Realized P&L
+$6.30K
Unrealized P&L
-$12.1K
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved
1,693
Trades
22,287
lifetime
Volume
$3.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$64.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Sports
46% 52% -$8,754
Other
35% 50% -$36,567
Politics
20% 56% +$52,175
Crypto
0% 62% -$633
Tech
0% 67% +$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20,592 -$8,443 97¢ $-19933 -$11,490 04-28 16:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10,890 -$4,796 98¢ $-10634 -$5,839 06-06 14:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10,767 -$9,798 98¢ $-10540 -$743 05-06 01:13
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,415 $2,049 100¢ $3.4K +$1,366 09-17 22:37
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,650 $2,528 99¢ $2.6K +$97 10-27 16:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,545 $4,820 25¢ $2.3K -$2,472 09-19 23:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -24,052 -$5,240 8¢ $-1804 +$3,436 05-14 03:17
US recession by end of 2026? No -1,830 -$1,438 94¢ $-1729 -$291 05-25 17:41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,181 -$1,527 38¢ $-1610 -$82 05-12 18:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -13,603 -$2,993 8¢ $-1020 +$1,972 05-13 18:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,627 32¢ $-975 +$652 06-17 18:03
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -856 -$779 96¢ $-819 -$40 05-14 13:54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -802 -$737 95¢ $-765 -$27 05-18 17:50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,290 -$1,085 17¢ $-740 +$345 05-13 15:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -732 -$607 96¢ $-699 -$92 05-23 10:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1,867 -$1,064 34¢ $-625 +$439 05-13 17:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +616 $363 96¢ $588 +$225 05-06 15:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,785 -$976 32¢ $-580 +$396 06-16 18:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,330 -$467 5¢ $-481 -$14 05-25 11:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1,738 -$556 28¢ $-478 +$78 05-13 15:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -951 -$323 46¢ $-433 -$109 05-24 07:09
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -391 -$321 72¢ $-279 +$42 06-19 15:10
Discord IPO before 2027? No -280 -$57 94¢ $-263 -$206 05-23 19:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -245 -$190 98¢ $-240 -$50 05-23 07:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -240 -$220 97¢ $-232 -$12 05-25 16:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,244 $187 18¢ $218 +$31 09-19 12:23
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -194 -$156 98¢ $-191 -$36 05-13 23:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$209 72¢ $-187 +$22 06-19 15:10
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +180 $154 97¢ $174 +$20 04-30 11:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -2,275 -$432 8¢ $-171 +$262 05-24 02:43