Realized P&L
+$6.26K
Unrealized P&L
-$10.3K
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved
1,691
Trades
22,285
lifetime
Volume
$3.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$64.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-20 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Sports
46% 52% -$8,754
Other
35% 50% -$36,605
Politics
20% 56% +$52,175
Crypto
0% 62% -$633
Tech
0% 67% +$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20,592 -$8,443 96¢ $-19758 -$11,315 04-28 16:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10,890 -$4,796 97¢ $-10596 -$5,800 06-06 14:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10,767 -$9,798 98¢ $-10514 -$716 05-06 01:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,545 $4,820 62¢ $5.9K +$1,060 09-19 23:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -24,052 -$5,240 8¢ $-2044 +$3,195 05-14 03:17
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,415 $2,049 55¢ $1.9K -$188 09-17 22:37
US recession by end of 2026? No -1,830 -$1,438 92¢ $-1693 -$255 05-25 17:41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,181 -$1,527 38¢ $-1599 -$72 05-12 18:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -13,603 -$2,993 8¢ $-1156 +$1,836 05-13 18:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,627 34¢ $-1035 +$592 06-17 18:03
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -856 -$779 96¢ $-824 -$45 05-14 13:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,290 -$1,085 18¢ $-783 +$302 05-13 15:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -802 -$737 96¢ $-767 -$29 05-18 17:50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -732 -$607 94¢ $-692 -$85 05-23 10:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1,867 -$1,064 34¢ $-644 +$420 05-13 17:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,785 -$976 34¢ $-616 +$360 06-16 18:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +616 $363 92¢ $570 +$206 05-06 15:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,330 -$467 5¢ $-481 -$14 05-25 11:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1,738 -$556 26¢ $-461 +$96 05-13 15:57
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,065 $232 33¢ $347 +$115 09-18 02:26
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -391 -$321 78¢ $-303 +$18 06-19 15:10
Discord IPO before 2027? No -280 -$57 93¢ $-262 -$205 05-23 19:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -951 -$323 26¢ $-252 +$71 05-24 07:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -245 -$190 98¢ $-239 -$50 05-23 07:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -240 -$220 97¢ $-232 -$12 05-25 16:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,244 $187 16¢ $205 +$19 09-19 12:23
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$209 78¢ $-200 +$9 06-19 15:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -2,275 -$432 8¢ $-193 +$239 05-24 02:43
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -194 -$156 98¢ $-191 -$36 05-13 23:34
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +180 $154 96¢ $172 +$18 04-30 11:29