Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
-$11.0K
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
34
22,287 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.81K
$3.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$59.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Sports
46% 52% -$8,655
Other
35% 50% -$36,567
Politics
20% 57% +$53,431
Crypto
0% 62% -$633
Tech
0% 67% +$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20,592 -$8,443 97¢ $-20015 -$11,573 04-28 16:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10,890 -$4,796 99¢ $-10738 -$5,942 06-06 14:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10,767 -$9,798 98¢ $-10562 -$764 05-06 01:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,545 $4,820 41¢ $3.9K -$916 09-19 23:14
US recession by end of 2026? No -1,830 -$1,438 94¢ $-1729 -$291 05-25 17:41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,181 -$1,527 36¢ $-1490 +$37 05-12 18:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -24,052 -$5,240 6¢ $-1323 +$3,917 05-14 03:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,290 -$1,085 22¢ $-939 +$146 05-13 15:55
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -856 -$779 96¢ $-825 -$46 05-14 13:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,627 28¢ $-825 +$802 06-17 18:03
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -802 -$737 97¢ $-779 -$42 05-18 17:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -13,603 -$2,993 6¢ $-748 +$2,245 05-13 18:20
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -732 -$607 92¢ $-677 -$70 05-23 10:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +616 $363 96¢ $591 +$228 05-06 15:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1,867 -$1,064 29¢ $-532 +$532 05-13 17:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,785 -$976 28¢ $-491 +$485 06-16 18:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,330 -$467 5¢ $-476 -$9 05-25 11:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1,738 -$556 24¢ $-409 +$148 05-13 15:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,440 $167 5¢ $319 +$152 10-06 19:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -951 -$323 34¢ $-319 +$5 05-24 07:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -2,275 -$432 12¢ $-284 +$148 05-24 02:43
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -391 -$321 70¢ $-272 +$50 06-19 15:10
Discord IPO before 2027? No -280 -$57 94¢ $-263 -$206 05-23 19:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -245 -$190 97¢ $-238 -$48 05-23 07:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -240 -$220 97¢ $-233 -$13 05-25 16:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,244 $187 16¢ $205 +$19 09-19 12:23
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -194 -$156 98¢ $-191 -$36 05-13 23:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$209 70¢ $-179 +$30 06-19 15:10
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +180 $154 96¢ $172 +$18 04-30 11:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,906 -$152 4¢ $-158 -$6 05-14 00:15