Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$167

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-22 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

58% 62% +$8

Politics

26% 100% +$1

Sports

11% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	+60	$57	94¢	$57	+$0	09-28 10:29
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	+51	$48	95¢	$48	+$0	09-07 22:20
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	+48	$47	98¢	$47	+$0	10-22 14:11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	No	+52	$50	29¢	$15	-$35	05-15 23:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	14	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	06-16 20:51
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch	2	$113	58	58	+0	No	+$0	09-15 15:34
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	05-30 00:43
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-08 09:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-27 10:40
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	5	$101	53	53	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 08:27
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	3	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	07-27 08:19
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$100	52	52	-0	No	$0	08-01 09:03
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	05-26 14:10
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	09-08 15:42
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	6	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	10-22 10:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	09-04 16:46
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	2	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	09-02 10:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	08-27 11:53
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$0	06-22 23:09
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	2	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	08-16 04:44
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	1	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	09-28 10:29
Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	3	$53	41	13	+28	No	+$1	06-27 22:20
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	09-09 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-30 12:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-15 23:41
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	1	$48	51	0	+51	open	—	09-07 22:20
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	1	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	10-22 14:11
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$0	08-05 16:26
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	1	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	06-22 18:51
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	3	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-08 17:51
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$22	23	0	+23	Yes	+$1	04-08 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 14:11:45	Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xbbc9bb…
10-22 10:36:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x3195e7…
09-28 14:54:06	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xa00330…
09-28 10:29:02	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x0a0cf2…
09-23 12:06:55	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe34dac…
09-23 12:06:47	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x00ee97…
09-23 12:06:46	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2af4cc…
09-23 12:06:38	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf377ab…
09-15 15:34:46	Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch	No	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0xf25481…
09-14 21:31:39	Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch	No	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xd63471…
09-09 23:46:25	Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x994770…
09-08 15:42:21	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$50	0xb4b4c6…
09-07 22:20:00	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x9538ba…
09-04 16:46:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x42698f…
09-02 10:09:28	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xe915f2…
08-30 15:39:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4eb615…
08-30 15:14:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x2788f8…
08-27 11:53:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x7835bf…
08-23 18:49:13	Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x8e8e47…
08-23 17:09:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x464377…
08-23 17:09:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x4327b9…
08-16 04:44:06	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x77a813…
08-06 13:40:50	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$50	0x83adde…
08-05 16:26:44	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x4462a8…
08-01 09:03:54	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3587aa…
08-01 04:19:36	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x434261…
08-01 01:52:57	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x121cc1…
08-01 00:55:42	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x3f4778…
07-31 22:13:27	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0x2061d2…
07-27 15:32:03	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xbe8763…
07-27 08:19:09	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x24b89f…
07-24 15:57:16	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x1fde47…
07-05 10:29:52	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xff9159…
06-29 01:49:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xc658bc…
06-27 22:20:40	Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x3048df…
06-25 15:12:32	Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x5abadf…
06-22 23:09:34	Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x9810e1…
06-22 18:51:41	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x3cc829…
06-22 00:36:47	Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf10ed2…
06-16 20:51:13	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xd24323…
06-15 17:31:45	Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xda90c4…
06-08 14:52:43	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8c8644…
06-02 08:27:11	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x2640b7…
06-02 07:44:53	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xc8cbea…
06-02 07:16:20	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x52e95b…
06-02 07:04:43	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x538830…
05-30 00:43:03	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xedf186…
05-27 18:02:58	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc4a9d4…
05-27 18:02:46	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x7c01cd…
05-27 18:02:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xee5133…
05-27 17:59:55	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xd1497d…
05-27 17:59:46	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d1bb1…
05-27 17:58:41	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xaf7e74…
05-27 17:58:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x153193…
05-27 17:56:53	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8f65f9…
05-27 10:40:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xee0df1…
05-26 14:10:29	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x23bdc5…
05-25 14:23:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf688a4…
05-25 11:36:28	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$46	0x46d271…
05-25 06:41:06	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x49e931…
05-24 01:19:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb2c251…
05-20 03:40:00	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x21f818…
05-16 16:25:34	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x833cae…
05-15 23:41:11	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x679cce…
05-11 11:56:18	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc14ba7…
05-11 11:28:16	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xbe1c4e…
05-11 11:21:44	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9860a7…
05-08 17:51:48	Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xf01eba…
05-08 17:51:48	Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xedcd93…
05-08 09:00:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x5ed1be…
05-02 19:10:18	Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xb4af5e…
05-01 19:34:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xd7bcf9…
05-01 19:33:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0x2b6866…
05-01 05:55:56	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x92cd3c…
04-30 12:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5cf551…
04-08 08:00:55	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x98c276…