	$-0	06-02 10:15
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes		+5	$5	93¢	$5	$-0	06-09 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	5	$34	223	223	+0	open	—	04-06 07:40
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	5	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	04-06 19:46
will trump say six seven during address to the nation	4	$21	307	133	+174	open	—	04-01 21:06
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	4	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	04-01 20:33
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$17	17	10	+7	open	—	05-14 13:38
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	3	$15	29	15	+15	open	—	04-08 13:18
will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	3	$15	52	0	+52	open	—	04-01 20:46
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 07:07
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 03:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	57	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 17:16
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 06:45
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-17 16:16
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 01:30
atp zink smith 2026 04 06	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-06 19:59
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$11	34	34	+0	open	—	04-20 18:49
atp torres ambrogi 2026 04 06	2	$11	12	11	+0	open	—	04-06 19:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	45	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-20 09:49
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 04:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-08 18:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 00:09
will ethereum reach 2350 on april 1	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 07:33
will solana reach 90 on april 1	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 18:50
mlb chc tb 2026 04 06	2	$10	11	10	+0	open	—	04-06 19:43
mlb det min 2026 04 07	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-06 19:47
will solana reach 85 on april 1	2	$10	505	0	+505	open	—	04-01 16:37
val ega d1 2026 04 06	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 19:46
will solana dip to 80 on april 1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 18:49
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$-0	04-06 19:58
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	110	110	+0	open	—	04-06 19:58
atp glinka wolf 2026 04 06	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-06 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:17:39	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa95706…
06-09 02:18:10	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Over	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf32c2f…
06-09 00:28:25	first round outright winner in the la mayoral election	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xd35859…
06-06 10:44:22	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x895846…
06-04 08:02:57	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x207509…
06-02 22:47:09	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5d4671…
06-02 21:28:38	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5c3e91…
06-02 10:15:44	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3606bc…
06-01 00:32:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xfd80bc…
05-23 16:56:18	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x87a2ae…
05-22 22:53:23	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x918fce…
05-21 07:07:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa86548…
05-21 06:45:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaeae94…
05-21 03:31:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xe0657b…
05-20 15:49:58	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x776983…
05-20 15:38:35	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x88616d…
05-20 13:27:27	Will Trump say "Fighter" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfe3d11…
05-20 13:20:32	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3fe5a1…
05-20 03:24:03	Will Evil Morty appear in Rick and Morty: Season 9?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xadcef8…
05-18 23:03:40	Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f4888…
05-17 22:16:05	Will the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbfab49…
05-17 05:40:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd85fc0…
05-16 06:00:17	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b0279…
05-16 05:50:19	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ab690…
05-16 05:49:30	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fdf30…
05-16 05:49:14	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf885b…
05-15 21:23:13	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xce5403…
05-15 00:17:37	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82c3f9…
05-15 00:17:22	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbdb628…
05-14 23:56:23	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x354e4f…
05-14 23:56:09	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9867d0…
05-14 23:56:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xac3d17…
05-14 17:28:49	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5036c4…
05-14 17:28:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xed1bbe…
05-14 17:28:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x25ebf6…
05-14 17:28:32	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc932ec…
05-14 17:28:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x75857c…
05-14 13:38:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6cbdbb…
05-14 13:13:56	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xee9f35…
05-14 06:57:13	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xdf7347…
05-14 02:07:13	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x587375…
05-13 19:28:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x1fe070…
05-13 19:27:33	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x95aa1e…
05-13 16:30:28	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe6ab16…
05-13 16:28:15	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8439ea…
05-13 16:18:08	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb20af1…
05-08 18:13:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x957721…
05-08 12:40:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5678b0…
05-06 13:39:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x95b2d4…
05-05 15:29:06	Will Trump say "Terminate the Filibuster" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1af265…
05-05 15:28:10	Will Trump say "Pope" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac20f8…
05-05 15:27:46	Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x137194…
05-05 15:27:42	Will Trump say "Midterm" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd00d7e…
05-03 17:48:20	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x10cbfe…
05-01 21:56:48	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3643ed…
05-01 20:12:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xcfe6cd…
05-01 17:45:40	Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8a9a99…
05-01 17:42:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8194ce…
05-01 17:40:28	Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xed0c75…
05-01 14:52:48	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3431b0…
05-01 01:30:06	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0ec33…
04-29 23:39:48	Will Trump say "Dog" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa92cfc…
04-29 17:20:20	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbaa0b8…
04-29 17:16:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x108ebe…
04-29 17:01:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x231118…
04-29 16:56:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xb077e3…
04-29 16:56:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xd3cfc2…
04-29 16:50:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa72bb4…
04-29 16:50:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x86c4b4…
04-29 16:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x757c3c…
04-29 16:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x5c6b3b…
04-29 16:26:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x88f1ae…
04-29 16:21:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x16452f…
04-29 16:06:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x0602d6…
04-29 00:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x3b5c92…
04-28 13:32:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc78515…
04-28 10:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xf5abfe…
04-28 10:53:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x85f8c8…
04-28 07:49:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x1888de…
04-28 07:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xfb0d06…
04-28 07:38:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x702749…
04-28 07:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x469455…
04-28 07:34:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x1ee99e…
04-28 07:30:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xf2834c…
04-28 06:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x332589…
04-28 05:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x265dfd…
04-28 05:45:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9d8899…
04-28 05:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x3cf4ad…
04-28 05:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x51a4d5…
04-28 05:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x8e867b…
04-28 05:22:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x7d808e…
04-28 05:10:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x0e2ecc…
04-28 05:07:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x845f4b…
04-28 04:57:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9422dc…
04-28 04:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x93823b…
04-28 04:46:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xaa45d5…
04-28 04:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x8c1225…
04-28 04:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xbed9d8…
04-28 03:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x571540…
04-28 03:49:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x68b83b…