Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
open
Total volume
$37,812
Trades
509
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$26,194
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-22 14:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+10.0¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $5.7K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $26.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $864 | $9.8K | $9.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $430 | $5.8K | $5.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $1.1K | $8.6K | $7.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $13 | $200 | $187 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $1.1K | $4.6K | $3.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $54 | $605 | $551 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $759 | $9.0K | $8.3K |
| Median | 14 | $142 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 14 | $133 | $1.0K | $872 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $24 | $272 | $248 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 21 | $214 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5.4K | $5.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +14,938 | $716 | $801 | 36 | 08-31 14:39 |
| Orderly-Direction 0x88bb…c12b | Yes | +10,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 6 | 05-11 17:13 |
| Yellow-Speculation 0x9514…136f | No | +6,015 | $5,405 | $5,405 | 2 | 05-11 17:13 |
| Tame-Rank 0x120b…ee03 | No | +3,109 | $2,798 | $2,798 | 8 | 06-24 21:39 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +3,090 | $2,788 | $10,594 | 29 | 07-22 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x111e…3753 | No | +2,437 | $2,228 | $2,228 | 1 | 07-01 13:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +400 | $396 | $674 | 5 | 08-04 20:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +400 | $8 | $25 | 12 | 08-31 14:39 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +303 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-13 00:41 |
| Grandiose-Detainment 0x982c…0d6e | Yes | +222 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-04 15:17 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +199 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 06-24 21:42 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +173 | $4 | $37 | 7 | 10-05 17:40 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +108 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 10-18 04:56 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 08-04 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | +98 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-22 14:11 |
| Impish-Downfall 0xd23f…94a1 | No | +93 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-24 21:39 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +60 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-24 22:13 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +58 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 04:56 |
| Cheap-Range 0x04b9…79e0 | No | +52 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 05-11 11:58 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-04 13:37 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-24 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-22 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 21:02 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +42 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-25 21:39 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 13:30 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-07 16:08 |
| Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-20 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-21 23:20 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-29 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-13 00:41 |
| Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4f…b2be | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:47 |
| Infinite-Vise-Wombat 0x6980…ad28 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 19:22 |
| Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-18 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 14:11:45 | (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0xbbc9bb… |
| 10-22 14:11:45 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbbc9bb… |
| 10-18 04:56:27 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf911ab… |
| 10-18 04:56:27 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0xf911ab… |
| 10-16 18:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xef6e12… |
| 10-16 18:59:16 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xef6e12… |
| 10-05 17:40:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 677 | 2¢ | $17 | 0x26879a… |
| 10-05 17:40:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26879a… |
| 10-05 17:40:22 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26879a… |
| 10-05 17:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | SELL | 702 | 98¢ | $684 | 0x26879a… |
| 09-18 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4143b2… |
| 09-18 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4143b2… |
| 09-18 09:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x250ed4… |
| 09-18 09:14:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x250ed4… |
| 09-07 16:08:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x656d16… |
| 09-07 16:08:07 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x656d16… |
| 09-07 16:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x656d16… |
| 09-07 16:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x656d16… |
| 08-31 14:39:33 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 1,040 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x363930… |
| 08-31 14:39:33 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | SELL | 230 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x363930… |
| 08-31 14:39:33 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x363930… |
| 08-31 14:39:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x363930… |
| 08-31 14:39:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 657 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x363930… |
| 08-31 13:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x6d75…441c | No | SELL | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0x7360cc… |
| 08-31 13:23:39 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7360cc… |
| 08-31 13:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x6d75…441c | No | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0xdf03f8… |
| 08-31 13:14:18 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf03f8… |
| 08-29 20:19:19 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc17ff3… |
| 08-29 20:19:19 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc17ff3… |
| 08-29 20:19:19 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc17ff3… |
| 08-27 18:13:57 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd25a74… |
| 08-27 18:13:57 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xd25a74… |
| 08-27 18:13:57 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | SELL | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd25a74… |
| 08-21 23:20:18 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 173 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x27b585… |
| 08-21 23:20:18 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27b585… |
| 08-21 23:20:18 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | BUY | 158 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27b585… |
| 08-20 04:56:27 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1066dd… |
| 08-20 04:56:27 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1066dd… |
| 08-19 15:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x280e…2b32 | Yes | SELL | 144 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88c798… |
| 08-19 15:37:27 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | BUY | 144 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88c798… |
| 08-16 19:25:16 | Witty-Mass 0xc523…6743 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x055d7a… |
| 08-16 19:25:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x055d7a… |
| 08-16 19:25:16 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 1,055 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x055d7a… |
| 08-13 00:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf1981… |
| 08-13 00:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbf1981… |
| 08-13 00:41:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xbf1981… |
| 08-13 00:41:49 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 196 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xbf1981… |
| 08-11 20:13:34 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x2c7a8b… |
| 08-11 20:13:34 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 234 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x2c7a8b… |
| 08-11 20:13:10 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 836 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xf11645… |
| 08-11 20:13:10 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 836 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xf11645… |
| 08-08 21:19:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 660 | 1¢ | $8 | 0xa60c95… |
| 08-08 21:19:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 660 | 1¢ | $8 | 0xa60c95… |
| 08-08 14:20:42 | Huge-Appropriation 0x2fc4…1588 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x3303f4… |
| 08-08 14:20:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3303f4… |
| 08-08 14:12:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x492eac… |
| 08-08 14:12:37 | Huge-Appropriation 0x2fc4…1588 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x492eac… |
| 08-08 13:47:21 | Huge-Appropriation 0x2fc4…1588 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xf1d2ef… |
| 08-08 13:47:21 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1d2ef… |
| 08-07 00:32:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20bebd… |
| 08-07 00:32:03 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20bebd… |
| 08-07 00:32:03 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x20bebd… |
| 08-06 18:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x280e…2b32 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x739b49… |
| 08-06 18:27:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x739b49… |
| 08-06 18:27:47 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x739b49… |
| 08-06 18:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x739b49… |
| 08-06 13:16:05 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4f3d2a… |
| 08-06 13:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4f3d2a… |
| 08-06 07:06:50 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf830e8… |
| 08-06 07:06:50 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf830e8… |
| 08-05 23:48:12 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c7649… |
| 08-05 23:48:12 | Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7c7649… |
| 08-05 22:23:59 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 987 | 2¢ | $16 | 0x2411a5… |
| 08-05 22:23:59 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 987 | 2¢ | $16 | 0x2411a5… |
| 08-05 22:23:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 456 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x2ce762… |
| 08-05 22:23:48 | Imperfect-Gerbil 0x3f0a…4276 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x2ce762… |
| 08-05 22:23:48 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x2ce762… |
| 08-05 22:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x2ce762… |
| 08-04 23:52:08 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x22c596… |
| 08-04 23:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22c596… |
| 08-04 23:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b977e… |
| 08-04 23:48:21 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7b977e… |
| 08-04 23:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87c5be… |
| 08-04 23:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x87c5be… |
| 08-04 23:40:39 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe9c751… |
| 08-04 23:40:39 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe9c751… |
| 08-04 23:40:39 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe9c751… |
| 08-04 23:36:44 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7bbdbc… |
| 08-04 23:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7bbdbc… |
| 08-04 21:02:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe4adf6… |
| 08-04 21:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe4adf6… |
| 08-04 21:02:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe4adf6… |
| 08-04 20:26:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x182cd5… |
| 08-04 20:26:21 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x182cd5… |
| 08-04 20:19:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfd338e… |
| 08-04 20:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xfc89…c5c0 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xfd338e… |
| 08-04 20:18:36 | Imperfect-Gerbil 0x3f0a…4276 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x35051e… |
| 08-04 20:18:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x35051e… |
| 08-04 20:18:27 | Witty-Mass 0xc523…6743 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x00ebd6… |
| 08-04 20:18:27 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x00ebd6… |