Realized P&L (90d)
+$33.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$10.2K
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved (90d)
42
Trades (90d)
288
22,256 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$37.0K
$3.22M lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$59.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Sports
46% 52% -$8,655
Other
35% 50% -$36,567
Politics
20% 57% +$53,431
Crypto
0% 62% -$633
Tech
0% 67% +$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20,592 -$8,443 97¢ $-19964 -$11,521 04-28 16:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10,890 -$4,796 99¢ $-10738 -$5,942 06-06 14:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10,767 -$9,798 98¢ $-10573 -$775 05-06 01:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,545 $4,820 45¢ $4.3K -$567 09-19 23:14
US recession by end of 2026? No -1,830 -$1,438 94¢ $-1729 -$291 05-25 17:41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,181 -$1,527 36¢ $-1490 +$37 05-12 18:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -24,052 -$5,240 6¢ $-1323 +$3,917 05-14 03:17
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -856 -$779 97¢ $-827 -$48 05-14 13:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,290 -$1,085 19¢ $-802 +$283 05-13 15:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -802 -$737 97¢ $-778 -$41 05-18 17:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -13,603 -$2,993 6¢ $-748 +$2,245 05-13 18:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,000 -$1,627 24¢ $-735 +$892 06-17 18:03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -732 -$607 92¢ $-677 -$70 05-23 10:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +616 $363 96¢ $591 +$227 05-06 15:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,330 -$467 5¢ $-481 -$14 05-25 11:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1,867 -$1,064 26¢ $-476 +$588 05-13 17:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,785 -$976 24¢ $-437 +$539 06-16 18:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1,738 -$556 18¢ $-322 +$235 05-13 15:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -951 -$323 33¢ $-314 +$10 05-24 07:09
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -391 -$321 68¢ $-264 +$58 06-19 15:10
Discord IPO before 2027? No -280 -$57 93¢ $-261 -$205 05-23 19:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,440 $167 4¢ $254 +$87 10-06 19:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -2,275 -$432 11¢ $-239 +$193 05-24 02:43
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -245 -$190 97¢ $-238 -$48 05-23 07:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -240 -$220 97¢ $-233 -$13 05-25 16:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,244 $187 16¢ $205 +$19 09-19 12:23
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -194 -$156 98¢ $-191 -$36 05-13 23:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$209 68¢ $-177 +$32 06-19 15:10
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +180 $154 96¢ $172 +$18 04-30 11:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,906 -$152 4¢ $-162 -$10 05-14 00:15