Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

107

Trades

15,088

lifetime

Volume

$953.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-02 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

51% 50% +$423

Other

36% 52% +$22

Sports

11% 50% $-158

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 738 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	No	+19	$13	100¢	$19	+$6	03-10 15:26
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	+57	$32	0¢	$0	$-32	04-13 09:41
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	+21	$7	0¢	$0	$-7	03-10 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	40	$29.6K	45,354	+45,354	open	—	04-18 10:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	306	$27.7K	54,734	+54,734	open	—	04-22 03:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$25.8K	33,784	+33,784	open	—	04-24 11:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	224	$20.6K	42,010	+42,010	open	—	03-29 23:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$20.6K	35,873	+35,873	open	—	04-17 21:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	11	$20.3K	31,943	+31,943	open	—	04-16 10:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$19.5K	25,483	+25,483	open	—	04-11 17:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$19.5K	30,478	+30,478	open	—	04-07 20:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	112	$17.8K	37,485	+37,485	Yes	$-160	04-30 20:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$16.4K	25,000	+25,000	open	—	03-27 13:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$15.7K	34,498	+34,498	open	—	04-23 04:46
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	58	$13.1K	32,739	+32,739	open	—	04-08 01:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$12.2K	19,245	+19,245	open	—	04-27 13:22
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	826	$12.1K	20,650	+20,650	open	—	04-26 19:55
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	162	$11.6K	22,333	+22,333	open	—	04-29 08:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	16	$11.3K	27,616	+27,616	open	—	04-11 12:43
mlb oak tor 2026 03 27	12	$10.3K	19,605	+19,605	open	—	03-27 17:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$10.1K	11,579	+11,579	open	—	04-08 01:34
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$9.4K	11,925	+11,925	open	—	04-13 15:27
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	26	$8.9K	21,945	+21,945	open	—	03-16 21:23
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	198	$8.8K	10,486	+10,486	open	—	03-26 10:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$8.3K	14,552	+14,552	open	—	04-27 08:47
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$7.9K	17,336	+17,336	open	—	04-20 20:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	40	$7.8K	14,453	+14,453	open	—	03-08 07:47
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	76	$7.7K	16,963	+16,963	open	—	04-07 21:50
mlb kc cle 2026 04 07	8	$7.6K	15,000	+15,000	open	—	04-07 17:22
Iran leadership change by April 30?	20	$7.0K	9,015	+9,015	open	—	04-07 05:28
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$6.9K	10,345	+10,345	open	—	04-09 11:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	18	$6.8K	13,598	+13,598	open	—	03-25 11:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$6.2K	12,901	+12,901	open	—	04-17 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-02 01:14:28	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x10caf2…
05-01 23:00:42	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0xbff3b9…
05-01 17:26:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0xbf49f0…
05-01 16:11:42	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe5bbf3…
05-01 07:19:26	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	138	26¢	$36	0x971649…
05-01 06:55:16	Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)	Sinner	BUY	88	58¢	$51	0x86da81…
05-01 06:53:30	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xc47fa1…
05-01 05:56:38	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	271	60¢	$163	0xa31af5…
05-01 05:52:48	BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 event MVP will NOT be ZywOo?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8ac013…
05-01 05:34:50	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	319	66¢	$211	0xf96429…
05-01 04:59:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xe46fbc…
05-01 02:48:56	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xc2bf72…
05-01 02:10:40	Will Dallas Stars advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xf5c206…
05-01 01:44:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	897	36¢	$323	0xa96d11…
05-01 01:44:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x58a1cc…
05-01 01:44:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0c032d…
05-01 01:38:04	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x9dbc70…
05-01 00:20:36	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	249	37¢	$92	0xdf42f6…
05-01 00:12:30	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xed5c6c…
05-01 00:10:12	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xf26a7f…
04-30 23:51:40	Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)	Apex Mission Impossible	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xac63e6…
04-30 23:51:38	Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)	Apex Mission Impossible	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x74ccaa…
04-30 23:39:20	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xebb4ae…
04-30 23:25:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x99cceb…
04-30 23:10:36	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb717a8…
04-30 23:08:48	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x281da4…
04-30 22:13:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x6cec64…
04-30 21:48:34	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xb9b32a…
04-30 20:57:44	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x665b29…
04-30 20:26:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	12¢	$55	0x5ec0b9…
04-30 19:54:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x96b163…
04-30 19:44:02	SHL: Skellefteå vs. Rögle	Skellefteå	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2fbd45…
04-30 19:36:12	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xa7bbda…
04-30 19:06:08	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Vasco Esports	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf2eec3…
04-30 19:03:22	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xcd2df7…
04-30 18:00:50	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x05e425…
04-30 18:00:28	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe67c8b…
04-30 17:53:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x281d2f…
04-30 17:42:32	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbd4efa…
04-30 17:42:10	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6253ab…
04-30 17:07:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x0e3c65…
04-30 16:25:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd6be33…
04-30 15:58:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe6cef8…
04-30 14:37:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x1794ad…
04-30 13:33:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xc8a412…
04-30 12:18:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x097c63…
04-30 12:06:50	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x6fa6c9…
04-30 08:50:18	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x9a47af…
04-30 08:47:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	9¢	$38	0x80dbe0…
04-30 08:09:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4b4677…
04-30 06:49:28	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x602be9…
04-30 06:25:36	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2ca1c9…
04-30 06:22:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x9219e9…
04-30 05:57:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6023d5…
04-30 05:24:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xab4315…
04-30 04:59:52	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x57b5f3…
04-30 04:17:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x78ca9d…
04-30 01:06:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xda32ca…
04-30 00:23:14	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd1975a…
04-29 23:52:46	T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xfaf707…
04-29 23:33:02	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	BUY	131	77¢	$101	0x0aff7f…
04-29 23:30:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x12191f…
04-29 23:24:28	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xbd5ba6…
04-29 23:17:38	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x7cc6ac…
04-29 22:56:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x7dfdd7…
04-29 22:33:10	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0xec1bd8…
04-29 22:33:10	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	485	69¢	$335	0x94dfbf…
04-29 22:19:00	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x864e23…
04-29 21:26:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd5c6aa…
04-29 21:18:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xb5eec7…
04-29 21:07:30	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xcab3c4…
04-29 21:04:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc015b9…
04-29 20:51:46	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xae83ef…
04-29 20:16:04	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x32f27c…
04-29 19:02:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	9¢	$28	0x1a8c69…
04-29 18:39:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xa2b9ef…
04-29 18:37:46	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xe16978…
04-29 18:37:46	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	1,037	29¢	$301	0xa2f3a6…
04-29 18:31:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3f0bb9…
04-29 18:23:44	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6afd7f…
04-29 18:20:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xea032c…
04-29 18:20:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xdf22aa…
04-29 18:20:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x118798…
04-29 18:03:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xc6ba60…
04-29 18:02:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,419	11¢	$1,036	0xb3e195…
04-29 17:44:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x631d4a…
04-29 17:40:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0x12c36c…
04-29 17:24:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	613	49¢	$300	0x63cbeb…
04-29 17:20:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xc7297b…
04-29 16:59:38	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	195	67¢	$131	0xc0c4fd…
04-29 16:23:08	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xec652b…
04-29 14:35:14	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb2e157…
04-29 14:19:06	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xfb4ecf…
04-29 14:13:18	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xd65a55…
04-29 13:36:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xfb8a41…
04-29 12:03:06	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x07235e…
04-29 08:22:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x36bd44…
04-29 08:06:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xe76d0f…
04-29 07:35:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xfaa18a…
04-29 07:10:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,106	22¢	$243	0x637e96…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	764	$1.26M	102,344	05-31 21:59
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	738	$1.16M	90,623	06-01 12:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	735	$93.4K	16,240	05-30 06:46
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	707	$207.1K	47,489	05-12 05:45
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	615	$2.79M	63,533	06-01 06:21
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	601	$33.2K	14,384	05-31 05:47
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	593	$329.2K	51,410	05-31 05:11
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	568	$403.0K	40,646	05-31 21:19