Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534b3…6bb734 Create alert
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
693
Trades
3,937
lifetime
Volume
$71.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$427
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-09 19:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
55% 23% -$812
Politics
22% 26% -$193
Crypto
15% 84% -$159
Sports
4% 33% -$33
Tech
3% 29% -$116
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +90 $47 50¢ $45 -$2 11-08 02:44
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? No +39 $30 73¢ $29 -$2 11-09 01:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +75 $37 38¢ $28 -$8 11-08 21:18
Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 25% by December 31? No +50 $32 55¢ $27 -$5 11-07 20:03
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027? No +30 $26 82¢ $25 -$1 11-07 22:20
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 78¢ $23 -$1 11-08 09:14
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $10.00 on December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 46¢ $23 -$9 11-07 17:43
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $26 21¢ $21 -$5 11-09 01:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +75 $30 26¢ $20 -$10 11-08 02:11
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +55 $18 30¢ $16 -$2 11-08 21:28
Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? No +20 $17 80¢ $16 -$1 11-07 17:45
Will Vitality Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? Yes +50 $16 30¢ $15 $0 11-09 02:25
Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 $0 11-07 19:30
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +75 $14 16¢ $12 -$2 11-07 23:16
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? No +20 $12 58¢ $12 $0 11-08 03:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $20 54¢ $11 -$9 11-07 11:17
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 50¢ $10 -$3 11-08 04:04
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting? No +30 $14 32¢ $10 -$4 11-07 17:06
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes +18 $9 48¢ $9 $0 11-09 20:01
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? No +20 $8 37¢ $7 -$1 11-07 17:56
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? No +20 $9 37¢ $7 -$1 11-09 19:40
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +20 $8 37¢ $7 $0 11-09 13:07
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +20 $8 35¢ $7 -$1 11-08 21:10
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 $0 11-08 19:22
Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +20 $6 30¢ $6 $0 11-07 20:35
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? No +20 $9 25¢ $5 -$4 11-08 21:53
Next US president 60+ years old at inauguration? Yes +30 $5 16¢ $5 -$1 11-08 15:14
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? Yes +20 $4 21¢ $4 +$0 11-07 21:08
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? No +50 $6 8¢ $4 -$2 11-08 22:52
Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? Yes +18 $4 21¢ $4 -$1 11-09 09:19