Which-Trade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

+$1.16K

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$18.7K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

89% 72% +$13

Other

10% 62% -$145

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+6,758	$5,722	96¢	$6.5K	+$732	07-17 00:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	-9,800	-$3,913	22¢	$-2205	+$1,708	10-31 05:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	-2,752	-$1,250	72¢	$-1968	-$718	08-03 22:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+1,918	$1,873	99¢	$1.9K	+$33	07-11 04:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+800	$536	78¢	$620	+$84	05-29 18:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+883	$711	68¢	$604	-$108	11-01 01:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+1,828	$954	29¢	$521	-$433	06-28 18:48
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+560	$465	74¢	$417	-$47	10-28 21:03
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+517	$407	64¢	$333	-$74	10-31 01:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+447	$357	68¢	$302	-$55	10-21 17:25
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+300	$268	88¢	$266	-$2	08-18 19:00
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+500	$347	52¢	$257	-$89	10-29 15:38
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+450	$260	56¢	$254	-$6	08-15 08:51
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+260	$235	97¢	$252	+$17	10-22 07:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+370	$259	64¢	$239	-$20	10-31 06:42
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	+250	$224	92¢	$231	+$7	10-30 15:12
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+460	$406	48¢	$223	-$182	11-01 04:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+580	$96	32¢	$188	+$92	10-31 13:54
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+250	$200	74¢	$186	-$14	10-29 13:57
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$181	92¢	$185	+$4	10-31 16:17
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	+220	$175	84¢	$185	+$10	10-13 07:53
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+260	$69	52¢	$136	+$67	10-21 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+268	$203	48¢	$127	-$75	10-19 03:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	-19,950	-$307	1¢	$-120	+$187	09-10 21:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+250	$102	44¢	$109	+$6	07-17 05:43
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+231	$94	42¢	$96	+$3	07-18 23:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	-160	-$98	56¢	$-91	+$8	05-18 16:17
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$79	90¢	$91	+$12	05-25 22:56
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	+100	$79	90¢	$90	+$11	06-05 02:02
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$86	88¢	$88	+$2	10-23 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	39	$8.9K	8,558	3,100	+5,458	open	—	07-17 00:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	119	$4.9K	1,497	10,497	-9,000	open	—	10-31 05:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	64	$3.0K	2,663	3,587	-924	open	—	08-03 22:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	49	$2.2K	2,025	20,057	-18,032	open	—	09-10 21:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	66	$1.2K	1,263	330	+933	open	—	11-01 01:10
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	42	$754	860	100	+760	open	—	10-31 20:34
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	9	$725	550	250	+300	Under	+$46	07-11 22:58
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	33	$659	700	240	+460	open	—	11-01 04:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	20	$534	850	150	+700	open	—	08-15 08:51
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	10	$525	600	40	+560	open	—	10-28 21:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	37	$522	1,067	40	+1,027	open	—	10-31 13:54
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	28	$522	640	140	+500	open	—	10-29 15:38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	7	$483	286	286	+0	Yes	+$4	02-22 23:08
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	4	$438	250	250	+0	Yes	+$12	02-23 14:44
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	7	$417	360	100	+260	open	—	10-22 07:52
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	16	$407	517	0	+517	open	—	10-31 01:00
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	7	$385	200	200	+0	Yes	+$5	01-16 23:31
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	11	$372	330	80	+250	open	—	10-30 15:12
will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	6	$326	160	260	-100	Yes	+$27	03-18 17:30
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	13	$272	528	0	+528	open	—	10-21 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	2	$268	300	0	+300	open	—	08-18 19:00
ndx up or down on february 17 2026	5	$267	151	151	+0	Down	+$16	02-17 21:02
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	12	$259	370	0	+370	open	—	10-31 06:42
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	10	$256	240	40	+200	open	—	10-31 16:17
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	17	$231	331	137	+195	open	—	09-01 05:21
will sonia sotomayor attend the 2026 state of the union address	8	$224	450	265	+185	No	-$198	02-25 01:58
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	5	$224	200	200	+0	Down	$0	02-19 01:34
spx up or down on february 17 2026	5	$209	250	200	+50	Up	+$45	02-17 20:47
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026?	13	$201	539	539	+0	No	-$20	02-23 17:48
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	6	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	10-29 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:28:42	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x3fc9cf…
11-01 05:47:21	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7b789d…
11-01 05:44:57	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x99cd1a…
11-01 05:41:39	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x426f29…
11-01 05:39:36	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa44084…
11-01 04:31:16	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x3078fa…
11-01 03:44:06	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2971bd…
11-01 03:17:33	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0ce3ce…
11-01 02:55:06	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x15df04…
11-01 02:52:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x62e790…
11-01 02:51:31	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xaecae0…
11-01 02:51:31	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xaecae0…
11-01 02:40:09	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa06999…
11-01 02:10:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0xc597f4…
11-01 02:09:24	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa6561a…
11-01 01:10:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc3235c…
11-01 00:48:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa47cda…
11-01 00:47:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x153f3a…
10-31 20:34:43	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xcb9d8c…
10-31 18:58:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x825088…
10-31 16:17:10	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x48faba…
10-31 16:09:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0x6696eb…
10-31 16:09:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x3c3304…
10-31 15:59:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xfafb31…
10-31 15:59:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	68¢	$21	0xf2b8bb…
10-31 15:59:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xbd60c0…
10-31 13:54:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xb02db7…
10-31 06:42:58	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x956763…
10-31 05:53:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x83f312…
10-31 05:47:27	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x38aa88…
10-31 05:12:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x162deb…
10-31 04:44:43	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x779056…
10-31 02:44:31	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x36a0bc…
10-31 01:00:39	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xe4af61…
10-30 15:12:18	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x4eae7e…
10-30 02:06:58	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xe8a6fb…
10-29 20:35:31	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x817c67…
10-29 19:57:19	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xb90e0b…
10-29 19:38:09	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xafec3b…
10-29 17:51:53	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xfe09e6…
10-29 17:46:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x857706…
10-29 17:46:37	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x53a0c0…
10-29 15:38:11	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x0e896a…
10-29 13:57:35	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xcb2db0…
10-29 12:09:53	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x1bf31f…
10-29 08:21:46	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x7c2887…
10-29 08:21:44	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x18c9a5…
10-29 08:21:43	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x16109a…
10-29 04:54:37	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xaf0f16…
10-29 04:08:43	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x5ab240…
10-29 04:08:43	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x220ae4…
10-29 00:35:22	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x1366fc…
10-28 21:03:44	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xae2098…
10-28 19:46:26	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xaf7263…
10-28 13:59:41	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xf990f8…
10-28 10:52:47	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xf69ef0…
10-28 10:52:37	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x860eda…
10-28 10:52:37	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	23	71¢	$17	0x5fdf1c…
10-27 17:34:42	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xa86897…
10-27 17:26:02	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3ab0c1…
10-27 14:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x64965d…
10-26 21:22:12	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xcc9f3a…
10-26 20:53:39	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x3b67e8…
10-26 19:57:14	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x418180…
10-26 02:23:36	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xe6802b…
10-26 02:23:36	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x26fd33…
10-26 01:52:14	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x9107bf…
10-26 01:27:09	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x276746…
10-25 12:44:56	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xcc163f…
10-25 04:50:20	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x49d971…
10-24 19:01:00	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb11ede…
10-23 19:34:36	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x72f796…
10-22 07:52:09	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xb412e1…
10-22 04:43:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x45dfbe…
10-22 02:53:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x1c00e7…
10-22 02:53:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x76deb2…
10-22 00:48:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x8a6c56…
10-22 00:25:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xc0442a…
10-21 23:57:03	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xfcdf59…
10-21 23:57:00	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0xb34255…
10-21 23:01:33	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x2c9f99…
10-21 22:54:20	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x2c1b62…
10-21 19:57:32	Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x510a53…
10-21 19:57:30	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x6fb171…
10-21 17:25:47	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb0ae30…
10-20 19:56:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x206827…
10-20 15:24:17	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x603520…
10-20 15:24:15	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xff6980…
10-19 09:43:00	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xf2c4c3…
10-19 03:12:09	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x09a3cd…
10-18 19:45:39	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xe3ac6c…
10-18 19:43:14	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x2d2818…
10-17 21:27:15	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9fcdab…
10-16 18:11:38	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf01992…
10-16 10:10:31	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9910cf…
10-16 09:45:34	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7eccde…
10-16 01:39:54	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x87f84a…
10-16 01:39:54	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5963f7…
10-16 00:54:52	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0xc0812b…
10-15 23:28:39	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7625c7…