Impolite-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,601

lifetime

Volume

$30.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 22% $-64

Crypto

33% — —

Politics

9% 0% —

Tech

2% 0% —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	55	$1.8K	1,043	1,349	-305	open	—	02-07 18:31
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	17	$844	495	495	+0	open	—	02-11 15:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$634	352	352	+0	open	—	02-02 20:52
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	5	$509	299	299	+0	open	—	01-30 12:01
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of february 339 735 643 246 799 559 292 611 315 385	6	$497	274	274	+0	open	—	02-02 10:46
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	12	$476	775	775	+0	open	—	08-06 17:05
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$473	218	269	-51	open	—	02-02 15:57
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	7	$443	263	263	+0	open	—	01-31 10:03
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	4	$442	203	258	-55	open	—	02-03 06:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	24	$396	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-21 18:42
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	13	$371	159	261	-102	open	—	01-31 20:10
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	16	$331	206	206	+0	open	—	01-31 13:03
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	2	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	02-03 21:34
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	14	$309	972	972	-0	open	—	06-16 06:28
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	7	$285	139	199	-59	open	—	02-09 03:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	5	$259	176	146	+30	open	—	01-30 17:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	5	$258	166	166	+0	open	—	01-30 18:12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$258	500	500	+0	Spirit	+$2	05-10 10:31
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$256	163	163	+0	open	—	01-29 12:05
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	5	$245	131	131	+0	open	—	02-02 12:04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	12	$238	374	374	+0	open	—	05-15 18:00
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	2	$229	127	127	+0	open	—	02-06 12:44
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$227	110	134	-24	open	—	02-04 00:28
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	18	$226	229	229	+0	open	—	08-03 06:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	10	$224	205	205	+0	open	—	08-10 18:39
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	2	$212	115	115	+0	open	—	02-02 19:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$212	378	378	+0	open	—	07-22 14:30
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$212	312	312	+0	open	—	07-22 17:44
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	10	$204	270	270	-0	open	—	05-15 06:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	6	$199	105	105	+0	open	—	02-09 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:19:39	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0x7c8638…
08-10 19:05:57	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x24e24f…
08-10 18:39:06	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x64f7e1…
08-10 16:54:55	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x79fa58…
08-10 09:32:48	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xce6a73…
08-09 20:15:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x04180c…
08-09 05:30:22	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	32¢	$24	0x8aee3f…
08-09 02:20:36	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xbc25b6…
08-09 02:16:18	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xd42db4…
08-09 01:50:45	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x631054…
08-08 13:14:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x6dff42…
08-08 03:36:16	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0991f2…
08-08 02:32:57	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$24	0xca0409…
08-07 23:14:45	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x8ac7c5…
08-07 23:01:25	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xefbc9f…
08-07 22:29:57	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xaf386d…
08-07 22:29:37	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x718a01…
08-07 15:27:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0b77a9…
08-07 11:31:43	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x38a4d9…
08-07 05:50:34	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0x6b1ebf…
08-07 04:12:19	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x881995…
08-07 04:11:49	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x649582…
08-07 01:18:39	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x21fdd0…
08-06 17:05:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0x1f073a…
08-06 11:53:32	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x3462c9…
08-05 21:43:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xef18a3…
08-05 21:43:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xc664cb…
08-05 21:42:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7de6a3…
08-04 21:08:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x96df8c…
08-04 21:08:23	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0xa96bea…
08-04 12:52:20	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x2f37a6…
08-04 05:09:08	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xcda976…
08-04 05:08:11	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xdf333d…
08-04 05:07:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x548cad…
08-04 04:01:41	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xfe8dd8…
08-04 02:49:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xfbc17a…
08-04 02:03:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x2cba22…
08-04 00:49:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xd69456…
08-04 00:24:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xd28c66…
08-03 23:53:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x996a17…
08-03 22:51:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0xe6a927…
08-03 22:29:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8cdc46…
08-03 22:25:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xee49d9…
08-03 22:17:44	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x5aab98…
08-03 22:00:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x25c94d…
08-03 08:05:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	375	32¢	$120	0xdabe4e…
08-03 06:49:53	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x384e9e…
08-03 06:49:51	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xae8714…
08-03 06:49:50	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x489ac7…
08-02 14:40:20	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xaee835…
08-01 20:34:27	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xc5bf8d…
08-01 03:59:45	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	46	63¢	$29	0x7254ef…
08-01 03:59:44	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8a5aea…
08-01 03:59:44	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x5e85d8…
08-01 03:59:42	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x0203af…
08-01 01:14:51	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xcc0c33…
07-31 17:10:47	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x570a9f…
07-31 14:57:53	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xf136e1…
07-31 14:52:48	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x3e5ef6…
07-31 14:38:39	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x18f357…
07-29 22:27:30	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0xf36dad…
07-29 22:13:14	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa1e159…
07-29 22:12:54	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf6d8d9…
07-28 15:07:01	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x10a83f…
07-28 12:44:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe83877…
07-27 11:22:07	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x037dc5…
07-27 10:00:31	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x237348…
07-27 09:19:15	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x00c019…
07-27 09:07:46	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x7c4a46…
07-27 06:50:15	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	75	63¢	$47	0x0d37fb…
07-26 06:17:46	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x5b73cc…
07-26 05:09:58	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf2e60f…
07-25 15:50:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x72e449…
07-25 14:55:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x2b979d…
07-25 12:56:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xac61bf…
07-25 12:54:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x196397…
07-25 09:46:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x0956a9…
07-25 08:53:27	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x9d13bb…
07-25 08:53:06	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0552f7…
07-25 07:38:07	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x5732c8…
07-25 06:56:10	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xe65fb8…
07-25 06:41:24	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x818710…
07-25 04:35:10	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xa9ff00…
07-25 01:45:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x3133d4…
07-24 12:00:43	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x3ce484…
07-24 07:12:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x3665a8…
07-24 07:12:45	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x6b680d…
07-23 14:20:51	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x927588…
07-23 14:20:27	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xfd72d4…
07-23 08:13:33	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xf07462…
07-23 08:10:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x5f37c5…
07-23 08:10:27	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x6b58d5…
07-23 06:09:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x9b1561…
07-23 06:09:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	12¢	$9	0x30df20…
07-23 06:09:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd14559…
07-23 06:09:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x3f7c54…
07-23 03:03:15	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x9868ff…
07-23 03:02:55	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x67bbf3…
07-22 20:23:49	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8c56a4…
07-22 20:03:28	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x4e4db3…