Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
513
lifetime
Volume
$660
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$10
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 07-20 12:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
47% 0% $-4
Politics
36% 50% +$4
Sports
9% 25% +$0
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -4 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-0 07-06 21:26
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 06-18 13:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +48 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 09:54
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 06-27 09:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +29 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 09:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-17 09:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +13 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 09:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-0 06-27 09:55
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-27 09:55
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 02:45
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +29 $1 $0 $-0 06-22 20:36
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 09:55
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +95 $-2 $0 +$2 06-21 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-1 07-06 21:26