Realized P&L (7d)
+$292
Unrealized P&L
-$1.67K
Hit rate
26.9%
Resolved (7d)
71
Trades (7d)
0
16,072 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$46.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-05 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
49% 53% -$2,072
Other
38% 49% +$27,896
Sports
10% 52% +$26,993
Tech
2% 49% -$1,719
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$798
Crypto
0% 50% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -17,229 -$16,368 97¢ $-16660 -$293 10-05 17:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3,864 -$3,444 96¢ $-3690 -$246 10-05 17:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -2,809 -$2,670 93¢ $-2622 +$47 10-05 17:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -2,692 -$2,548 96¢ $-2587 -$39 10-05 17:40
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2,611 -$2,513 97¢ $-2545 -$32 10-05 17:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -2,321 -$2,066 97¢ $-2246 -$180 10-05 17:40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1,940 -$1,843 98¢ $-1896 -$53 10-05 17:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1,400 -$1,134 88¢ $-1239 -$105 10-05 17:40
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -1,129 -$1,077 98¢ $-1108 -$31 10-05 17:40
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -915 -$808 100¢ $-913 -$105 10-05 17:40
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -916 -$860 97¢ $-885 -$25 10-05 17:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -964 -$878 92¢ $-882 -$4 10-05 17:40
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No -811 -$802 98¢ $-793 +$9 10-05 17:40
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -783 -$757 96¢ $-754 +$3 10-05 17:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,044 -$365 68¢ $-710 -$345 10-05 17:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -692 -$629 97¢ $-668 -$39 10-05 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? No -692 -$586 96¢ $-666 -$81 10-05 17:40
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -633 -$609 97¢ $-614 -$4 10-05 17:40
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -683 -$513 88¢ $-598 -$85 10-05 18:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -613 -$558 92¢ $-567 -$9 10-05 17:40
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No -526 -$506 96¢ $-507 -$1 10-05 17:40
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No -491 -$398 100¢ $-490 -$92 10-05 17:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -478 -$454 98¢ $-469 -$16 10-05 17:40
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +478 $392 97¢ $463 +$71 04-30 20:17
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -477 -$454 96¢ $-457 -$3 10-05 17:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No -417 -$415 100¢ $-417 -$2 10-05 17:40
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -374 -$341 98¢ $-367 -$26 10-05 21:21
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -350 -$292 77¢ $-270 +$23 10-05 17:40
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No -269 -$257 95¢ $-257 $0 10-05 17:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -262 -$249 98¢ $-257 -$7 10-05 17:40