Realized P&L (30d)
+$408
Unrealized P&L
-$1.92K
Hit rate
22.7%
Resolved (30d)
123
Trades (30d)
0
16,072 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$46.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-05 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Politics
49% 53% -$1,995
Other
38% 49% +$27,763
Sports
10% 52% +$26,993
Tech
2% 49% -$1,719
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$798
Crypto
0% 50% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -17,229 -$16,368 98¢ $-16815 -$448 10-05 17:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3,864 -$3,444 97¢ $-3758 -$313 10-05 17:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -2,692 -$2,548 99¢ $-2653 -$105 10-05 17:40
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2,611 -$2,513 98¢ $-2568 -$55 10-05 17:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -2,809 -$2,670 88¢ $-2479 +$191 10-05 17:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -2,321 -$2,066 97¢ $-2247 -$181 10-05 17:40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1,940 -$1,843 99¢ $-1914 -$71 10-05 17:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1,400 -$1,134 94¢ $-1309 -$175 10-05 17:40
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -1,129 -$1,077 98¢ $-1109 -$33 10-05 17:40
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -916 -$860 98¢ $-899 -$39 10-05 17:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -964 -$878 93¢ $-896 -$18 10-05 17:40
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No -811 -$802 98¢ $-796 +$6 10-05 17:40
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -783 -$757 96¢ $-756 +$1 10-05 17:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,044 -$365 72¢ $-747 -$381 10-05 17:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -692 -$629 97¢ $-670 -$40 10-05 17:40
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -683 -$513 92¢ $-625 -$112 10-05 18:23
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -633 -$609 98¢ $-619 -$9 10-05 17:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -613 -$558 94¢ $-573 -$15 10-05 17:40
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$506 94¢ $-520 -$14 10-05 17:40
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No -526 -$506 97¢ $-509 -$3 10-05 17:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -478 -$454 98¢ $-469 -$16 10-05 17:40
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +478 $392 98¢ $467 +$75 04-30 20:17
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -477 -$454 97¢ $-462 -$9 10-05 17:40
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No — -450 -$388 95¢ $-427 -$39 10-05 17:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No -417 -$415 100¢ $-417 -$2 10-05 17:40
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? No -464 -$330 87¢ $-404 -$74 10-05 17:42
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -374 -$341 98¢ $-366 -$25 10-05 21:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -262 -$249 99¢ $-260 -$11 10-05 17:40
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No -269 -$257 97¢ $-260 -$3 10-05 17:40
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? No -263 -$257 97¢ $-255 +$2 10-05 17:40