Realized P&L
-$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
321
Trades
1,911
lifetime
Volume
$29.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$659
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 10-29 09:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
92% 66% -$1,264
Politics
5% 80% +$22
Sports
2% 83% +$30
Tech
1% 100% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$30
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +401 $270 57¢ $230 -$40 10-18 17:30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +125 $100 84¢ $104 +$4 05-19 17:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +208 $96 43¢ $89 -$7 10-22 15:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +67 $60 90¢ $60 $0 10-09 22:30
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +64 $50 82¢ $53 +$3 05-19 12:37
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,429 $20 3¢ $41 +$21 10-12 21:33
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +45 $40 84¢ $38 -$2 10-17 09:00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +221 $30 16¢ $34 +$4 10-23 08:20
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +20 -$1 36¢ $7 +$8 05-25 16:17
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 10-24 10:02